{"id":80316,"date":"2026-09-11T15:37:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T19:37:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=80316"},"modified":"2026-09-11T15:40:40","modified_gmt":"2026-09-11T19:40:40","slug":"any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/","title":{"rendered":"Any Trade With a Stop Is a Good Trade"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"width: 1920px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><!--[if lt IE 9]><script>document.createElement('video');<\/script><![endif]-->\n<video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-80316-1\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/TLT-Stopped-Out.mp4?_=1\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/TLT-Stopped-Out.mp4\">https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/TLT-Stopped-Out.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There was one change that improved my profitability as a trader and had more impact on my account and my life than anything else I\u2019ve ever done. That was my decision in 2022 to stop allowing negativity and pessimism to form my beliefs. Instead, I chose to constantly find something to be bullish about, get long, and let price show me when I was wrong.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">My initial foray into the stock market almost 20 years ago was not a profitable endeavor, partly due to the fact that my desire for wealth was greater than my skill in attaining it, but largely due to my persistent negative mindset. In retrospect, I can see now what I could not see then: my beliefs were not aligned with winning.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I was reminded of my old habits recently while talking with friends who insisted their money troubles were due to \u201cthe system\u201d being set up against them. I certainly won\u2019t dismiss their valid concerns about the systematic devaluation of our money, but as I pointed out to them, gold has already compensated us for the risks inherent to our fiat currency system.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While, in general, I sympathize with their feeling that the necessities of life are becoming less attainable due to \u201cthe system,\u201d what I find far more problematic to their particular situation is a negative mindset, a belief that gaining wealth is impossible, which leads to behaviors that ensure that it is. Once you believe you can\u2019t, you\u2019ve ensured you\u2019ll miss all the opportunities that prove the contrary. I recognized immediately my own former limiting beliefs in their expression of concern.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When I believed the system was aligned against me, I traded like it. I took small wins out of fear the market would take them back. I allowed losers to take up long term residency on my position statement because I was certain with a little more time I would be proven correct. I was trading poorly, like someone with all manner of insecurities and unhelpful attitudes towards money and that views themselves a victim of forces beyond their control. Belief is a powerful force that can allow you to see the positive or limit your mind\u2019s eye to only seeing the negatives life brings your way. For reasons I\u2019m still trying to pin down in my middle aged years, my former beliefs in my youth had created a negative bias through which I viewed the world and my trading.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With such a negative bias, I wasn\u2019t able to see the market for what it is: <\/span><b><i>an endless stream of opportunities<\/i><\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> waiting to be exploited and a means to a better life. The way out of this negative bias is simple but not easy; it comes down to a choice each of us, as traders, must make for ourselves. I had to make the choice to trust in my ability to consistently show up, wait for setups I recognize, get in without hesitation, and get out without regrets.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Of course this approach required an immense amount of study and practice before I was able to deploy my approach at a large enough scale for professional speculation. My study included analyzing thousands of my trades over many years. The main takeaway from my analysis is this: stops keep my account in tact. I need my account near all time highs to aggressively allocate to whatever trend I find developing. There is only going to be one, maybe two big trends a year that I can take advantage of to pump my account to new levels. There will always be uncertainty as to exactly when a new trend is developing, but with stops, I can limit my risk of loss and try repeatedly to get into what I think is a developing trend. But what is the <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">next<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> trend? All my analysis leads me to conclude that the underlying forces that will create the next trend are building underneath the surface level of index prices we see on the tape.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s still my view that we are in the contraction phase of the business cycle, and because of this, we should see economic and inflation pressure subside within the next three to six months. That should bring down the long end of the yield curve, but the market doesn\u2019t agree with me right now. I\u2019m not fighting it. I\u2019m letting my analysis of price structure take me out of a losing trade with TLT. Was it a bad trade? Absolutely not. I followed my plan exactly, and I did it in the appropriate size, which has always been my weak spot. As long as I follow my process, I\u2019m not going to get overly concerned about losses. New opportunities will come, and having the confidence to move aggressively when I see a setup I recognize is what will get me in a good trade. For TLT, I\u2019m out with a small loss, but I\u2019ll keep stalking this for a better setup to get long when the market is more agreeable to my view.