Introducing The T3 Alpha Show podcast
Yes, we finally have a podcast: The T3 Alpha Show! Host Michael Comeau connects you with leading traders, investors, and industry executives to provide a mix of education and entertainment. So far, we’ve published 5 episodes so far with special guests: Sam Rabinowitz: an aspiring trader who tried to get a Wall Street Job by holding up a sign Sami Abusaad: our Director of Education who went from bored CPI to top pro trader Charlie Moon: a former professional poker player who harnesses AI to supercharge his trading Scott Bauer: a former Goldman Sachs and CBOE floor trader that’s sharing his pro options trading strategies with you Rob Koyfman: founder and CEO of Koyfin, a leading financial data platform with 500,000+ users Here’s how to find us: The T3 Alpha Show on Spotify The T3 Alpha Show on YouTube The T3 Alpha Show Website (under construction) We hope you listen and subscribe!
Continue Reading -->This Market Is Incredibly Bullish – But Extended
Sami Abusaad says this market remains “incredibly bullish”… but a little bit extended: Sami goes over: What levels to watch for a pullback on SPY and QQQ The bullish setup on AUPH and why it has plenty of room The 1 2 3 buy setup on ELAN The underwear company that looks like it’s gearing up for a breakout The Monthly Transition A pattern on MTCH – Sami’s favorite pattern! The weekly chart sell setup on BAX A list of names he’s watching to short on a climactic top And more!
Continue Reading -->9 Things You Need to Know: Inflation Is Back In Focus
We just wrapped up an exciting week that was all about the Fed. So what’s next for the market? This week we’ll be focused on inflation, the housing market, chipmakers, and more! Read on to find out what you should have your eyes on. 1. The Fed Still Cares About This Week’s Inflation Number Remember at Jackson Hole when Fed Chair Jerome Powell basically told the market they don’t care about inflation anymore and are instead focused on jobs? “The time has come for policy to adjust… The inflation and labor market data show an evolving situation. The upside risks to inflation have diminished. And the downside risks to employment have increased… We will do everything we can to support a strong labor market as we make further progress toward price stability.” -Jerome Powell, Jackson Hole 2025 Well that seemed to change at this week’s Fed meeting when the head of the Central Bank paired a dovish dot plot with hawkish language. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points as expected on Wednesday with the dot plot showing two more cuts this year and one in 2026. But the Chairman called that move a “risk management cut” and said the Fed expects the impact of inflation on goods price “to continue to build” over the next year. So that means Friday’s PCE Price Index — which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — means a little more to the market now than it would have before this Fed meeting. That number will be out at 8:30am ET on Friday morning and it could be a market mover if it comes in hot or cool. Plus, the week starts on Monday with a big group of Fed speakers including the Presidents of the New York Fed President, St. Louis Fed, Cleveland Fed, and Richmond Fed. 2. Key Housing Data Is On Deck Headed into this week’s Fed meeting, mortgage rates saw a massive drop with Mortgage News Daily showing the average 30-year rate hit a low of 6.13% on Tuesday ahead of the rate cut. But as the bond market rallied post-Fed, mortgage rates jumped alongside the 10-year Treasury yield. As of Friday, here’s a look at where rates stand: We’ll get some important data on the health of the U.S. housing market this week with two reports: August New Home Sales, 10:00am ET Wednesday August Existing Home Sales, 10:00am ET Thursday 3. Can Micron Keep Running? Micron Technology (MU) still hasn’t reported earnings… why do these chipmakers report so late? The company reports Fiscal Q4 earnings after the close on Tuesday and analysts love this stock: Expectations for this earnings report are: EPS: $2.86, +49.5% from last quarter Revenue: $11.13 billion, +19.6% from last quarter MU notched a fresh all-time high of $170.45 per share this week and is up over 30% from its last earnings report. So how good does that earnings report need to be? We’ll see on Tuesday. 