10 Things You Need to Know – Not Winning Bigly Edition!
What a week! We just saw: A gigantic surge in stocks in May The US-EU trade relations get better The US-China tariff situation turn into a big fat mess all over again Nvidia (NVDA) beat earnings estimates… and then flop like a dead chicken Inflation continue to trend lower And a whole lot more! So let’s dig into the 10 Things You Need to Know About Markets Right Now. 1. President Trump Is Not Winning Bigly… For Now President Trump had another big week. On Tuesday, the market felt warm & fuzzy feelings after he issued a tariff delay to the EU. Then on Wednesday, a federal court said Trump overstepped his authority by using emergency powers to slap tariffs on foreign countries. And on Friday, the President accused China of violating the recent Geneva trade deal, sending stocks lower. So while he was “winning bigly” in recent weeks, things are getting messy. Of course, God only knows what news will hit this weekend. So buckle up buttercups! BTW, down below, we update you on the “Ultimate Trump Trade” so keep reading. 2. We’ve Come a Long, Long Way Markets were clearly troubled by Friday’s China news, but let’s not get carried away. But we’ve come a long, long way from the April post-Liberation day lows. SPY is up over 21% since then: And QQQ is up almost 30%. Maybe the market was just waiting for a catalyst before it took a break. But again… anything can happen come Monday. 3. Nvidia Was Good But Not Good Enough On Wednesday, Nvidia beat earnings expectations for the 10th straight quarter. And when we look at the long run, the company’s growth has been shocking: But Nvidia’s guidance was weak thanks to US trade restrictions on China. So as of Friday afternoon, the stock gave up all its post-earnings gains: 4. The Mood Is Slightly Sour The latest AAII Sentiment Survey shows that 32.9% of investors are bullish. This is down from last week’s 37.7% reading, and it’s below the long-term average of 37.5%. Still, this reading is much improved from the March-April lows, when everyone was losing their minds over tariff fears. 5. Could Lower Inflation Be Bad? The PCE Price Index was a lower-than-expected 2.1% in April to extend the downtrend from post-pandemic highs: This follows light CPI and PPI prints. But let’s ask a question no one’s thinking about. What if lower inflation is a bad thing? What if it means economic demand is sagging? And what if it means the Fed is behind the curve and moving too slow? Since I got a B- in macroeconomics, I won’t pretend I know what’s going to happen. But I am a little worried. 6. Whose House? HIMS House! Hims & Hers (HIMS) a.k.a. the Netflix of primal needs and desires, shot up on Friday out of nowhere. Why? One theory being floated is that the company will be added to the S&P 500. We also caught this announcement from Jonathan Stern’s “Hims House” X account, announcing “we’ve raised our Q2 revenue prediction.” $HIMS Q2 OUTLOOK STRENGTHENING INTO HOME STRETCH 🔥 The week ending May 18 was the strongest since April. Total observed sales +87% YoY. As a result, we’ve raised our Q2 revenue prediction. Here’s our full $HIMS Data Tracker recap: (link below) pic.twitter.com/2NVYl1YcQG — Hims House (@himshouse) May 30, 2025 If you’re following the HIMS story (I’m long myself), follow this account. And oh yeah, don’t forget HIMS has 27.8% short interest. According to KoyFin, that makes it the most shorted stock in the S&P Midcap 400 ETF (MDY): 7. Ultimate Trump Trade Update The President is a mean, lean, orange, volatility-generating machine. So what is the real Trump Trade? These 4 stocks, which have crushed the major indices: Robinhood (HOOD): +157% since the election Interactive Brokers (IBKR): +34% Coinbase (COIN): +27% Charles Schwab (SCHW): +24% So long as Trump can shake the table without breaking it, trading volumes should stay on the rise. On May 1, Interactive Brokers said Daily Average Revenue Trades (DARTs) were up 63% YoY in April. And May was pretty wild too! 8. Biotech Is So Ugly, This Chart Might Scare Your Kids Just when you thought it was safe to sniff around the biotech sector, Regeneron (REGN) and Sanofi (SNY) get slapped on negative trial data. But could this sector actually bottom at some point? Look at this 10-year chart of SPY vs. XBI: SPY is up 230%. And XBI is up 1%. Doesn’t get uglier than that. Traders have been burned for years buying biotech dips. That has to change at some point. Right? 9. You Can Learn to Trade Like Jesse Livermore Jesse Livermore is one of the greatest traders of all time. And Sami Abusaad will teach you the #1 trading secret from Livermore’s 100-year old book “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.” 10. 2 Dark Omens for Bitcoin? Bitcoin went on a tear off the April lows, rewarding the faithful with a huge run. But it’s been slipping since the May 22 peak at $112,000. And interestingly – sector favorite MicroStrategy (MSTR) has been dropping like a rock. Plus on May 28, video-game retailer GameStop (GME) announced it bought 4,710 Bitcoin. And what happened? A big fat sell-the-news: Bitcoin might need a nap to recharge. Have a great weekend folks.
