T3 Live
Shares

All posts by Jeff Cooper

Capitulation On Deck

Shares

If the biggest bond market crash in 40 years in 2022 is going to see the stock market maintain their sideways trading range, good luck. In sum, there is no real fear. Why? Arguably, from a contrary opinion point of view, it may be “encouraging” that, according to the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) […]

Continue Reading -->

The Martians Have Landed… And They’re In Stonks

Shares

“To suppose that the value of a common stock is determined purely by a corporation’s earnings discounted by the relevant interest rates and adjusted for the marginal tax rate is to forget that people have burned witches, gone to war on a whim, risen to the defense of Joseph Stalin and believed Orson Welles when […]

Continue Reading -->

The Setup

Shares

Throughout the fall we wrote that our expectation was for the market to “get hit hard starting in January.” That expectation was based on WD Gann’s Master Time Factor. After an initial low and an interim rebound, the roadmap is that this same cycle should exert its downside pressure into sometime in May, which may […]

Continue Reading -->

The 200 Day Moving Average and Why It Matters

Shares

Before I get into the meaning of the title of this report, I want to review a few things. Let’s start with the glamour QQQ. As you recall, I mentioned several times in March that when the Monthly Swing Chart turns up, if the primary trend is down which is the presumption, that it should define […]

Continue Reading -->

The Battle Lines Are Drawn

Shares

They say sentiment follows price. But if you look at the market as a supply and demand of emotions, you have to look under the surface and ask, what really drives sentiment? Are there swings in mood and psychology that are dominated by cycles? What drives these cycles is not what this is about. But […]

Continue Reading -->

Keyser Soze Signal

Shares

In the movie The Usual Suspects, there is a villainous character by the name of Keyser Soze that strikes fear into the hearts of all who cross his path. In the movie, Keyser Soze is not what he appears to be. He pretends to be what he is not… not unlike a vicious bear market rally. […]

Continue Reading -->

Ghost Busters?

Shares

“Vibration explains every possible phase and condition of the market.” – WD Gann “If you want to find the secret of the universe, think in terms of energy, frequency and vibration.” – Nicola Tesla “In a bull market, it’s good to be Rip Van Winkle. In a bear market, it’s better to be Nostradamus.” – […]

Continue Reading -->

Lock, Stock & Barrel

Shares

Food costs spiraling. Riots? A la Arab Spring? When 1/3 of your income goes for food, maybe RGR is the stock to own. Of course, there’s no shortage of guns in the US, but there is a shortage of rule of law in contrast to the Great Depression. A massive amount of the world’s wheat harvest isn’t […]

Continue Reading -->

Death Cross

Shares

Powell was asked what would prevent a 50 bps move in May. Powell: “Nothing would prevent May FOMC 50 basis point rate hike.” One characteristic common to almost all bear markets or bear phases is that once a negative MA crossover has taken place, it remains that way until after the final low is in. […]

Continue Reading -->

Wreaking Havoc: False Moves Lead To Fast Moves

Shares

Our March 14 (+ or -) Panic Cycle turned out to be a buying panic. I’ve had the date on my radar for over a month, as you know, but I was thinking/hoping it would be a washout with a reversal — in other words, panicky selling followed by a dramatic reversal. One could argue […]

Continue Reading -->