All posts by Jeff Cooper
THIS THING’S GONNA CRASH
“He hears the ticking of the clocks And walks along with a parrot that talks.” –Simple Twist Of Fate, Bob Dylan Yesterday Fed Chair Powell was asked whether “a soft landing was still possible.” His response was, “That’s not our base case.” In other words, the door is wide open to a hard landing if […]
Continue Reading -->Chaos Theory: The Case for a Troubled Market
In 1912, we had a Presidential election that brought Woodrow Wilson to power. He brought in the Income Tax and the Federal Reserve. It was a major turning point in determining the future of the United States. From 1912 to the 2024 election is 112 years. 112 years prior to the 1912 election was the […]
Continue Reading -->What if Apple Falls Far From the Tree?
APPL is the beneficiary of a virtuous cycle of buying. However, when the worm turns, the unwind can be vicious. In AAPL’s case, the reversion to the mean can become particularly negative Because it is in virtually every index and every fund, it becomes a source of funds. When the market gets spooked…or worse when […]
Continue Reading -->What’s Next After the Worst Year for US Treasuries?
This has been the worst year for US Treasuries on record. It’s no coincidence that it also saw the highest Central Bank gold buying streak in over a Fibonacci 55 years. As Treasuries political and debasement risks rise it should not be a surprise that demand for gold amongst the ‘insider’ CB’s has been soaring. […]
Continue Reading -->The Reality of Nvidia Nirvana
“Well, it’s the second time I’ve caught you talking to him Do I have to tell you one more time, I think it’s a sin” –The Beatles, You Can’t Do That “Oh what a tangled web we weave When first we practice to deceive.” -Sir Walter Scott. This video about NVDA reminds me of a […]
Continue Reading -->Do You See the QQQ’s Hidden Pivots?
“I work the seaways, the gale-swept seaways Past shipwrecked daughters of wicked waters.” –Sail On, Sailor, The Beach Boys The leader is the QQQ (NDX). Below is a weekly QQQ, but it is not a chart you see every day…or even any day. It is a QQQ 3 Week Chart that depicts my swing methodology […]
Continue Reading -->Will the Bull Market Go Out With a Bang?
Bear markets don’t usually end with a whimper like last October. They usually end with a bang…. a crescendo of capitulation and fear. Credit and liquidity concerns usually go hand in hand with such selling crescendo’s. These concerns are ripe to become full-blown going into this seasonally bearish period in the fall and a period […]
Continue Reading -->Do You See the Sign of the Bear?
“Keep your eyes on the road Your hand upon the Wheel.” -The Doors I’ve been in the markets ever since a stint with the storied Drexel Burnham office in Beverly Hills in 1982. From there I went on work with my father’s private hedge fund. After Black Monday in 1987 when I realized the same […]
Continue Reading -->The News Breaks With The Cycles, Not The Other Way Around
“There are days it never rains but it pours.” –Under Pressure, Freddie Mercury, David Bowie The news breaks with the cycles, not the other way around. Now we know one reason why the market’s been in a slide. On Thursday, Evergrande, China’s second largest property developer filed for bankruptcy. The property company’s debt load is […]
Continue Reading -->How I Profit Using the Square of 9 Time & Price Calculator
“The fluctuation of share prices is proportional to the square root of the price.” -Sir John Templeton Sir John Templeton was a died in the wool fundamentalist, about as far from an esoteric technician as you could get; yet, he employed the Principle Of Squares as revealed thru my Square Of 9 Wheel. Let’s take […]
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