{"id":80968,"date":"2026-11-06T10:35:14","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T15:35:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=80968"},"modified":"2026-11-06T10:35:14","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T15:35:14","slug":"the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/","title":{"rendered":"The Midterms Have Changed Nothing In The Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/WWj6MjVTEbs?si=f6ZoMkHxUltljBbS\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The day after the midterms saw a ferocious rally. But the question I was asking myself while watching stock prices rip higher on Wednesday was this: what exactly has this new information changed?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The answer my mind kept circulating back to was that precisely nothing has changed the situation. The current situation is that many of the stocks in the market are weak and lack a constructive price structure. The only thing that matters in determining if we have a low risk situation that is conducive to making money is the existence of many stocks in good setups. We are simply not seeing a plethora of stocks setting up with <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/10\/29\/one-big-win-is-all-you-need\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the price structure I described in last week\u2019s note<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, there are selective examples of this setup that are paying off. One of them is Cricut, CRCT. I <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/10\/02\/desperation-for-dollars-and-liquidity\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">mentioned CRCT a month ago<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. If you go back to the chart posted in the note from Oct 2, 2026, you can see the price structure setup I described last week fully formed in the stock and the buy signal at about $6. This week was the payoff for this stock. Even while playing defense, there are still opportunities for big wins with small positions. I didn\u2019t get all the 50% gain of this move, but I am participating in the upside with very small positions. There\u2019s no reason to still be long this stock after a move like this, by the way.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CRCT\u2019s big move:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-80970\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"699\" height=\"423\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA.png 1609w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-1024x621.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-150x91.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-768x465.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-1536x931.png 1536w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-80x48.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-220x133.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-165x100.png 165w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-248x150.png 248w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-393x238.png 393w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-685x415.png 685w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-804x487.png 804w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CRCT-SSMA-982x595.png 982w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 699px) 100vw, 699px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Participating in a small way in big moves is about all I can do to keep my account near all time highs as I wait for a trend to develop. The market will trend eventually, but unfortunately, I think the next trend will be down. The market is trading in a range, and all ranges are defined by either distribution of stock or accumulation of stock as supply and demand are in equilibrium. Equilibrium is a state that can\u2019t last forever. Eventually, equilibrium is affected by an outside force, and disequilibrium becomes the new condition. While in a state of disequilibrium, prices can trend until a new equilibrium between supply and demand is reached.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The question traders must be asking right now is whether <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/10\/22\/finding-a-home-in-the-range\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">this range I\u2019ve described<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is strong hands <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">accumulating<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> stock <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">from<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> weak hands, or strong hands <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">distributing<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> stock <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> weak hands. Given the price action I\u2019m seeing in the semiconductor stocks, the leaders of this current market, I\u2019ve got to assume that this range is strong hands distributing stock. If you\u2019ve been following my weekly notes, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/10\/15\/assume-the-crash-position\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">you were aware of the danger in the semis<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> since Oct 15 and what the semis represented to the AI narrative. Big, institutional\u00a0 money knows that without the AI buildout, our economy would be <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/04\/knowing-when-to-press-your-bets\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">clearly in the contraction phase<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. The semiconductors are telling us that the best phase of the AI buildout is behind us. Without the leadership of the semiconductor stocks, this market has no leadership to rally higher out of this range.