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">My account is still within a stone\u2019s throw of all time highs, and I plan on keeping it there. Until I take them out and spend them, the dollars in my account are simply ammunition in my armory that will be needed for battle. A big trend that will pump my account to a new level <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">will<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> come. That\u2019s what the market promises, that prices will always move. When the forces align that move prices in a trend, that is the time to engage in battle.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Until that time, I\u2019ll defend my account with small skirmishes that are required to not take any more losing months this year. March was my only down month, and that was due to TLT as well. I\u2019ve had to sell off my positions in fertilizer and energy stocks to offset my loss in TLT for September, but I\u2019ve done so after concluding that locking in good gains is more important than positioning for me at the moment. Currently, I\u2019ve got only my core gold miners position, and a long term hold in EPD which both add up to 25% of my account. The other 75% is in \u201ccash\u201d which includes T-bills and a money market, each earning about 3.5%, while I wait for the next trend to develop.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Like most traders, I\u2019m processing all the information my brain can handle and trying to place it into an overarching narrative to understand how to think about where I\u2019m going to allocate for the next trend. The process is difficult with so much information warfare to sift through, but I believe it is possible to create a coherent understanding of what is happening and how to position our accounts for high probability outcomes. <\/span><b>Here is my current understanding in its entirety of how we got here, where we are, where I think we are going, and how I\u2019m trying to position my account:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2008 crash attempted to correct a hyperfinancialized US economy but was thwarted with the QE era<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The QE era from 2012 to 2022 prevented a much needed write off of misallocated capital, h<\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">yperfinancialization of the US economy persisted<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">QE era allowed financial asset prices to reach absurd valuations that are still with us, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">created entirely new financial asset classes, such as crypto, that may not have existed otherwise\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The central bank support for financial asset prices allowed flawed investing methodologies like passive indexing to flourish, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">proper capital allocation and the skills associated with it atrophied in the financial profession\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Passive indexing adopted by institutional money because it is easier than analysis. P<\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">assive has had an outsized influence on price discovery, r<\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">eal capital allocators have lost any sense of what appropriate valuations ought to be, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">no real price signals from the market\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Without proper price signals of their company\u2019s equity, captains of industry have been mislead about the effectiveness of their strategies, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">as a result, much deterioration in the underlying businesses has resulted\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This deterioration in underlying business value compounds the absurd valuation problem, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">this problem will be made evident as more companies required for national defense cannot produce without \u201cpermission\u201d from China\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The imperative to produce for national defense at any cost has led to an internal \u201ccivil war\u201d amongst the ultra elite, or the DC uniparty, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">uniparty has split into two factions:\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">one that wants the current China-dependent system to perpetuate to maintain corporate profits (think \u201cApple\u201d) <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">and one that wants to separate supply chains from China to ensure the survival of the Republic (think \u201cAnduril\u201d)\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The tensions amongst the ultra elite are made visible when we see their battle with each other spill into the public arena with events like:<\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> tariffs and trade negotiations, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">blockading of the Strait of Hormuz which is a vital trade route for Chinese consumption\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">US Treasury support of FX markets to prevent a flow out of US financial assets\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">US Government taking equity stakes in public equity like INTC<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Proposed or successful acquiring of natural resource assets like Venezuela, Greenland, or Canada as the 51st state\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">US\u2019s inclination and\/or ability to act as global trade enforcer over sea lanes in Iran and arable land in Ukraine comes into question due to defense companies\u2019 inability to produce\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Europe has to spend more to re-build lost defense capability that they outsourced to the US\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Europe\u2019s spending is driving up European bond yields as they are required to borrow more<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the same time, US yields are being driven up by increased demand for capital to build out the AI infrastructure that policy makers are relying on to usher in the next phase of growth\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the same time, Japan, which has little need to borrow as their domestic