4. Is Intel the next MP Materials? Nvidia (NVDA) announced a massive $5 billion investment in Intel (INTC) on Thursday. That deal comes after the U.S. government took a 10% stake in the chipmaker back in August. It’s all a little reminiscent of MP Materials (MP). In mid-July, the Department of Defense said it would invest $400 million in the rare-earth materials company and Apple (AAPL) announced a $500 million partnership with the company. Since then, the stock price has rocketed higher from around $30 to over $70 per share. INTC surged 22.8% on Thursday, the day the deal was announced, for its best daily performance in 38 years. Inner Circle’s David Prince discusses whether INTC is next in line for a massive move like MP: P.S. David is hosting a free webinar next week, sign up here for a special opportunity to join his elite community inside the Inner Circle VTF®. 5. Still Waiting on a TikTok Deal After a call on Friday, President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping still haven’t come to an agreement on a deal for the U.S. to take over TikTok. In a Truth Social post, Trump said it was a “very productive call”. In a follow-up post, the President also said he agreed to “go to China in the early part of next year” and that XI “would, likewise, come to the United States at an appropriate time.” Oracle (ORCL) is expected to be the biggest beneficiary of a TikTok deal after it was confirmed this week the company is part of the consortium of investors looking to take over the U.S. arm of the social media site. Oracle already hosts TikTok’s U.S. data and a new agreement could present additional revenue opportunities for the tech company like advertising revenue. 6. Quarterly Earnings Reports Could Go Away The SEC Chairman told CNBC on Friday the agency will propose a rule change to do away with quarterly earnings reports for publicly traded companies. This comes after President Trump called for the change in a post on Truth social earlier in the week. “In principle, I think to propose change in what our rules are now, I think would be a good way forward, and then we’ll consider that and move forward after that.. for the sake of shareholders and public companies, the market can decide what the proper cadence is.” -Paul Atkins, SEC Chair President Trump floated the idea of semi-annual reports saying such a move “will save money, and allow managers to focus on properly running their companies.” 7. iPhone 17 Global Sales Begin All eyes are on Apple (AAPL) as its newly announced iPhone 17 line hit store shelves globally on Friday. The company’s iPhone sales have been under pressure in recent years as it faces more and more competition – especially in China. But data from JD.com showed the first minute of iPhone 17 series preorders surpassed day-one order volume for the iPhone 16 series. That may be a good sign for the tech giant. Apple launched 4 phones in the 17 series: the iPhone 17, iPhone 17
Continue Reading -->Could Intel Be The Next MP? David Prince Answers
Intel (INTC) rallied over 20% on the announcement of Nvidia’s (NVDA) $5 billion investment in the company. This comes after the U.S. government took a 10% stake in the chipmaker in August. David Prince discusses whether the stock could see a move like MP Materials (MP) did after its own government stake and partnership with Apple (AAPL): David also covers: What the deal means for NVDA His big take away from the Fed on Wednesday How he’s trading crypto names like SOLT and BMNR His favorite setups for trades right now And more! Join next week’s free webinar with David here.
Continue Reading -->My #1 FOMC Stock
JR Romero of the Momentum Express VTF® is bullish on construction equipment stock Caterpillar (CAT) – and unveils his price target in this video: JR also goes over: Why he likes Antero Midstream (AM) The strong uptrend in TTM Technologies (TTMI) The attractive base in Upwork (UPWK) Why PJT Partnership (PTN) is going to $220 How he is playing Carlyle Group (CG) on a pullback Where is is looking for a secondary entry in Amphenol (APHL) The reason JR hates trading banks – but is making an exception with Bank of New York Mellon (BK) And more! JR’s watchlist is deep so do not miss this video.