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bull markets need leadership, a group of stocks that are being bought and can rally even on bad news. The leaders are like generals charging into battle, and the rest of the stocks in the market are like the troops that are inspired by their general\u2019s courage and charge into battle along side their general. Think about Russell Crowe\u2019s character, Maximus, in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gladiator. <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Maximus\u2019 confidence in battle and his troops inspiration <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=bAmeOKhN9ck\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">in the opening battle scene<\/span><\/a> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">exemplify this market phenomenon perfectly. The semis were our leadership, and now they are busted.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Market leadership will be defined by a group of stocks in a sector that are outperforming the weakness and setting up with the price and volume structure I described last week. Without that setup proliferating inside a specific sector, traders won\u2019t know which stocks to key in on as the leadership to watch. Owning the leading names in a market is the key to winning, and in markets like this, I focus intently on trying to identify the leaders out of market corrections.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The medicine stocks are the closest group that is starting to look like it has the potential to be that next leadership, but we will have to see how they respond when the market weakens. JNJ, MRK, LLY, BIIB, TEVA, and AMGN all show that price structure I like. They have the highest potential to be the leaders in the next market trend. What I\u2019m looking for in order to know for certain if these medicine stocks will be the leaders is a decline out of this range in the SPX, and then I want to see these medicine stocks firm or even rally in the weakness. That\u2019s the sure sign that they will be the go to names for longs. When the SPX eventually stabilizes, these stocks would likely be the names that charge the hardest out of the gate if they manage to hold their constructive price structures until then. Then, and only then, will I know that I will have the lowest risk and the highest probability of winning by holding concentrated positions in these names.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As I\u2019ve said before, in a market like this, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/24\/bull-or-bear-pick-a-side-and-fight\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">you\u2019ve got to decide if you are bullish or bearish and put on a position<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. As for me, I\u2019m still bearish. I\u2019ve got lots of cash, at about 75% of my account, and I\u2019m still holding a small short position in DIA. My longs are very selective in names that are <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">in good setups, or assets that I want to own even if the market were to shut down for several months as it did when WWI kicked off in 1914. Assets in that camp that I own are gold miners, pipelines, and timberland. I\u2019m also looking at uranium miners to add to that group of long term assets. CCJ is washing out, and this may be the final give up phase underneath $70. Small, trial buys under $70 will either pan out, and I will add on the way up, or they will result in a failed experiment with a small loss.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CCJ:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-80969\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"424\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA.png 1609w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-1024x621.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-150x91.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-768x465.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-1536x931.png 1536w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-80x48.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-220x133.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-165x100.png 165w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-248x150.png 248w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-393x238.png 393w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-685x415.png 685w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-804x487.png 804w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/CCJ-SSMA-982x595.png 982w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Anything I do on the long side at this point will be relatively small until it can show me it is working on longer term time horizons. I\u2019m also tempted to add RIG to my long term assets. It started working this year, and it\u2019s holding well in a wide range of $4.50 to $7.50. RIG is closer<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to the bottom of the range than the top, so it\u2019s time to start warming up to it for a trial buy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>RIG:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-80972\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"424\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA.png 1609w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-1024x621.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-150x91.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-768x465.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-1536x931.png 1536w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-80x48.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-220x133.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-165x100.png 165w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-248x150.png 248w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-393x238.png 393w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-685x415.png 685w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-804x487.png 804w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RIG-SSMA-982x595.png 982w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gold and silver miners are also getting nearer the wash out phase (where buyers at higher levels just give up and sell at any price). My core position in gold miners has been volatile, but nowhere near the level of nominal price swings as when I was 90% long gold miners from 2023 to about March of 2026. I\u2019m looking for a reason to add to my miners, but I won\u2019t see it until GDX gets nearer $63. As gold falls in a little more, maybe to $3,825, or even $3,500, I\u2019ll warm up to the idea of adding back what I sold of my gold miner position from Sep 2025 to March 2026. I sold my miners off in chunks on the way up, and if I add back, I\u2019ll buy in chunks on the way down as selling looks increasingly violent into a crescendo. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>GDX:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-80971\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"424\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA.png 1609w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-1024x621.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-150x91.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-768x465.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-1536x931.png 1536w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-80x48.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-220x133.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-165x100.png 165w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-248x150.png 248w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-393x238.png 393w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-685x415.png 685w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-804x487.png 804w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GDX-SSMA-982x595.png 982w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">My main theme in long term assets worthy of ownership is hard assets where there has not been sufficient capital expenditure over the past economic cycle that started in 2012 when the QE era began. Kevin Warsh has been on record that he doesn\u2019t like QE, and that he would make a serious effort at reducing the Fed\u2019s balance sheet. I have no idea if he actually will, but assuming he is true to his word, then the market has a lot of price discovery to make up for.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Since Bernanke kicked off the QE era with QE 3 in 2012, the market has not been a capital allocation signal so much as a policy discounting mechanism.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That means the price of stocks was not giving a signal to capital allocators as to where scarcity was developing. The price signal was merely reflecting the policy makers\u2019 intention to supply liquidity. If we go back to a world of less market intervention through liquidity creation, then I suspect prices of scarce natural resources are severely underpriced relative to their demand.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The danger in owning hard assets is that they are very pro cyclical, and we are clearly in the contraction phase of the business cycle. That means while the next few quarters are going to be bad for commodity pricing, the longer term supply and demand imbalance is too far out of equilibrium for the price to stay low for too much longer. We can expect violent crashes in the price of natural resource producers like metals and energy and hard asset owners like timberland and pipelines. It\u2019s these violent spike down moves that are the buying opportunities for patient money.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I consider myself a patient capital allocator, and that\u2019s why I intend to bid for these hard assets if I spot a crescendo move down. I\u2019ve also got bills to pay so I need to produce cash flow. That\u2019s why I\u2019m waiting for setups to materialize in a new group of leaders like medicine stocks to trade around. This is my plan going forward, and I don\u2019t see any reason to change it because of any election results either here or abroad. Every business needs a plan to operate, and speculation is no different. Time will tell whether or not my business plan is a sound one, but all my instinct and judgement tells me that I\u2019m pointed in the right direction. I\u2019ll look to my P&L to know when I\u2019m veering off course, and so far it\u2019s suggesting my business plan is sound.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lastly, a word of caution: please do your own research before placing a dime of your hard earned money into this market. Everything I write can only be considered as data for your own analysis. Nothing you have read here is investment advice, which is personal to your own circumstances that you should discuss with a trusted advisor. I am a speculator, and I take risks with my own capital that I would NEVER suggest others to take.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span data-sheets-root=\"1\"><strong>Do you use this indicator?<\/strong> Every trader at T3 Live does. It's the #1 indicator on the entire desk. And here's the funny part&#8230; It's free. It's on almost every charting platform. You may have it on your screen right now and not know what you're looking at. Our pro traders check it the night before. One look. One decision. And that single decision settles about 99 others the next morning. Which indicator is it? And how can one look do that much work?\u00a0 We break it down in a short video on the next page. You may never look at your charts the same way again. <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/secure.t3live.com\/press-or-protect-redler-play-em\">See the #1 indicator every T3 Live trader uses<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>_________________________________________<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">By: Patrick G. Full-time independent trader in Atlanta, GA.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Patrick G is a full-time trader. Worked for a decade in a money management firm as a trader for high net-worth individuals.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He invested his and his family\u2019s net worth into gold and mining stocks before the Covid money printing. Gold and commodity runs of the past 3 years allowed Patrick to trade full-time due to his gains.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss, and individual results vary. Positions mentioned are the author\u2019s own, disclosed for transparency \u2014 not individual investment advice.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The day after the midterms saw a ferocious rally. But the question I was asking myself while watching stock prices rip higher on Wednesday was this: what exactly has this new information changed? The answer my mind kept circulating back to was that precisely nothing has changed the situation. The current situation is that many of the stocks in the market are weak and lack a constructive price structure. The only thing that matters in determining if we have a low risk situation that is conducive to making money is the existence of many stocks in good setups. We are simply not seeing a plethora of stocks setting up with the price structure I described in last week\u2019s note.