Continue Reading -->Tesla Will Hit $400 + 10 Million More Ideas from JR
Tesla Will Hit $400. And then Keel Over. JR said to grab a Snickers bar because this market has too many good setups. And in today’s video, he gave out so many ideas that T3 tried to stop him. We failed. So enjoy the unedited cut: JR goes over: Why the market can surge to all-time highs soon The critical level in the QQQ’s you need to watch The clear line in the sand for SPY Why Unity Software (U) looks solid A gold name that could face “big trouble in little Japan” Why Tesla (TSLA) can hit $400… and then roll over What to watch in short squeeze King Carvana (CVNA) A tech name that needs 2 weeks to ignite Why he’s focused on names that are immune to tariffs, including an ad tech idea His favorite quantum computing names And a lot, lot more!
Continue Reading -->My #1 Biotech Idea
Sami argues that the SPY and QQQ are in a tricky situation right now: Sami also goes over: A biotech name that looks super bullish Why he’s waiting for buy setups on the daily chart What’s special about the Advance Auto Parts (AAP) earnings gap An electric infrastructure stock that looks ready to go 5 names that could drop from here
Continue Reading -->10 Things You Need to Know – NVIDIA IS COMING!
What a week! We just saw: The market roll its eyes at the Moody’s downgrade of the United States’ credit rating President Trump throw some huge tariff bombs at the European Union and Apple (AAPL) Trump’s controversial tax bill pass the house A shocking rally in Bitcoin Wild ups and down for UnitedHealth (UNH) A wild comeback in Alphabet (GOOGL) A failed bond auction that turned into a buying opportunity Sentiment turn bullish after a huge stock market rally And a whole lot more! So let’s dig into the 10 Things You Need to Know About Markets Right Now. 1. Next Week Will Be WILD Just look at this freaking calendar and tell me you’re not pumped for next week – because Mr. Market’s packing a ton of stuff into 4 days: We have: The long-awaited NVIDIA (NVDA) Q1 earnings report – plus reports from Costco (COST), Salesforce (CRM), Dell (DELL), Marvel (MRVL), Zscaler (ZS), and others The FOMC Meeting Minutes US GDP US PCE Price Index And a whole lot more economic data! Plus, we can’t forget… 2. President Trump Will Rock the Boat Friday looked like any other day… until the President dropped these bombs on Truth Social: Yes, we kicked off the day reading about threats of a 50% tariff on the European Union, and a 25% tariff on Apple (AAPL). The market got hit hard and fast. But traders viewed this latest rock of the boat as a buying opportunity. The bottom was in by 8:12 am: The market is no longer freaking out at the President’s strategy of negotiating hard in public. And of course, he could announce within hours that everyone’s best buddies all over again. So maybe Apple’s (AAPL) up huge on Tuesday? Who knows… 3. NVIDIA Is a Mystery In April, NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings estimates fell for the first time in years after the company took a $5.5 billion charge because of export restrictions on the H20 AI chip. Sound bad, right? Well since then, the President went on a dealmaking rampage in the Middle East with a major emphasis on AI. NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang said the company would sell more than 18,000 Blackwell chips to Saudi Arabia’s Humain. Plus, the US is partnering with the United Arab Emirates to build a major AI campus, and NVIDIA is joining the party, according to CNBC. And the Financial Times reported today that Oracle (ORCL) will drop $40 billion on NVIDIA chips for OpenAI’s new US data center. So could NVIDIA deliver monster guidance on its Wednesday earnings report? It seems possible. Speaking of NVIDIA, did you notice that… 4. Mag7 Stocks Are Kicking Butt in May Just as we started calling the Mag7 the Lag7… they perked up. Six of the Mag7 are in positive territory for May with an average gain off 11%, beating the QQQ’s 7% rally. And 2 are up more than 20% – NVIDIA and Tim Walz’ favorite stock Tesla (TSLA). Not so bad. Now, here’s