Continue Reading -->7 Trading Lessons from Sami Abusaad
Want to go from zero-to-pro trader with Sami’s help? Check out the Pristine Mentorship now. Sami Abusaad just appeared on our new podcast “The T3 Alpha Show” to fill us in on his fascinating journey from non-English speaking immigrant to honor student to big 4 CPA to top professional trader: Here are 7 trading lessons we took away from this in-depth interview: 1. Trading Isn’t a Game (But It Should Feel Like One) Sami was a great accountant. But his heart wasn’t in it. It was too rigid and too boring. Trading, on the other hand, was what he was looking for. He loves the daily grind of analyzing charts and risking capital, and that’s a big part of why he’s so good at it. You have to find something you love so much that the work doesn’t feel like work. 2. Get in the Zone Ever heard of a “flow state”? It’s when you’re so focused on what you’re doing that everything else melts away. For Sami, that’s what trading is all about. He’s locked in, fully immersed, and totally concentrated. It’s the complete opposite of the typical trader stereotype – hot-tempered with zero attention span. In fact, when Sami is at his best, he isn’t even thinking. He’s FEELING. 3. The Big Picture Trumps the Details When Sami looks at a chart, he sees a picture, not a bunch of numbers. He flips through them at warp speed, almost like a slideshow, and he can tell if a chart is a good one instantly. He doesn’t get caught up in the tiny little details because he trusts his gut and his years of experience. A setup is good, or it’s not. And for Sami, it’s just like seeing a piece of art. He knows that he likes at a glance. If he looks at a chart for more than a few seconds, it’s trash. 4. It’s a Mix of Nature and Nurture Sami believes anyone can learn to trade, but to be a superstar, you need some natural talent. He credits his analytical mind and innate knack for pattern recognition with his success. But natural talent is never enough. The best traders work hard and love what they do. So, some of it is in your genes, but you still need to work hard and grind. 5. You Can Bounce Back from Big Losses Sami’s friend James “Rich” Young (they teach the Pristine Mentorship together) spent $40,000 on education before things clicked clicked. And Sami himself lost $65,000 at the start of his career before getting on the track to long-term success. So a rough start doesn’t mean you’re a failure. Keep learning and keep getting better. Don’t let yourself get cocky, because the market will humble you. 6. Don’t Put All Your Eggs in One Basket Sami’s friend has a single strategy that she’s used to become a great trader. But Sami warns that relying on just one approach can be a trap. The market changes all the time, and a strategy that works today might not work tomorrow. A smart trader is always adapting and has multiple tools in their toolbox. Yes, you should always max out whatever’s working now. But never assume it will last forever. 7. Let the Computers Do the Boring Stuff Sami is very tech-savvy. He traded Bitcoin back in 2012, before 99.9% of the population ever heard of it. He’s even developed his own algo that automates a lot of his trades. He picks the stocks and sets the rules, and the computer handles the rest. He sees a future where AI handles the routine tasks, freeing up traders to focus on big decisions. But he’s not ready to hand over complete control just yet. He still wants to be in the driver’s seat. Want to make Sami your personal trading mentor? Check this out now.
Continue Reading -->8 Things You Need to Know: The Fed Is Dead Ahead
1. The Fed Is Dead Ahead Buckle up buttercups, because the FOMC Rate Decision is dead ahead. Following this week’s CPI and PPI reports and last week’s stinker of a jobs report, the CME’s FedWatch tool is pricing in a 100% probability of a rate cut. As you can see on the right side of this chart, the odds show a 96.4% chance of a 25 bps cut. The odds of a 50 ups cut are a mere 3.6%. But of course, traders are looking for guidance on the future rate trajectory, which feels like a mystery at this point. But what are equities saying? 2. Rate Sensitive Stocks Are Rocking Homebuilders and small caps are rocking in Q3. Look at these numbers: The SPDR Homebuilders ETF (XHB) is up 17.9%, while the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is up 10.4%. Meanwhile, SPY is up just 6.4%. So traders are absolutely pricing in a more dovish Fed. 3. Oracle Stole Nvidia’s Crown Oracle (ORCL) popped 36% on Wednesday after the company said AI-driven cloud revenue will hit $144 billion by FY2030. That’s more than 7X what it will make this year, taking the entire trading and investing world by storm. The stock is now up 77% YTD, knocking Nvidia off the top of the megacap AI heap. And Oracle estimates are going through the roof. According to Koyfin data: The FY2028 consensus revenue estimate went from $99.6 billion to $114 billion. That’s a 14% bump OVERNIGHT. The FY2029 consensus revenue estimate went from $120.4 billion to $165 billion. An increase of 37%. We haven’t seen anything like this since Nvidia (NVDA) in late 2023, when the AI story was just emerging. 