savings are vast, needs to incentivize savings to come back to Japan, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">their corporate sector needs access to capital to compete with China\u2019s manufacturing capability\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The US wants Japan to \u201cmerge\u201d with our balance sheet so we can \u201cfriendshore\u201d our manufacturing capability , <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">acts as a stop gap until we can rebuild our own capability which will take at least a decade\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Merging of the US and Japanese balance sheet would go a long way in adding productive assets to our revenue generation capability , <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lowers our debt burden<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But if Japan re-shores its capital too quickly, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the yen-carry trade will unwind violently and cause a crash in financial assets globally, including in the US.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the Federal Reserve tries to counter a financial asset price crash with QE <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the already contentious political climate will fracture completely, as even those at the lower socio-economic rungs of US society are justifiably convinced that their money problems are the fault of the Fed. S<\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">upporting asset prices with QE would also prop up shadow banks (non-bank lenders like private credit and foreign banks) that are in control of the eurodollar system.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The proliferation of the eurodollar system and interconnectedness of the global banks has given the shadow banking system that operates outside US regulation effective control over US interest rates and the maturity profile of US debt\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The \u201cAnduril\u201d faction of the ultra elite want the Fed to take back control of interest rates and <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">raise them to draw global capital to the US\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The \u201cApple\u201d faction want less pressure on China and <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">want Fed to lower rates to keep their cost of capital low and profit margins high<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A compromise proposed by Trump\u2019s economic advisor, Stephen Miran, is a UST backed stable coin <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">issued to holders of dollars outside the US that would replace the eurodollar system\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This would allow the Fed to lower rates inside the US, while still keeping rates high for foreign users of dollars, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">foreign holders of dollars in stable coin form get paid higher interest rates, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">that would attract global capital into UST backed stable coins and act as a source of demand for US Treasuries<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GENIUS Act of 2025 lays the groundwork for this\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The shadow banking lobby doesn\u2019t want a UST backed stable coin, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">that would eliminate their low cost source of funding in the eurodollar market, <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">shadow banks would have to sell assets if their funding cost goes up\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is where I believe we stand today, and at some point, someone has to lose. I think it will be the faction that wants everything to stay the same as it is. That means the shadow banking faction has to lose, and China would have to be issued stable coins instead of keeping all their dollar payments from Apple (et al.) in Hong Kong and recycling them back into US financial assets.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As shadow banks lose their influence, the maturity profile of the US debt will be allowed to return to normal. Shadow banks prefer more liquid short term US debt as collateral to borrow against, so their dominance forces the US Treasury to issue shorter term paper. Long duration USTs are in short supply and undervalued. That\u2019s why I\u2019m bullish on TLT and looking for another opportunity to try for the long side. After two failed attempts in 2026, I\u2019m hoping the third time is the charm.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As part of the new monetary system Scott Bessent is trying to usher in, gold will likely be revalued much higher in 2028 to accommodate the US government spending that will be required to offset the loss of Chinese buying of US financial assets, but I think gold is headed to $3,825 this year before a revaluation much higher. I think all the gold that is supposed to be in Fort Knox is there, and Bessent has an idea how to incorporate it into a new system that works for the US and our trading partners, but it will require Federal Reserve balance sheet expansion and a gold revaluation to compensate.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the shadow bank faction loses and the US regains its ability to produce, we could see both a crisis for current financial asset holders and an opportunity for those who want to own assets at cheap valuations. Being in 75% cash, I\u2019m in the latter group, and I intend to aggressively deploy my capital when the time is right. I have no idea when that will be, but I trust it\u2019s coming. After all, the market <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> an endless stream overflowing with opportunity for those who are ready to seize it. Those of us who choose to keep a positive mindset will see the opportunities before others. We\u2019ll make mistakes along the way, but that is what stops are for.