a fun Mag7 fact we bet you didn’t know… 5. IBM Is Crushing the Mag7 This Year IBM (IBM) is the #1 stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average this year with a 19% gain. So we compared IBM to the Mag7, and it’s winning. Big time. Here are the numbers: 6. Nuclear Stocks Went Nuclear President Trump signed four executive orders to ease regulations on the nuclear industry, with a focus on increasing US uranium production. Now, why do we need more nuclear power? Because AI apps like ChatGPT, Grok, Claude, Perplexity, etc. use shocking amounts of electricity. (pun intended) That sent uranium stocks through the roof Friday, with the Global X Uranium ETF (URA) surging 12%: Keep your eye on this sector because uranium might be the next “hot AI trade.” And outside of uranium, there’s been hot action in power-grid names like GE Vernova (GEV), NRG Energy (NRG), and Constellation Energy (CEG). 7. Traders Actually Turned Bullish The latest AAII sentiment survey shows that 37.7% of investors are bullish. This is just above the long-term average of 37.5%. And it’s the first above-average bullish reading since January 30. This is a perfect examples of how sentiment often follows price. So two scenarios can play out: 1) Traders keep bidding up equities as sentiment goes from “regular bullish “to “super bullish” 2) We see a top or consolidation phase since sentiment has already improved so fast What do you think? 8. There’s Something Funny About MicroStrategy (MSTR) Look at this chart comparing Bitcoin and MicroStrategy (MSTR): Bitcoin’s been pretty steady-as-she-goes, yet sector leader MicroStrategy is getting slapped with the ugly stock. Is Bitcoin about to drop? 9. Gold May Resume Its Downtrend Gold was the talk of the town in 2025 until its peak on April 22. And as you can see on the chart, it’s put in a series of lower highs and lower lows – a classic example of a downtrend. If we walk into some happy news next week, the downtrend likely resumes. 10. You Need This Rant from JR Romero Too many traders make things complicated. Well, JR has just 4 words for you. And one of them starts with the letter F: Enjoy your weekend. You earned it.
Continue Reading -->JR Romero’s 5-minute rant on technical analysis especially when the market moves like this (NSFW)
On Wednesday, JR got a question from a Momentum Express subscriber asking about AVGO and if he should sell because of overhead “resistance.” JR shared with him the 4 most powerful words in trading. And they’re NSFW. But it’s absolutely key if you do any sort of technical analysis, but you continue to lose money or struggle trading. Just yesterday, JR took QBTS with a $5M position and rode it up… And many would think that’s crazy. They think it’s crazy because they don’t understand the context of the market. This 5-minute rant is primetime JR… and a must listen. The 4 words you need to know in trading (NSFW) How to look at resistance the right way while using technical analysis Why most traders are part of the 90% who fail
Continue Reading -->FACT CHECK: Did JR Say “Bitcoin is going to $200,000?”
Rumor has it that JR Romero predicted Bitcoin is going to $200,000. Is it true? JR goes over: What it would actually take for Bitcoin to see $200,000 The importance of the Bitcoin $126,000 level Why he does not like buying Bitcoin over $100,000 The unique nature of this assets class Where MicroStrategy (MSTR) can go What MSTR sometimes signals for the market
Continue Reading -->This Market Is Unstoppable
Sami Abusaad argues that the SPY and QQQ are headed to record highs. Sami goes over: Why IWM is still bullish, but lagging behind The reason the Moody’s downgrade is not a big deal The exact level that could trigger a selloff in the QQQ’s A casino stock that could rally big from here A medical device play that looks set to hit new highs Why Porch Group (PRCH) looks fantastic A silver stock with a strong long-term outlook An EV name with a beautiful weekly chart Why Sweetgreen (SG) looks awful right now
Continue Reading -->10 Things You Need to Know – Winning Bigly Edition!
