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All posts by JR Romero

Why Oil Controls Stocks

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Forget CPI. Forget PPI. This market is about oil: The market is obsessed over the CPI and PPI reports because inflation has been so stubborn. But JR argues that the price of crude oil is vastly more important. The Problem With CPI The CPI is widely used as a benchmark for inflation, but it comes with a few massive flaws for active traders and investors who need up-to-date info: It’s a lagging statistic: By the time government CPI numbers are released, they are already telling us what happened weeks ago, not what is happening right now. It is subject to revisions: Government data is notorious for being adjusted after the fact. The initial print you react to isn’t always the final reality. Oil: The Ultimate Real-Time Indicator In contrast, oil doesn’t suffer from the same lag or bureaucratic adjustments. As JR points out, oil is a real-time indicator you can access any time It fluctuates every second based on pure global supply, demand, and geopolitical realities. There are no surprise government revisions to oil prices. The price on your screen is what the market dictates at any given moment. The “Everything” Commodity Oil is the lifeblood of the global economy. Its influence extends far beyond what you pay at the gas pump. Oil factors into the manufacturing, packaging, and transportation of practically everything we consume: Electronics: The complex global supply chains and synthetic materials required for modern tech products rely heavily on petroleum products. Plastics: How much plastic is in your house right now? All of it depends on oil. Agriculture: The fertilizers used to grow our food—as well as the massive machinery used to harvest and transport it—are highly dependent on oil. Because oil is a foundational component for so many different industries, a spike or drop in oil prices instantly impacts production costs, corporate profit margins, and your wallet. Driving Market Sentiment This is why so heavily dictates market sentiment. When oil prices surge, you see an instant ripple effect of anxiety because costs rise for businesses and consumers. And on the flip side, when oil prices drop, we can take a deep breath. While the broader public might continue to react to outdated CPI prints, smart traders know that tracking oil gives you the real-time pulse of the economy.

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SpaceX Is Going Here

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The story of SpaceX (SPCX) stock is a story of supply and demand. Those forces tell JR Romero SpaceX is going to $190: SpaceX has been a fascinating example of how a narrative change (especially when it comes to the data center) helped drive a massive move in the stock price. And that’s made it hard for traditional analysts to evaluate the stock. But JR will show you how the chart confirmed that it was time to buy the stock. At one point, JR was massively short SpaceX, but he had to respect the price action.

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2 Huge Catalysts on My Radar

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Yes, it’s time to talk politics. Because it can make you money. JR Romero believes the mid-term elections could be a bullish catalyst. If the Democrats take the House and/or Senate, government gridlock could drive a rally. He explains: Democrats Win = $SPY Skyrockets? JR Romero argues that the Democrats succeeding in the mid-term elections would be bullish for the stock market. If Democrats win control of the House or both chambers of Congress, it could mean less aggressive executive actions by President… pic.twitter.com/Jp8UAdv775 — T3 Live (@t3live) October 2, 2026 But that’s not all. If we get a positive resolution on Iran, JR believes Caterpillar (CAT) has potential to put in a big rally: $CAT Bull Case If we get a US-Iran peace deal that sends crude oil lower, Caterpillar is the way to play it. JR Romero believes the stock could get to $922 to $960. See the technical breakdown in this video: pic.twitter.com/qvI6hsU6k2 — T3 Live (@t3live) October 2, 2026

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Micron Is Going to $1,434

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The bears are wrong about Micron (MU). The company delivered a monster earnings report, and JR Romero says the stock is going to $1,434 by late December to early January. JR breaks down everything you need to know about Micron after its latest earnings beat, including: Fundamental Growth: Breakdown of $87% gross margins, $32B in financial commitments, and sold-out HBM capacity. The numbers point to accelerating AI demand, not a slowdown or anything close to it. Plus, Micron’s valuation remains incredibly cheap. Wall Street vs. Reality: Debunking recent analyst downgrades and bear arguments. Tape Reading & Overhead Supply: How $MU is absorbing 20–25M shares of resistance around key levels. Wyckoff Re-Accumulation: Identifying the post-earnings shakeout inside the major demand zone. Price Target Projections: The exact measured moves indicating how $MU can get to $1,434. So if you were disappointed by Micron’s sideways initial reaction to earnings, you should watch this video and get re-educated.

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The Bond Market vs. the Fed

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The Bond Market vs. the Fed The bond market is saying something very loud about the Fed and FOMC Chair Kevin Warsh. And it may not be pretty. Because bonds may be calling BS on the Fed’s ability to rein in inflation. JR Romero explains: The flattening 2-10 year Treasury yield curve is a key indicator of market fear, uncertainty, and doubt regarding a impending economic slowdown or recession. Plus, there is an inverted relationship between strong corporate earnings (especially in AI), and what consumers are feeling. You see this in stocks like McDonald’s (MCD), Monster Energy (MNST), and Pepsi (PEP). Yes, companies like Micron (MU), SanDisk (SNDK), and Nvidia (NVDA) are reporting blowout earnings. But that doesn’t mean the general public is feeling good about the state of the economy.

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This Stock Is Dynamite

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JR Romero loves medical technology stock HeartFlow (HTFL). He calls it a “stick of dynamite” that is breaking out of its IPO base: He explains: Why momentum is strong right now Why it can go to $80 The utility stock he loves right now Why Caterpillar (CAT) is a buy, even with rising interest rates The bullish case for DataDog (DDOG), following big moves by Zscaler (ZS) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) And more!

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The SpaceX War: Bullish Chart vs. Insider Selling

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JR Romero is bullish on SpaceX (SPCX), and in his newest video, he his new breakout level and his initial target. But watch the whole thing because it gets more interesting in the second half: SpaceX has a very bullish chart, riding the 20 day moving average upwards. But many observers are worried about insider selling. So you get an in-depth philosophy lesson from JR on how he balances bullish technicals with supposedly negative news. And yes, JR has knocked SpaceX in the past, but he can’t ignore the upside potential here.

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Nvidia Is Going to 300

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Nvidia (NVDA) rallied big after reporting earnings on Wednesday. So JR Romero put a new price target on the name: Learn: Why JR is “very impressed” with NVDA‘s guidance If traders can get excited about the stock again NVDA‘s impact on memory names like SNDK and MU And more!

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Trading Nvidia Requires No Brains

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Nvidia (NVDA) is about to report earnings and JR Romero has a super-simple strategy for playing the reaction. (fast forward to 3:55 for JR’s take) This is so simple you can’t believe it: Learn: What Nvidia tends to do after reporting earnings Why now is not the time to buy Nvidia The bull and bear cases for the controversial SpaceX (SPCX) How to fight the temptation of FOMO in this environment Our favorite names right now And more!

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SpaceX vs. the Wall

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Elon Musk’s SpaceX (SPCX) just bounced off the lows. But it’s about to hit a wall. JR explains. JR goes over: Why he’s been shorting SpaceX (SPCX) The ETFs he uses to handle SpaceX Why it was the most obvious short in history after the IPO What the breakaway gap in Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) means for SanDisk (SNDK) Why the semis may be bottoming The reason the CPI report is so important And more!

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