4. The 90’s Are BACK Speaking of Oracle, have you noticed how many 1990’s stock market darlings are up huge in 2025? These are the best performing S&P 500 stocks of 2025: Western Digital (WDC) Micron (MU) CVS (CVS) General Electric (GE) Corning (GLW) Lam Research (LRCX) Broadcom (AVGO) KLA Tencor (KLAC) Jabil (JBL) Most of these names have ties to AI, data storage, and the power grid, so it makes sense. Plus, Old Navy is pushing Nirvana shirts and the Backstreet Boys sold out The Sphere in Las Vegas… so the 90’s really are back. 5. Tim Walz Took on Tesla and Failed… Again Minnesota Governor Tim Walz scored an 8/10 with this Tweet making fun of Elon Musk losing his status as the world’s richest person: https://t.co/piZWl3Cl9B pic.twitter.com/m4VAeh3uHv — Tim Walz (@Tim_Walz) September 10, 2025 Back in March, Tim Walz put in the bottom when he celebrated the weakness in Tesla stock. That was when Sami Abusaad infamously bought 2,500 Tesla shares. And you know what? Tesla Tim gave his second buy signal of the year – the skyrocketed following the Tweet we just showed you: As the proud owner of 500 Tesla shares, thank you Tim! Actually, that was a typo. I have 5 shares of Tesla. Carry on… 6. The Bears Are On Patrol The AII Sentiment Survey shows that just 28.0% of investors are bullish on the stock market for the next 6 months. This is the 6th straight week of below-average bullishness. And it’s the lowest bullish reading since April 30. This is great news because it means people are still on the sidelines. 7. OpenDoor Is the #1 Short King Opendoor (OPEN) stock skyrocketed this week after it named Shopify (SHOP) COO Kaz Nejatian as CEO. Opendoor cofounder and new chairman Keith Rabois told CNBC “There’s 1,400 employees at Opendoor. I don’t know what most of them do. We don’t need more than 200 of them.” Nejatian’s claim to fame is eliminating almost all meetings at Shopify so people can get stuff done. So this looks like a match made in heaven. We used Koyfin to screen for US equities with 15%+ short interest and a market cap over $500 million. And Opendoor is #1 by a mile with its 467% gain: 8. This Might Be the Hungriest Kid on Wall Street T3 just launched its first-ever podcast “The T3 Alpha Show.” Our first guest is Sam Rabinowitz, a young buck hungry for a job on Wall Street. So he physically walked to Wall Street to get his shot by holding a sign. This is his story:
Continue Reading -->Pro Trader AI Roundtable: Is the Trend Alive?
Sami Abusaad, JR Romero, and special guest Charlie Moon of Prosper Trading came together today for a wide-ranging discussion on AI in trading: We went over: Why so few traders are using AI How Charlie uses AI extensively as a high-speed analysis and automation tool JR’s specific use of AI in testing his strategies Why Sami hasn’t found a use for AI yet Why Oracle (ORCL) rose so much after earnings The reason the AI trade is not done yet Why the market remains bullish – and impossible to short Everyone’s favorite ideas – including China plays, semiconductors, retailers, and more! And more!
Continue Reading -->Just 31.7% of Traders Use AI, Survey Says
Do Traders Use ChatGPT and Other AI Tools? According to a recent survey of our community… not really. We emailed our fans asking a simple question: Are you using AI in your trading in any way? 379 traders answered the question. 31.7% said yes, they are using AI tools like ChatGPT in trading. And 68.3% said no. Why Aren’t More Traders Using AI? Overwhelmingly, traders who aren’t using AI offered some variation of “I don’t know how.” Here’s a sample of unedited survey responses: “Don’t know how to. I am used to reading charts myself…” “No idea of where to find” “Myself. Learning curve.” “Don’t have the knowledge” “The few AI trading I came across was too complicated.” “Don’t know how to use it” “Unfamiliar how to use effectively” This shows there is a lack of education regarding AI in trading, or at the very least, a lack of awareness. Some respondents also have a lack of trust in AI tools, and the companies behind them: “haven’t seen any AI tools that I think will help. they might be available I am just not aware” “Glitches and potential losses” “Desire to remain off the grid in terms of ongoing info tracking, hacking, etc. Don’t trust AI completely as it’s used maliciously too much “ “Don’t see how it could be useful for me to use it for trading. I see how firms with millions of dollars could have teams of phd’s using it.” We also asked those who don’t use AI in trading “What could make you start using AI?” The answers mostly revolved around proof and education. Here’s a sample of unedited responses: “High degree of confidence that AI is not going to