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lastly, a word of caution: please do your own research before placing a dime of your hard earned money into this market. Everything I write can only be considered as data for your own analysis. Nothing you have read here is investment advice, which is personal to your own circumstances that you should discuss with a trusted advisor. I am a speculator, and I take risks with my own capital that I would NEVER suggest others to take.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p>_________________________________________<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">By: Patrick G. Full-time independent trader in Atlanta, GA.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Patrick G is a full-time trader. Worked for a decade in a money management firm as a trader for high net-worth individuals.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He invested his and his family\u2019s net worth into gold and mining stocks before the Covid money printing. Gold and commodity runs of the past 3 years allowed Patrick to trade full-time due to his gains.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss, and individual results vary. Positions mentioned are the author\u2019s own, disclosed for transparency \u2014 not individual investment advice.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There was one change that improved my profitability as a trader and had more impact on my account and my life than anything else I\u2019ve ever done. That was my decision in 2022 to stop allowing negativity and pessimism to form my beliefs. Instead, I chose to constantly find something to be bullish about, get long, and let price show me when I was wrong.\u00a0 My initial foray into the stock market almost 20 years ago was not a profitable endeavor, partly due to the fact that my desire for wealth was greater than my skill in attaining it, but largely due to my persistent negative mindset. In retrospect, I can see now what I could not see then: my beliefs were not aligned with winning.\u00a0 I was reminded of my old habits recently while talking with friends who insisted their money troubles were due to \u201cthe system\u201d being set up against them. I certainly won\u2019t dismiss their valid concerns about the systematic devaluation of our money, but as I pointed out to them, gold has already compensated us for the risks inherent to our fiat currency system.\u00a0 While, in general, I sympathize with their feeling that the necessities of life are becoming less attainable due to \u201cthe system,\u201d what I find far more problematic to their particular situation is a negative mindset, a belief that gaining wealth is impossible, which leads to behaviors that ensure that it is. Once you believe you can\u2019t, you\u2019ve ensured you\u2019ll miss all the opportunities that prove the contrary. I recognized immediately my own former limiting beliefs in their expression of concern.\u00a0 When I believed the system was aligned against me, I traded like it. I took small wins out of fear the market would take them back. I allowed losers to take up long term residency on my position statement because I was certain with a little more time I would be proven correct. I was trading poorly, like someone with all manner of insecurities and unhelpful attitudes towards money and that views themselves a victim of forces beyond their control. Belief is a powerful force that can allow you to see the positive or limit your mind\u2019s eye to only seeing the negatives life brings your way. For reasons I\u2019m still trying to pin down in my middle aged years, my former beliefs in my youth had created a negative bias through which I viewed the world and my trading.\u00a0 With such a negative bias, I wasn\u2019t able to see the market for what it is: an endless stream of opportunities waiting to be exploited and a means to a better life. The way out of this negative bias is simple but not easy; it comes down to a choice each of us, as traders, must make for ourselves. I had to make the choice to trust in my ability to consistently show up, wait for setups I recognize, get in without hesitation, and get out without regrets. Of course this approach required an immense amount of study and practice before I was able to deploy my approach at a large enough scale for professional speculation. My study included analyzing thousands of my trades over many years. The main takeaway from my analysis is this: stops keep my account in tact. I need my account near all time highs to aggressively allocate to whatever trend I find developing. There is only going to be one, maybe two big trends a year that I can take advantage of to pump my account to new levels. There will always be uncertainty as to exactly when a new trend is developing, but with stops, I can limit my risk of loss and try repeatedly to get into what I think is a developing trend. But what is the next trend? All my analysis leads me to conclude that the underlying forces that will create the next trend are building underneath the surface level of index prices we see on the tape.\u00a0 It\u2019s still my view that we are in the contraction phase of the business cycle, and because of this, we should see economic and inflation pressure subside within the next three to six months. That should bring down the long end of the yield curve, but the market doesn\u2019t agree with me right now. I\u2019m not fighting it. I\u2019m letting my analysis of price structure take me out of a losing trade with TLT. Was it a bad trade? Absolutely not. I followed my plan exactly, and I did it in the appropriate size, which has always been my weak spot. As long as I follow my process, I\u2019m not going to get overly concerned about losses. New opportunities will come, and having the confidence to move aggressively when I see a setup I recognize is what will get me in a good trade. For TLT, I\u2019m out with a small loss, but I\u2019ll keep stalking this for a better setup to get long when the market is more agreeable to my view.