\u00a0 However, there are selective examples of this setup that are paying off. One of them is Cricut, CRCT. I mentioned CRCT a month ago. If you go back to the chart posted in the note from Oct 2, 2026, you can see the price structure setup I described last week fully formed in the stock and the buy signal at about $6. This week was the payoff for this stock. Even while playing defense, there are still opportunities for big wins with small positions. I didn\u2019t get all the 50% gain of this move, but I am participating in the upside with very small positions. There\u2019s no reason to still be long this stock after a move like this, by the way. CRCT\u2019s big move: Participating in a small way in big moves is about all I can do to keep my account near all time highs as I wait for a trend to develop. The market will trend eventually, but unfortunately, I think the next trend will be down. The market is trading in a range, and all ranges are defined by either distribution of stock or accumulation of stock as supply and demand are in equilibrium. Equilibrium is a state that can\u2019t last forever. Eventually, equilibrium is affected by an outside force, and disequilibrium becomes the new condition. While in a state of disequilibrium, prices can trend until a new equilibrium between supply and demand is reached.\u00a0\u00a0 The question traders must be asking right now is whether this range I\u2019ve described is strong hands accumulating stock from weak hands, or strong hands distributing stock to weak hands. Given the price action I\u2019m seeing in the semiconductor stocks, the leaders of this current market, I\u2019ve got to assume that this range is strong hands distributing stock. If you\u2019ve been following my weekly notes, you were aware of the danger in the semis since Oct 15 and what the semis represented to the AI narrative. Big, institutional\u00a0 money knows that without the AI buildout, our economy would be clearly in the contraction phase. The semiconductors are telling us that the best phase of the AI buildout is behind us. Without the leadership of the semiconductor stocks, this market has no leadership to rally higher out of this range.\u00a0 Bull markets need leadership, a group of stocks that are being bought and can rally even on bad news. The leaders are like generals charging into battle, and the rest of the stocks in the market are like the troops that are inspired by their general\u2019s courage and charge into battle along side their general. Think about Russell Crowe\u2019s character, Maximus, in Gladiator. Maximus\u2019 confidence in battle and his troops inspiration in the opening battle scene exemplify this market phenomenon perfectly. The semis were our leadership, and now they are busted.\u00a0 Market leadership will be defined by a group of stocks in a sector that are outperforming the weakness and setting up with the price and volume structure I described last week. Without that setup proliferating inside a specific sector, traders won\u2019t know which stocks to key in on as the leadership to watch. Owning the leading names in a market is the key to winning, and in markets like this, I focus intently on trying to identify the leaders out of market corrections.\u00a0 The medicine stocks are the closest group that is starting to look like it has the potential to be that next leadership, but we will have to see how they respond when the market weakens. JNJ, MRK, LLY, BIIB, TEVA, and AMGN all show that price structure I like. They have the highest potential to be the leaders in the next market trend. What I\u2019m looking for in order to know for certain if these medicine stocks will be the leaders is a decline out of this range in the SPX, and then I want to see these medicine stocks firm or even rally in the weakness. That\u2019s the sure sign that they will be the go to names for longs. When the SPX eventually stabilizes, these stocks would likely be the names that charge the hardest out of the gate if they manage to hold their constructive price structures until then. Then, and only then, will I know that I will have the lowest risk and the highest probability of winning by holding concentrated positions in these names.\u00a0 As I\u2019ve said before, in a market like this, you\u2019ve got to decide if you are bullish or bearish and put on a position. As for me, I\u2019m still bearish. I\u2019ve got lots of cash, at about 75% of my account, and I\u2019m still holding a small short position in DIA. My longs are very selective in names that are in good setups, or assets that I want to own even if the market were to shut down for several months as it did when WWI kicked off in 1914. Assets in that camp that I own are gold miners, pipelines, and timberland. I\u2019m also looking at uranium miners to add to that group of long term assets. CCJ is washing out, and this may be the final give up phase underneath $70. Small, trial buys under $70 will either pan out, and I will add on the way<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":79619,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-80968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Midterms Have Changed Nothing In The Market - T3 Live<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Midterms Have Changed Nothing In The Market - T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The day after the midterms saw a ferocious rally. But the question I was asking myself while watching stock prices rip higher on Wednesday was this: what exactly has this new information changed? The answer my mind kept circulating back to was that precisely nothing has changed the situation. The current situation is that many of the stocks in the market are weak and lack a constructive price structure. The only thing that matters in determining if we have a low risk situation that is conducive to making money is the existence of many stocks in good setups. We are simply not seeing a plethora of stocks setting up with the price structure I described in last week\u2019s note.