{"id":8604,"date":"2017-03-03T15:03:06","date_gmt":"2017-03-03T15:03:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.t3live.com\/blog\/?p=8604"},"modified":"2017-03-03T15:03:06","modified_gmt":"2017-03-03T15:03:06","slug":"qa-is-the-russell-2000-overbought","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2017\/03\/03\/qa-is-the-russell-2000-overbought\/","title":{"rendered":"Q&#038;A: Is the Russell 2000 Overbought?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Hi Mike,<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>I\u2019m a subscriber and I mostly follow <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.t3live.com\/blog\/daily-recap-video\/\">Scott Redler\u2019s Daily Recaps<\/a><\/strong><\/span>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>I just noticed that wrote about <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.t3live.com\/blog\/2017\/03\/02\/weekly-sentiment-update-bulls-are-on-parade-and-froth-is-setting-in\/\">sentiment<\/a><\/strong><\/span>. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Anyway, I only trade <strong>TNA<\/strong> and <strong>TZA<\/strong> (3X Russell 2000 ETF's). <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Don\u2019t you think it\u2019s way overbought?<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>-Rolando<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The <strong>Russell 2000<\/strong> has come 21% since its pre-election lows, so under the most basic rule of the market &#8212; what goes up must come down, eventually &#8212; it may be overbought.<\/p>\n<p>But let's take a look at a chart of the <strong>Russell 2000 ETF<\/strong> (IWM).<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8605\" src=\"http:\/\/www.t3live.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov.png 700w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-150x129.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-300x257.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-80x69.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-220x189.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-117x100.png 117w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-175x150.png 175w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-278x238.png 278w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-484x415.png 484w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-568x487.png 568w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/RUTov-694x595.png 694w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Russell is\u00a0pretty far above its 200 day moving average.<\/p>\n<p>However, prior to the last pop off the February lows, the Russell spent 2 months doing nothing.<\/p>\n<p>And now, IWM basically riding the 8 & 21 day moving averages and building a new trading range between $138 and $141.<\/p>\n<p>So from a big-picture perspective, the Russell may look a bit overbought &#8212; but that may not mean that it's going to drop.<\/p>\n<p>It could very well drop into another low-volatility range which will allow it to work off the overbought condition.<\/p>\n<p>I'd watch to see if IWM tests the 50 day moving average, and how it behaves from there.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hi Mike, I\u2019m a subscriber and I mostly follow Scott Redler\u2019s Daily Recaps. I just noticed that wrote about sentiment. Anyway, I only trade TNA and TZA (3X Russell 2000 ETF&#8217;s). Don\u2019t you think it\u2019s way overbought? -Rolando The Russell 2000 has come 21% since its pre-election lows, so under the most basic rule of the market &#8212; what goes up must come down, eventually &#8212; it may be overbought. But let&#8217;s take a look at a chart of the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM). The Russell is\u00a0pretty far above its 200 day moving average. However, prior to the last pop off the February lows, the Russell spent 2 months doing nothing. And now, IWM basically riding the 8 &#038; 21 day moving averages and building a new trading range between $138 and $141. So from a big-picture perspective, the Russell may look a bit overbought &#8212; but that may not mean that it&#8217;s going to drop. It could very well drop into another low-volatility range which will allow it to work off the overbought condition. I&#8217;d watch to see if IWM tests the 50 day moving average, and how it behaves from there. &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8605,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[378,546,496],"class_list":["post-8604","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-iwm","tag-overbought","tag-russell-2000"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8604","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8604"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8604\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8606,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8604\/revisions\/8606"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8605"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8604"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8604"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8604"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}