Fear Rising

There is little new to add to our outlook.

The decline resumes after a Paws Day.

The decline was orderly Thursday.

If traders were nervous, they showed no sign of it via VIZ or UVXY.

That changed abruptly after the close.

From Investing.com:

“FedEx Corp warned for the first quarter and withdrew guidance for the YEAR, sending the stock down 11% after-hours.

The delivery giant said it sees Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $3.44, down from $4.27 last year and well below the consensus of $5.14.

The company aid results were adversely impacted by global volume softness that accelerated in the final weeks of the quarter.

FedEx Express results were particularly impacted by macroeconomic weakness in Asia and service challenges in Europe, leading to revenue shortfall in this segment of approximately $500 million relative to company forecasts.

Fedex Ground’s revenue was roughly $300 million below company forecasts.

“Global volumes declined as macroeconomic trends significantly worsened later in the quarter, both internationally and in the U.S.

We are swiftly addressing these headwinds, but given the speed at which conditions shifted, first quarter results are below are expectations,” said Raj Subramaniam, FedEx Corp president and CEO.

“While this performance is disappointing, we are aggressively accelerating cost reduction efforts and evaluating additional measures to enhance productivity, reduce variable costs, and implement structural cost-reduction initiatives.
These efforts are aligned with the strategy we outlined in June, and I remain confident in achieving our fiscal year 2025 financial targets.”

As a result of the preliminary first quarter financial performance and expectations for a continued volatile operating environment, FedEx is withdrawing its fiscal year 2023 earnings forecast provided on June 23, 2022.”

Wow.

Fear rose overnight with futes falling.

FedEx fell 30 points after-hours.

UVXY advanced more than 2% from Thursday’s close.

Urgent selling may be on deck.

Today is a triple witch and the SPX has lost the key 3900 level.

If momentum persists after the opening salvo, the SPX could be magnetized first to the 3850 strike and then 3800.