Conclusion<\/strong><\/p>\nOut of 5 sentiment indicators, we have 2 bullish, 2 neutral, and 2 bearish.<\/p>\n
So after two weeks of undeniably bullish readings, traders are back in neutral territory.<\/p>\n
It's not exciting… but it's the truth.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Permabulls always say everyone’s bearish. And\u00a0permabears\u00a0always say everyone’s bullish. But let’s look at the actual numbers to see how the crowd actually feels. Last week, we saw sentiment climb to frothy territory. Now, let’s see if anything’s changed now that we’re seeing some signs of deterioration, most notably the relative weakness in the Russell 2000. 1) VIX Spread – Bullish The 3-month VIX spread is at +3.96, which indicates traders are still not concerned with volatility. This is a bullish reading. 2) CNN Fear & Greed Index – Bullish The Fear & Greed Index is at 66, down from 81 last week. F&G operates on a 1-100 scale, and 66 indicates moderate greed. 3) AAII Sentiment – Bearish The latest AAII Sentiment Survey shows that 30.0% of individual investors are bullish, which is well below the long-term average of 38.5%. It’s also slightly down from last week, which is a surprise to me. Bullish AAII Sentiment has been below the long-term average for 7 of the past 8 weeks. 4) CBOE Equity Put-Call – Neutral The CBOE Equity-Put Call ratio was at 0.72 yesterday, which is a 2 week high. The 3-day moving average is 0.63. This is basically neutral. 5) ISE Sentiment – Neutral The ISE Sentiment Index is currently at 112 (112 calls for every 100 puts) at yesterday’s close, which is a bullish reading.\u00a0 And the 10-day moving average is 84.1. Even though the 10-day moving average indicates high demand for puts relative to calls, I’ll call this neutral because it’s moved up quite a bit, and for the past year or so, the number seems to be perpetually low. In fact, I may have to boot it from these Weekly Sentiment Updates. Conclusion Out of 5 sentiment indicators, we have 2 bullish, 2 neutral, and 2 bearish. So after two weeks of undeniably bullish readings, traders are back in neutral territory. It’s not exciting… but it’s the truth.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4101,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[302,45,509,365,346,330,47,495,407,476],"class_list":["post-8889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-aaii-sentiment","tag-cboe-equity-put-call","tag-cnn-fear-and-greed-index","tag-cnn-fear-greed","tag-market-sentiment","tag-put-call-ratio","tag-sentiment","tag-stock-market-sentiment","tag-trader-sentiment","tag-weekly-sentiment-update"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8889","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8889"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8889\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8890,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8889\/revisions\/8890"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4101"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8889"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8889"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8889"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}