\u00a0 However, there are selective examples of this setup that are paying off. One of them is Cricut, CRCT. I mentioned CRCT a month ago. If you go back to the chart posted in the note from Oct 2, 2026, you can see the price structure setup I described last week fully formed in the stock and the buy signal at about $6. This week was the payoff for this stock. Even while playing defense, there are still opportunities for big wins with small positions. I didn\u2019t get all the 50% gain of this move, but I am participating in the upside with very small positions. There\u2019s no reason to still be long this stock after a move like this, by the way. CRCT\u2019s big move: Participating in a small way in big moves is about all I can do to keep my account near all time highs as I wait for a trend to develop. The market will trend eventually, but unfortunately, I think the next trend will be down. The market is trading in a range, and all ranges are defined by either distribution of stock or accumulation of stock as supply and demand are in equilibrium. Equilibrium is a state that can\u2019t last forever. Eventually, equilibrium is affected by an outside force, and disequilibrium becomes the new condition. While in a state of disequilibrium, prices can trend until a new equilibrium between supply and demand is reached.\u00a0\u00a0 The question traders must be asking right now is whether this range I\u2019ve described is strong hands accumulating stock from weak hands, or strong hands distributing stock to weak hands. Given the price action I\u2019m seeing in the semiconductor stocks, the leaders of this current market, I\u2019ve got to assume that this range is strong hands distributing stock. If you\u2019ve been following my weekly notes, you were aware of the danger in the semis since Oct 15 and what the semis represented to the AI narrative. Big, institutional\u00a0 money knows that without the AI buildout, our economy would be clearly in the contraction phase. The semiconductors are telling us that the best phase of the AI buildout is behind us. Without the leadership of the semiconductor stocks, this market has no leadership to rally higher out of this range.\u00a0 Bull markets need leadership, a group of stocks that are being bought and can rally even on bad news. The leaders are like generals charging into battle, and the rest of the stocks in the market are like the troops that are inspired by their general\u2019s courage and charge into battle along side their general. Think about Russell Crowe\u2019s character, Maximus, in Gladiator. Maximus\u2019 confidence in battle and his troops inspiration in the opening battle scene exemplify this market phenomenon perfectly. The semis were our leadership, and now they are busted.\u00a0 Market leadership will be defined by a group of stocks in a sector that are outperforming the weakness and setting up with the price and volume structure I described last week. Without that setup proliferating inside a specific sector, traders won\u2019t know which stocks to key in on as the leadership to watch. Owning the leading names in a market is the key to winning, and in markets like this, I focus intently on trying to identify the leaders out of market corrections.\u00a0 The medicine stocks are the closest group that is starting to look like it has the potential to be that next leadership, but we will have to see how they respond when the market weakens. JNJ, MRK, LLY, BIIB, TEVA, and AMGN all show that price structure I like. They have the highest potential to be the leaders in the next market trend. What I\u2019m looking for in order to know for certain if these medicine stocks will be the leaders is a decline out of this range in the SPX, and then I want to see these medicine stocks firm or even rally in the weakness. That\u2019s the sure sign that they will be the go to names for longs. When the SPX eventually stabilizes, these stocks would likely be the names that charge the hardest out of the gate if they manage to hold their constructive price structures until then. Then, and only then, will I know that I will have the lowest risk and the highest probability of winning by holding concentrated positions in these names.\u00a0 As I\u2019ve said before, in a market like this, you\u2019ve got to decide if you are bullish or bearish and put on a position. As for me, I\u2019m still bearish. I\u2019ve got lots of cash, at about 75% of my account, and I\u2019m still holding a small short position in DIA. My longs are very selective in names that are in good setups, or assets that I want to own even if the market were to shut down for several months as it did when WWI kicked off in 1914. Assets in that camp that I own are gold miners, pipelines, and timberland. I\u2019m also looking at uranium miners to add to that group of long term assets. CCJ is washing out, and this may be the final give up phase underneath $70. Small, trial buys under $70 will either pan out, and I will add on the way\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-11-06T15:35:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/t3live_weekend_edition_banner-scaled.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"631\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"10 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"T3 Live\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/7185aeb7410bb36ea53fc7605a58c52e\"},\"headline\":\"The Midterms Have Changed Nothing In The Market\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-11-06T15:35:14+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/\"},\"wordCount\":1986,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/t3live_weekend_edition_banner-scaled.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Articles\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/\",\"name\":\"The Midterms Have Changed Nothing In The Market - 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T3 Live","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"The Midterms Have Changed Nothing In The Market - T3 Live","og_description":"The day after the midterms saw a ferocious rally. But the question I was asking myself while watching stock prices rip higher on Wednesday was this: what exactly has this new information changed? The answer my mind kept circulating back to was that precisely nothing has changed the situation. The current situation is that many of the stocks in the market are weak and lack a constructive price structure. The only thing that matters in determining if we have a low risk situation that is conducive to making money is the existence of many stocks in good setups. We are simply not seeing a plethora of stocks setting up with the price structure I described in last week\u2019s note.