What a week! We just saw: President Trump go full shock & awe on the news front Inflation surprise to the downside Earnings season close out on a super strong note And a whole lot more! So let’s dig into the 10 Things You Need to Know About Markets Right Now. 1. President Trump Is Winning Bigly… For Now President Trump had one heck of a week, generating so much news that it’s impossible to figure out how good it all is – and how much credit he deserves. He: Signed an Executive Order to lower prescription drug prices Secured a $600 billion investment from Saudi Arabia and a $1.2 trillion commitment from Qatar Made $200 billion in deals with the UEA, including an agreement to build the largest AI campus outside the United States Allegedly brokered a ceasefire between Pakistan and India Said he’s getting closer to a nuclear deal with Iran Lifted sanctions on Syria Defended himself against a verbal assault from Bruce Springsteen Launched an unprovoked attack on Taylor Swift Got a free airplane Did we miss anything? Following the news is exhausting. But financial markets appreciate the injection of some certainty that the world will carry on. And for now, the market feels like the scoreboard for the President’s economic agenda. So for now, the President is winning. Bigly! For fun, we asked our X/Twitter audience if Trump was a “Very Stable Genius” or a “Madman.” The results leaned towards Madman: 2: We Need to Talk About How Awesome Earnings Season Was There were two big stories this earnings season. The first was all the companies pulling guidance because of tariff drama – like Snap (SNAP), United Parcel Service (UPS), and American Airlines (AAL). The second was earnings being way better than expected. According FactSet, Q1 earnings grew by 13.6%, smashing expectations for 7.2% growth. So we must ask – could expectations for Q2 earnings season be far too low? FactSet says analysts predict EPS growth of just 4.8%. And 91% of S&P 500 companies discussed tariffs on their earnings calls. So could we see a repeat of Q1 where companies beat overly negative expectations? Yes – especially if Trump can strike a deal with China. 3. NVIDIA Is Coming Back into Focus NVIDIA’s (NVDA) last earnings report was good – but not quite strong enough to meet super-high expectations. And then the company announced $5.5 billion charge due to export restrictions on its H20 AI chips. So the stock crapped out. But with all the AI dealmaking happening – could NVIDIA surprise investors in a good way on its May 28 earnings report? Because that’s what it feels like. The market is expecting good things – after all, the stock is up 55% from its April lows. 4. Inflation Is Over? Outside of the President’s deals, the big economic story this week was the light CPI and PPI reports. And of course, the world celebrated the long-awaited drop in egg prices: On the flip side of this, WalMart (WMT) warned that higher prices were coming because of tariffs. At this month’s FOMC meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell waxed poetic about the Fed’s data-driven approach to monetary policy. That drove some mockery. But can you blame him? Let’s be honest. None of us can make sense of all the chaos. 5. Love Is Almost in the Air This week’s AAII Sentiment survey shows that 35.9% of investors are bullish. This is below the long-term average of 37.5%. But it’s a big jump from the multi-year lows seen in March and April. Nothing changes the mood like higher prices. Also, the CNN Fear & Greed Index went from 3/100 on April 8 to 77/100 on May 16: 6. UnitedHealth Hits a Technical Milestone – and Might Be Headed to $340 UnitedHealth (UNH) was destroyed this week. In the span of 2 days, its CEO resigned and the Wall Street Journal reported the Department of Justice is investigating the company for possible Medicare fraud. The stock was sent back to 2020 levels, and its Relative Strength Index (RSI) hit 11 on Thursday. It’s hard to get more oversold than that – UNH’s RSI had not been that low since 1998. The stock had a vicious rally off the lows. And on Friday, Sami Abusaad called it long in the Number Ones newsletter. Where is UNH stock going from here? Sami first target is $320, then $340. Given the way Sami nailed Tesla (TSLA), you should listen to him. 7. Gold Looks Sloppy Gold was the star of the market in 2025… up until April 22. Since then, it’s down 8% as an easing of trade tensions and improved economic data pushed traders back towards risk assets like stocks. But is gold now a buy? Our own JR Romero and Sami Abusaad say no. Both argue there is more downside ahead. 8. Energy Might Be a Banging Buy When no one wants an asset, it just might be the buy of a lifetime. Bank of America said this week that fund managers are historically underweight oil and gas stocks. Funds are historically underweight oil and gas equities, per Bank of America pic.twitter.com/b3qpMRizZs — Josh Young (@Josh_Young_1) May 13, 2025 That’s no surprise given oil’s collapse this year, which has pushed down energy stocks. Over the past 12 months, SPY is up 13.2% while XLE and OIH are off by -6.3% and -28.5% respectively. With everyone bearish on energy stocks – maybe now’s the time to take the other side of the trade. 9. GOOGL Rose Like a Phoenix Alphabet (GOOGL) hit a low of $147.84 on May 7 when Apple (AAPL) said it saw Google searches fall in the Safari web browser for the 1st time ever. But it’s risen like a phoenix since then, reclaiming the key $165 level with a vengeance. Of course, the “Google Is Dead” theme has been floated for years. Here’s a Fortune headline from February 1, 2023: “Gmail creator predicts A.I. bots