hallucinate” “Demo on how it would work and help” “Seeing how it works and if it works consistently!” “I would have to clearly understand how it would work for me and make money with less effort and greater results.” “Teach me how to use it and implement it into my trading platform” “Clear evidence of consistent lower risk and higher gain” “If I could trust it, but I don’t know enough about it to know what that would entail.” So it seems like more traders would use AI if they had proof it helps, and a clear path for learning. But what about the traders who are using AI? What AI Tools Are Traders Using? We asked traders who are using AI “Which AI tools do you use in your trading?” Here are the most commonly mentioned tools, in order of mentions (most to fewest): ChatGPT Grok Perplexity Gemini Claude How Are Traders Using AI? We asked the “Yes” respondents “How do these tools help you?” The answers largely fell into 5 categories: Information and Research: finding top-performing stocks, dividend dates, YTD percentages, revenue increases, company research, fundamentals, technical setups, heavily followed stocks, categorizations, correlations, betas, news, and summarizing reports/data. Analysis and Ideas: generating option ideas, backtesting, analyzing charts, creating possible scenarios and reasoning models, finding bullish sentiment, custom queries for trends and levels, trade review, strategy analysis, and identifying shared positions among traders. Time-Saving and Efficiency: optimizing backtesting and script writing, parsing information, bulk data generation and refinement, fast and quick information retrieval, reducing manual legwork, speeding up organization, and record-keeping. Decision Support: making better decisions, double-checking decisions, and acting as a thinking partner for swing trade ideas. Trade Execution Support: Finding entries and timing, selecting expiry, stops, and limit targets, sifting trading ideas. And here are a few specific answers (unedited) we found interesting: “AI to me is research, learning, and idea-bouncing without bias or judgment. I upload charts for Wyckoff and pattern recognition help (wedges, triangles, flags, etc.), and I use it to bounce swing trade ideas as a thinking partner — never as a trade signal generator. Sometimes I’ll reverse engineer a pro’s trade I didn’t fully understand, and AI helps me break it down step by step. What makes it invaluable is education: it explains concepts in multiple ways until they finally click.” “Be more disciplined, find stocks, compare stocks, define risk, suggest tier and trim, keeps track of watch list. Logging trades. Plans the news, interpret technicals, summarize news” “It’s the perfect data finder among the emotional outpouring. It’s unbiased and can put together trends.” “Optimize backtesting and script writing mainly with some help in parsing information from the tools I use” “Ideas for investing, and lots of calculations and forward projecting with my Risk parameters.” What Do Traders Want from AI? Finally, we asked current AI users “What do you wish AI could do for you?” There was a huge range of answers, falling into these categories: Prediction and Forecasting: Users want AI to predict future market prices, such as tomorrow’s market movers, the impact of interest rates on stocks, and accurate forecasts for detailed decision-making approaches. Automated Trading/Recommendations: many traders want AI tools to scan databases for optimal entries, set stops, and targets, generate option ideas, execute trades based on user-defined rules, create specific charts with indicators, suggest trading systems, identify high-probability stock moves, and find setups. Enhanced Analysis: many traders want AI to analyze charts on multiple timeframes, plot price points in relation to news, analyze news for trading probabilities, provide solid market analysis, perform trade journaling analysis, analyze strategies and setups with suggestions/corrections, and pick top stocks in sectors based on various parameters. Performance Improvement: traders want AI to improve their P&L in many ways, like minimizing losses, improving trading discipline, findind better trades, and providing a competitive edge against high-frequency trading. Full Automation: some traders want AI to take care of the entire process from idea generation to entry to exit. Here are some unedited individual answers we found interesting: “See the future. For example: interest rates will probably go down in the next few months. If ai could look ahead and see this and then analyze which stocks might benefit the most from this in the future.” “Pick the top stock in each sector
Continue Reading -->10 Things You Need to Know: The Job Market Stinks