\u00a0 However, there are selective examples of this setup that are paying off. One of them is Cricut, CRCT. I mentioned CRCT a month ago. If you go back to the chart posted in the note from Oct 2, 2026, you can see the price structure setup I described last week fully formed in the stock and the buy signal at about $6. This week was the payoff for this stock. Even while playing defense, there are still opportunities for big wins with small positions. I didn\u2019t get all the 50% gain of this move, but I am participating in the upside with very small positions. There\u2019s no reason to still be long this stock after a move like this, by the way. CRCT\u2019s big move: Participating in a small way in big moves is about all I can do to keep my account near all time highs as I wait for a trend to develop. The market will trend eventually, but unfortunately, I think the next trend will be down. The market is trading in a range, and all ranges are defined by either distribution of stock or accumulation of stock as supply and demand are in equilibrium. Equilibrium is a state that can\u2019t last forever. Eventually, equilibrium is affected by an outside force, and disequilibrium becomes the new condition. While in a state of disequilibrium, prices can trend until a new equilibrium between supply and demand is reached.\u00a0\u00a0 The question traders must be asking right now is whether this range I\u2019ve described is strong hands accumulating stock from weak hands, or strong hands distributing stock to weak hands. Given the price action I\u2019m seeing in the semiconductor stocks, the leaders of this current market, I\u2019ve got to assume that this range is strong hands distributing stock. If you\u2019ve been following my weekly notes, you were aware of the danger in the semis since Oct 15 and what the semis represented to the AI narrative. Big, institutional\u00a0 money knows that without the AI buildout, our economy would be clearly in the contraction phase. The semiconductors are telling us that the best phase of the AI buildout is behind us. Without the leadership of the semiconductor stocks, this market has no leadership to rally higher out of this range.\u00a0 Bull markets need leadership, a group of stocks that are being bought and can rally even on bad news. The leaders are like generals charging into battle, and the rest of the stocks in the market are like the troops that are inspired by their general\u2019s courage and charge into battle along side their general. Think about Russell Crowe\u2019s character, Maximus, in Gladiator. Maximus\u2019 confidence in battle and his troops inspiration in the opening battle scene exemplify this market phenomenon perfectly. The semis were our leadership, and now they are busted.\u00a0 Market leadership will be defined by a group of stocks in a sector that are outperforming the weakness and setting up with the price and volume structure I described last week. Without that setup proliferating inside a specific sector, traders won\u2019t know which stocks to key in on as the leadership to watch. Owning the leading names in a market is the key to winning, and in markets like this, I focus intently on trying to identify the leaders out of market corrections.\u00a0 The medicine stocks are the closest group that is starting to look like it has the potential to be that next leadership, but we will have to see how they respond when the market weakens. JNJ, MRK, LLY, BIIB, TEVA, and AMGN all show that price structure I like. They have the highest potential to be the leaders in the next market trend. What I\u2019m looking for in order to know for certain if these medicine stocks will be the leaders is a decline out of this range in the SPX, and then I want to see these medicine stocks firm or even rally in the weakness. That\u2019s the sure sign that they will be the go to names for longs. When the SPX eventually stabilizes, these stocks would likely be the names that charge the hardest out of the gate if they manage to hold their constructive price structures until then. Then, and only then, will I know that I will have the lowest risk and the highest probability of winning by holding concentrated positions in these names.\u00a0 As I\u2019ve said before, in a market like this, you\u2019ve got to decide if you are bullish or bearish and put on a position. As for me, I\u2019m still bearish. I\u2019ve got lots of cash, at about 75% of my account, and I\u2019m still holding a small short position in DIA. My longs are very selective in names that are in good setups, or assets that I want to own even if the market were to shut down for several months as it did when WWI kicked off in 1914. Assets in that camp that I own are gold miners, pipelines, and timberland. I\u2019m also looking at uranium miners to add to that group of long term assets. CCJ is washing out, and this may be the final give up phase underneath $70. Small, trial buys under $70 will either pan out, and I will add on the way","og_url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/","og_site_name":"T3 Live","article_published_time":"2026-11-06T15:35:14+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":631,"url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/t3live_weekend_edition_banner-scaled.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"T3 Live","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"T3 Live","Est. reading time":"10 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/"},"author":{"name":"T3 Live","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/7185aeb7410bb36ea53fc7605a58c52e"},"headline":"The Midterms Have Changed Nothing In The Market","datePublished":"2026-11-06T15:35:14+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/"},"wordCount":1986,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/t3live_weekend_edition_banner-scaled.png","articleSection":["Articles"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/","url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/06\/the-midterms-have-changed-nothing-in-the-market\/","name":"The Midterms Have Changed Nothing In The Market - 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