Continue Reading -->Why You Need a Trading Game Plan
When the market gapped up big on Monday morning, professional trader Derrick Oldensmith was looking at a big negative in his P&L. But he didn’t panic, instead he followed his game plan and managed his positions correctly. Derrick explains the importance of a game plan, especially in times like this: Derrick covers: The key to countering all bad trading psychology The goal of every trader How to be consistently profitable How he manages times of stress in trading Derrick Oldensmith’s positions as of 12:22pm ET May 15, 2025 Derrick Oldensmith is an associated member of T3 Trading Group, LLC (“T3TG’), a SEC Registered Broker-Dealer & Member of FINRA/SIPC. All trades are placed through T3TG. T3 Live, LLC is a financial publisher that disseminates information about economic, business, and capital markets issues through various media. T3 Live is not a Broker-Dealer, an Investment Adviser, or any other type of business subject to regulation by the SEC, CFTC, state securities regulators or any “self-regulatory organization” (such as FINRA). Although T3 Live and T3TG are affiliated companies by virtue of common ownership, the companies are managed separately and engage in different businesses. The programs that T3TG distributes (including articles, commentary, videos, blogs and social media postings) are for informational and educational purposes only. No one should consider the information disseminated by T3TG to be personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment, an offer (or a solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any investment, or the provision of any other kind of investment advice. No one associated with T3TG is authorized to make any representation to the contrary. T3TG provides information that viewers of its programs may consider in making their own investment decisions. However, any viewer will be responsible for considering such information carefully and evaluating how it might relate to that viewer’s own decision to buy, sell or hold any investment. Such decisions must be based on that viewer’s individual and independent evaluation of his or her financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, liquidity needs, family commitments and other factors, not in reliance on any information obtained from T3TG. Statements by any person (whether identified as associated with T3 Live, T3 Trading Group, or any other entity) represent the opinions of that person only and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of T3TG or any other person associated with T3TG. It is possible that any individual providing information or expressing an opinion on any T3TG program may hold an investment position (or may be contemplating holding an investment position) that is inconsistent with the information provided or the opinion being expressed. This may reflect the financial or other circumstances of the individual or it may reflect some other consideration. Viewers of T3TG programs should take this into account when evaluating the information provided or the opinion being expressed. Although T3TG strives to provide accurate and reliable information from sources that it believes to be reliable, T3TG makes no guarantees as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or correctness of any such information. T3TG makes no guarantee or promise of any kind, express or implied, that anyone will profit from or avoid losses from using information disseminated through T3TG. All investments are subject to risk of loss, which you should consider in making any investment decisions. Viewers of T3TG programs should consult with their financial advisors, attorneys, accountants or other qualified professionals prior to making any investment decision. The risk of loss in trading equities, options, forex and/or futures can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The high degree of leverage that is often obtainable in options trading may benefit you as well as conversely lead to large losses beyond your initial investment. Past results are not indicative of future results. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits similar to those shown. T3 Trading Group, LLC is a Registered SEC Broker-Dealer and Member of FINRA/SIPC. All trading conducted by contributors associated with T3TG on the Virtual Trading Floor is done through T3TG. For more information on T3 Trading Group, LLC please visit www.T3Trading.com.
Continue Reading -->Gold Is a Sell, 2 Traders Say
Gold is down 8% from the highs, thanks to improving sentiment toward risk assets and the improving trade picture. But Sami and JR are not buying: They go over: 2 rules for buying gold everyone should know The key level gold violated just today Why Sami an JR warned that gold was out of control around the peak in April\ Why this is not the time to buy the dip in gold Where gold could fall near-term How to know what a healthy trend looks like What makes an uptrend unsustainable – exactly what happened with gold
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