\u00a0 My account is still within a stone\u2019s throw of all time highs, and I plan on keeping it there. Until I take them out and spend them, the dollars in my account are simply ammunition in my armory that will be needed for battle. A big trend that will pump my account to a new level will come. That\u2019s what the market promises, that prices will always move. When the forces align that move prices in a trend, that is the time to engage in battle. Until that time, I\u2019ll defend my account with small skirmishes that are required to not take any more losing months this year. March was my only down month, and that was due to TLT as well. I\u2019ve had to sell off my positions in fertilizer and energy stocks to offset my loss in TLT for September, but I\u2019ve done so after concluding that locking in good gains is more important than positioning for me<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":79619,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-80316","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Any Trade With a Stop Is a Good Trade - T3 Live<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Any Trade With a Stop Is a Good Trade - T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"There was one change that improved my profitability as a trader and had more impact on my account and my life than anything else I\u2019ve ever done. That was my decision in 2022 to stop allowing negativity and pessimism to form my beliefs. Instead, I chose to constantly find something to be bullish about, get long, and let price show me when I was wrong.\u00a0 My initial foray into the stock market almost 20 years ago was not a profitable endeavor, partly due to the fact that my desire for wealth was greater than my skill in attaining it, but largely due to my persistent negative mindset. In retrospect, I can see now what I could not see then: my beliefs were not aligned with winning.\u00a0 I was reminded of my old habits recently while talking with friends who insisted their money troubles were due to \u201cthe system\u201d being set up against them. I certainly won\u2019t dismiss their valid concerns about the systematic devaluation of our money, but as I pointed out to them, gold has already compensated us for the risks inherent to our fiat currency system.\u00a0 While, in general, I sympathize with their feeling that the necessities of life are becoming less attainable due to \u201cthe system,\u201d what I find far more problematic to their particular situation is a negative mindset, a belief that gaining wealth is impossible, which leads to behaviors that ensure that it is. Once you believe you can\u2019t, you\u2019ve ensured you\u2019ll miss all the opportunities that prove the contrary. I recognized immediately my own former limiting beliefs in their expression of concern.\u00a0 When I believed the system was aligned against me, I traded like it. I took small wins out of fear the market would take them back. I allowed losers to take up long term residency on my position statement because I was certain with a little more time I would be proven correct. I was trading poorly, like someone with all manner of insecurities and unhelpful attitudes towards money and that views themselves a victim of forces beyond their control. Belief is a powerful force that can allow you to see the positive or limit your mind\u2019s eye to only seeing the negatives life brings your way. For reasons I\u2019m still trying to pin down in my middle aged years, my former beliefs in my youth had created a negative bias through which I viewed the world and my trading.\u00a0 With such a negative bias, I wasn\u2019t able to see the market for what it is: an endless stream of opportunities waiting to be exploited and a means to a better life. The way out of this negative bias is simple but not easy; it comes down to a choice each of us, as traders, must make for ourselves. I had to make the choice to trust in my ability to consistently show up, wait for setups I recognize, get in without hesitation, and get out without regrets. Of course this approach required an immense amount of study and practice before I was able to deploy my approach at a large enough scale for professional speculation. My study included analyzing thousands of my trades over many years. The main takeaway from my analysis is this: stops keep my account in tact. I need my account near all time highs to aggressively allocate to whatever trend I find developing. There is only going to be one, maybe two big trends a year that I can take advantage of to pump my account to new levels. There will always be uncertainty as to exactly when a new trend is developing, but with stops, I can limit my risk of loss and try repeatedly to get into what I think is a developing trend. But what is the next trend? All my analysis leads me to conclude that the underlying forces that will create the next trend are building underneath the surface level of index prices we see on the tape.\u00a0 It\u2019s still my view that we are in the contraction phase of the business cycle, and because of this, we should see economic and inflation pressure subside within the next three to six months. That should bring down the long end of the yield curve, but the market doesn\u2019t agree with me right now. I\u2019m not fighting it. I\u2019m letting my analysis of price structure take me out of a losing trade with TLT. Was it a bad trade? Absolutely not. I followed my plan exactly, and I did it in the appropriate size, which has always been my weak spot. As long as I follow my process, I\u2019m not going to get overly concerned about losses. New opportunities will come, and having the confidence to move aggressively when I see a setup I recognize is what will get me in a good trade. For TLT, I\u2019m out with a small loss, but I\u2019ll keep stalking this for a better setup to get long when the market is more agreeable to my view.\u00a0 My account is still within a stone\u2019s throw of all time highs, and I plan on keeping it there. Until I take them out and spend them, the dollars in my account are simply ammunition in my armory that will be needed for battle. A big trend that will pump my account to a new level will come. That\u2019s what the market promises, that prices will always move. When the forces align that move prices in a trend, that is the time to engage in battle. Until that time, I\u2019ll defend my account with small skirmishes that are required to not take any more losing months this year. March was my only down month, and that was due to TLT as well. I\u2019ve had to sell off my positions in fertilizer and energy stocks to offset my loss in TLT for September, but I\u2019ve done so after concluding that locking in good gains is more important than positioning for me\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-11T19:37:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-11T19:40:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/t3live_weekend_edition_banner-scaled.