Serious about markets? This is what you need to know: 1. The Jobs Market Stinks For the second straight month, the BLS dropped a crappy nonfarm payrolls report with downward revisions to prior readings. And immediately, traders started pricing a 100% probability of a September rate cut, with an 11.8% chance of a 50 bps cut, according to the CME’s Fedwatch tool. That wasn’t the only disappointing employment data point this week. We also had misses on: ADP Nonfarm Employment ISM Manufacturing Employment ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment Initial Jobless claims The job market stinks. And this has traders thinking about… 2. Revenge of the Small Caps For years, small cap rallies have failed and failed again. But a rebound is starting to feel real. Growing expectations for Fed rate cuts pushed up rate-sensitive stocks on Friday, including small caps. And the Russell 2000 is now up 9.6% in Q3, more than doubling the SPX’s performance. We also saw big strength in housing stocks, with the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) up nearly 2%. And XHB is now up over 24% over the past 3 months, so traders are already pricing in an improving housing market. But, one high-profile stock is looking pretty sad: 3. Nvidia Lost Its Shine Last week, you learned about Nvidia’s growing “awareness problem.” Nvidia’s earnings beats keep getting smaller because analysts have boosted estimates so much. So those upside surprises have lost their oomph. And then this week, Broadcom (AVGO) announced a $10 billion AI chip deal with an undisclosed customer. The word on the street is that ChatGPT maker OpenAI is the mystery buyer. The street viewed this as a market share loss for Nvidia, so the stock showed relative weakness Friday. So Nvidia is in the penalty box for the first time since the release of the DeepSeek AI model, which was allegedly so efficient that it would hurt demand for AI chips. (didn’t happen) 4. Sydney Sweeney Turned Up the Heat on Cracker Barrel A month ago, American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) came under fire for its “Great Jeans” ad campaign starring Sydney Sweeney. Mainstream media critics hated the campaign. Young denim buyers loved it, and American Eagle’s strong earnings report sent the stock higher than Ozzy circa 1982. So for now, American Eagle is the champion of “Culture War Earnings Season.” The only question we have is did Ms. Sweeney get paid in stock? If she did, she made the trade of the year. Pelosi-esque, if you will. Next up is Cracker Barrel (CBRL), which has come under fire for alienating its core customers with its modern rebrand. If the cultural tide is shifting the way it looks, Cracker Barrel’s next earnings report (should be around 9/19) could be a big ol’ mess. 5. There Is a Lack of Faith in the Market Despite the SPX hovering near all-time highs, and markets pricing in a September rate cut, there is little trust in this market. The AAII Sentiment Survey came in at just 32.7% bullish this week. That’s the 5th straight week of below-average bullishness. But this is healthy for the market. Because it implies there is still capital on the sidelines ready to be deployed. 6. Earnings Estimates May Be Too High Factset reports that analysts raised estimates slightly for S&P 500 companies for Q3. This is a big turnaround for Wall Street. During the last 20 quarters, analysts CUT estimates by 1.0% on average in the first 2 months of a quarter. But this time they are RAISING numbers. This is bad bad bad. In recent quarters, companies smashed estimates because the bar was so low. The higher estimates go, the harder it is to come by beats. Which you just learned is Nvidia’s biggest problem. And estimates have risen most in tech. +4.4% to be exact. 7. The Yoga Pants Economy Is in Freefall Lululemon (LULU) has been in freefall all year, and got destroyed on Friday after cutting guidance again. So middle-to-upper-income consumers are tightening their wallets. One must wonder… are fellow “yoga pants demographic” stocks like Starbucks (SBUX) and Target (TGT) destined for lousy earnings in coming quarters? The job market can’t be helping, and these names have been underperforming as it is: 8. Gold Is In Chainsaw Mode It’s been a banner year for gold bugs. And on Monday, GLD cut through $317 resistance like a chainsaw through butter: And it hit a record high at $331.44 Friday. Why? It’s a perfect storm. We have economic fears, geopolitical concerns, a weak dollar, and central bank/ETF demand. I’ve made fun of the gold bugs many times. Now I wish I was one. Gold bugs: pic.twitter.com/ejyEKIQfqv — T3 Live (@t3live) September 5, 2025 9. You May Be Ready to Be a Sultan! JR Romero just launched a brand service called “Sultans of Swing Trading.” You can see a sneak preview of how he sets up a swing trading watch list here: 10. Let’s Remember Terence Stamp Legendary British actor Terence Stamp passed away two weeks ago, and shame on us for not mentioning him. Because he had a memorable turn as Gordon Gekko’s nemesis Larry Wildman in “Wall Street.” “I could break you mate..” never sounded so good.
Continue Reading -->