{"id":80927,"date":"2026-11-02T17:17:13","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T22:17:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=80927"},"modified":"2026-11-02T17:17:13","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T22:17:13","slug":"midterm-sell-off-where-sami-would-buy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/02\/midterm-sell-off-where-sami-would-buy\/","title":{"rendered":"Midterm Sell-Off? Where Sami Would Buy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Was Friday\u2019s sell-off the start of something bigger? Sami Abusaad doesn\u2019t think so. See why in today\u2019s video:<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/-k2B8F1SZ9I?si=_N_Gmhm2GNaO8zbm\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Thursday\u2019s rally into the declining 20-day triggered a sell setup in <strong>QQQ<\/strong>, and Friday\u2019s gap down (led by an <strong>Intel<\/strong> (INTC) crash) dragged the whole market lower with it. Short term, the market has turned bearish. But Friday\u2019s bounce gives traders a clear line in the sand: if <strong>SPY<\/strong> takes out Friday\u2019s low and the 749.50 pivot, the next support sits around 730. And Sami says it would be hard <em>not<\/em> to be a buyer down there.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Small caps (<strong>IWM<\/strong>) should hold Friday\u2019s low, or they\u2019re likely headed back toward 270. Semiconductors (<strong>SMH<\/strong>) are the weakest of the group. A break below 511 opens the door to 503\u2013504, and below 500 there\u2019s very little support to stop the slide.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">And with the midterms here, Sami points to history. In the last 17 or so midterm years, the S&P 500 has averaged a roughly 14\u201315 percent gain one year later. He doesn\u2019t trade off past performance, but he doesn\u2019t see the market falling apart either.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">So it\u2019s time to be selective.<\/p>\n<ul dir=\"ltr\">\n<li><strong>Long Candidates<\/strong>: <strong>IBM<\/strong> (IBM) stands out after completely negating its breakout failure and holding up against a bearish tape. Clean 1-2-3 setups in <strong>Amrize<\/strong> (AMRZ) and <strong>Blackstone Mortgage Trust<\/strong> (BXMT), plus a strong-looking <strong>Dick\u2019s Sporting Goods<\/strong> (DKS). <strong>Enphase Energy<\/strong> (ENPH) may be bottoming the way most stocks do: through a bearish gap down. And EFOR is flashing Sami\u2019s favorite \u201cpinch play\u201d pattern.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Watch List<\/strong>: <strong>Planet Fitness<\/strong> (PLNT) may have bottomed long term, while <strong>Rollins<\/strong> (ROL), <strong>Fair Isaac<\/strong> (FICO), and <strong>UWM Holdings<\/strong> (UWMC) are building bases worth watching.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Short Setups<\/strong>: Slim pickings. <strong>StoneCo<\/strong> (STNE) is the only short that looks good, and even that one comes with a wide stop.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Expect choppy action until the indexes show their hand. Only take setups with the right risk-reward, and keep your stops tight.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Sami already picked four of these names for his newsletter subscribers, with exact entries, stops, and targets. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.t3live.com\/swing\"><strong>Try 30 days of the <em>Number Ones Newsletter<\/em> for just $49<\/strong><\/a> and see which ones made the cut.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Was Friday\u2019s sell-off the start of something bigger? Sami Abusaad doesn\u2019t think so. See why in today\u2019s video: Thursday\u2019s rally into the declining 20-day triggered a sell setup in QQQ, and Friday\u2019s gap down (led by an Intel (INTC) crash) dragged the whole market lower with it. Short term, the market has turned bearish. But Friday\u2019s bounce gives traders a clear line in the sand: if SPY takes out Friday\u2019s low and the 749.50 pivot, the next support sits around 730. And Sami says it would be hard not to be a buyer down there. Small caps (IWM) should hold Friday\u2019s low, or they\u2019re likely headed back toward 270. Semiconductors (SMH) are the weakest of the group. A break below 511 opens the door to 503\u2013504, and below 500 there\u2019s very little support to stop the slide. And with the midterms here, Sami points to history. In the last 17 or so midterm years, the S&#038;P 500 has averaged a roughly 14\u201315 percent gain one year later. He doesn\u2019t trade off past performance, but he doesn\u2019t see the market falling apart either. So it\u2019s time to be selective. Long Candidates: IBM (IBM) stands out after completely negating its breakout failure and holding up against a bearish tape. Clean 1-2-3 setups in Amrize (AMRZ) and Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT), plus a strong-looking Dick\u2019s Sporting Goods (DKS). Enphase Energy (ENPH) may be bottoming the way most stocks do: through a bearish gap down. And EFOR is flashing Sami\u2019s favorite \u201cpinch play\u201d pattern. Watch List: Planet Fitness (PLNT) may have bottomed long term, while Rollins (ROL), Fair Isaac (FICO), and UWM Holdings (UWMC) are building bases worth watching. Short Setups: Slim pickings. StoneCo (STNE) is the only short that looks good, and even that one comes with a wide stop. Expect choppy action until the indexes show their hand. Only take setups with the right risk-reward, and keep your stops tight. Sami already picked four of these names for his newsletter subscribers, with exact entries, stops, and targets. Try 30 days of the Number Ones Newsletter for just $49 and see which ones made the cut.