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"631\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"12 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"T3 Live\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/7185aeb7410bb36ea53fc7605a58c52e\"},\"headline\":\"Any Trade With a Stop Is a Good Trade\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-09-11T19:37:16+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-11T19:40:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/\"},\"wordCount\":2641,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/t3live_weekend_edition_banner-scaled.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Articles\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2026\/09\/11\/any-trade-with-a-stop-is-a-good-trade\/\",\"name\":\"Any Trade With a Stop Is a Good Trade - 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That was my decision in 2022 to stop allowing negativity and pessimism to form my beliefs. Instead, I chose to constantly find something to be bullish about, get long, and let price show me when I was wrong.\u00a0 My initial foray into the stock market almost 20 years ago was not a profitable endeavor, partly due to the fact that my desire for wealth was greater than my skill in attaining it, but largely due to my persistent negative mindset. In retrospect, I can see now what I could not see then: my beliefs were not aligned with winning.\u00a0 I was reminded of my old habits recently while talking with friends who insisted their money troubles were due to \u201cthe system\u201d being set up against them. I certainly won\u2019t dismiss their valid concerns about the systematic devaluation of our money, but as I pointed out to them, gold has already compensated us for the risks inherent to our fiat currency system.\u00a0 While, in general, I sympathize with their feeling that the necessities of life are becoming less attainable due to \u201cthe system,\u201d what I find far more problematic to their particular situation is a negative mindset, a belief that gaining wealth is impossible, which leads to behaviors that ensure that it is. Once you believe you can\u2019t, you\u2019ve ensured you\u2019ll miss all the opportunities that prove the contrary. I recognized immediately my own former limiting beliefs in their expression of concern.\u00a0 When I believed the system was aligned against me, I traded like it. I took small wins out of fear the market would take them back. I allowed losers to take up long term residency on my position statement because I was certain with a little more time I would be proven correct. I was trading poorly, like someone with all manner of insecurities and unhelpful attitudes towards money and that views themselves a victim of forces beyond their control. Belief is a powerful force that can allow you to see the positive or limit your mind\u2019s eye to only seeing the negatives life brings your way. For reasons I\u2019m still trying to pin down in my middle aged years, my former beliefs in my youth had created a negative bias through which I viewed the world and my trading.\u00a0 With such a negative bias, I wasn\u2019t able to see the market for what it is: an endless stream of opportunities waiting to be exploited and a means to a better life. The way out of this negative bias is simple but not easy; it comes down to a choice each of us, as traders, must make for ourselves. I had to make the choice to trust in my ability to consistently show up, wait for setups I recognize, get in without hesitation, and get out without regrets. Of course this approach required an immense amount of study and practice before I was able to deploy my approach at a large enough scale for professional speculation. My study included analyzing thousands of my trades over many years. The main takeaway from my analysis is this: stops keep my account in tact. I need my account near all time highs to aggressively allocate to whatever trend I find developing. There is only going to be one, maybe two big trends a year that I can take advantage of to pump my account to new levels. There will always be uncertainty as to exactly when a new trend is developing, but with stops, I can limit my risk of loss and try repeatedly to get into what I think is a developing trend. But what is the next trend? All my analysis leads me to conclude that the underlying forces that will create the next trend are building underneath the surface level of index prices we see on the tape.\u00a0 It\u2019s still my view that we are in the contraction phase of the business cycle, and because of this, we should see economic and inflation pressure subside within the next three to six months. That should bring down the long end of the yield curve, but the market doesn\u2019t agree with me right now. I\u2019m not fighting it. I\u2019m letting my analysis of price structure take me out of a losing trade with TLT. Was it a bad trade? Absolutely not. I followed my plan exactly, and I did it in the appropriate size, which has always been my weak spot. As long as I follow my process, I\u2019m not going to get overly concerned about losses. New opportunities will come, and having the confidence to move aggressively when I see a setup I recognize is what will get me in a good trade. For TLT, I\u2019m out with a small loss, but I\u2019ll keep stalking this for a better setup to get long when the market is more agreeable to my view.\u00a0 My account is still within a stone\u2019s throw of all time highs, and I plan on keeping it there. Until I take them out and spend them, the dollars in my account are simply ammunition in my armory that will be needed for battle. A big trend that will pump my account to a new level will come. That\u2019s what the market promises, that prices will always move. When the forces align that move prices in a trend, that is the time to engage in battle. Until that time, I\u2019ll defend my account with small skirmishes that are required to not take any more losing months this year. March was my only down month, and that was due to TLT as well. 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