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":39779,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[644],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-80927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sami-abusaad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Midterm Sell-Off? Where Sami Would Buy - T3 Live<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/02\/midterm-sell-off-where-sami-would-buy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Midterm Sell-Off? Where Sami Would Buy - T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Was Friday\u2019s sell-off the start of something bigger? Sami Abusaad doesn\u2019t think so. See why in today\u2019s video: Thursday\u2019s rally into the declining 20-day triggered a sell setup in QQQ, and Friday\u2019s gap down (led by an Intel (INTC) crash) dragged the whole market lower with it. Short term, the market has turned bearish. But Friday\u2019s bounce gives traders a clear line in the sand: if SPY takes out Friday\u2019s low and the 749.50 pivot, the next support sits around 730. And Sami says it would be hard not to be a buyer down there. Small caps (IWM) should hold Friday\u2019s low, or they\u2019re likely headed back toward 270. Semiconductors (SMH) are the weakest of the group. A break below 511 opens the door to 503\u2013504, and below 500 there\u2019s very little support to stop the slide. And with the midterms here, Sami points to history. In the last 17 or so midterm years, the S&amp;P 500 has averaged a roughly 14\u201315 percent gain one year later. He doesn\u2019t trade off past performance, but he doesn\u2019t see the market falling apart either. So it\u2019s time to be selective. Long Candidates: IBM (IBM) stands out after completely negating its breakout failure and holding up against a bearish tape. Clean 1-2-3 setups in Amrize (AMRZ) and Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT), plus a strong-looking Dick\u2019s Sporting Goods (DKS). Enphase Energy (ENPH) may be bottoming the way most stocks do: through a bearish gap down. And EFOR is flashing Sami\u2019s favorite \u201cpinch play\u201d pattern. Watch List: Planet Fitness (PLNT) may have bottomed long term, while Rollins (ROL), Fair Isaac (FICO), and UWM Holdings (UWMC) are building bases worth watching. Short Setups: Slim pickings. StoneCo (STNE) is the only short that looks good, and even that one comes with a wide stop. Expect choppy action until the indexes show their hand. Only take setups with the right risk-reward, and keep your stops tight. Sami already picked four of these names for his newsletter subscribers, with exact entries, stops, and targets. Try 30 days of the Number Ones Newsletter for just $49 and see which ones made the cut.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/02\/midterm-sell-off-where-sami-would-buy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-11-02T22:17:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/strategic-swing-trader-wide-image-template-DARK-1200x628-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1599\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"837\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Sami Abusaad\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Sami Abusaad\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/02\/midterm-sell-off-where-sami-would-buy\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/02\/midterm-sell-off-where-sami-would-buy\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Sami Abusaad\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/930a8e4a2ecb978b0b4d8a9af57f9998\"},\"headline\":\"Midterm Sell-Off? 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Small caps (IWM) should hold Friday\u2019s low, or they\u2019re likely headed back toward 270. Semiconductors (SMH) are the weakest of the group. A break below 511 opens the door to 503\u2013504, and below 500 there\u2019s very little support to stop the slide. And with the midterms here, Sami points to history. In the last 17 or so midterm years, the S&P 500 has averaged a roughly 14\u201315 percent gain one year later. He doesn\u2019t trade off past performance, but he doesn\u2019t see the market falling apart either. So it\u2019s time to be selective. Long Candidates: IBM (IBM) stands out after completely negating its breakout failure and holding up against a bearish tape. Clean 1-2-3 setups in Amrize (AMRZ) and Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT), plus a strong-looking Dick\u2019s Sporting Goods (DKS). Enphase Energy (ENPH) may be bottoming the way most stocks do: through a bearish gap down. And EFOR is flashing Sami\u2019s favorite \u201cpinch play\u201d pattern. Watch List: Planet Fitness (PLNT) may have bottomed long term, while Rollins (ROL), Fair Isaac (FICO), and UWM Holdings (UWMC) are building bases worth watching. Short Setups: Slim pickings. StoneCo (STNE) is the only short that looks good, and even that one comes with a wide stop. Expect choppy action until the indexes show their hand. Only take setups with the right risk-reward, and keep your stops tight. Sami already picked four of these names for his newsletter subscribers, with exact entries, stops, and targets. Try 30 days of the Number Ones Newsletter for just $49 and see which ones made the cut.","og_url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/02\/midterm-sell-off-where-sami-would-buy\/","og_site_name":"T3 Live","article_published_time":"2026-11-02T22:17:13+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1599,"height":837,"url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/strategic-swing-trader-wide-image-template-DARK-1200x628-1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Sami Abusaad","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Sami Abusaad","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/02\/midterm-sell-off-where-sami-would-buy\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/11\/02\/midterm-sell-off-where-sami-would-buy\/"},"author":{"name":"Sami Abusaad","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/930a8e4a2ecb978b0b4d8a9af57f9998"},"headline":"Midterm Sell-Off? 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