{"id":77311,"date":"2025-03-07T09:34:21","date_gmt":"2025-03-07T14:34:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=77311"},"modified":"2025-03-07T09:34:21","modified_gmt":"2025-03-07T14:34:21","slug":"scott-redler-jobs-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Blood On the Street?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We just got the February jobs report, which was mostly in-line with a headline number of 151K.<\/p>\n<p>The big question everyone is asking me is &#8220;Is It Blood On The Street Time?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>For now, the answer is&#8230; no.<\/p>\n<p>As of 9:23 am this morning, <strong>SPY<\/strong> is up about 20 cents and the <strong>QQQ's<\/strong> are flatlining.<\/p>\n<p>So this does not feel like a major inflection point.<\/p>\n<p>One buying scenario I had in mind was a real miss on the jobs report with a hard push down to the SPY $565 area and a close dead on the lows.<\/p>\n<p>That was where I wanted to put money to work.<\/p>\n<p>But the market does not always conform to my plans, so I'm instead going to map out levels and take what the day gives me.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, <strong>SPY<\/strong> $570.12 is key. That's yesterday's low.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-77315\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1802\" height=\"837\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart.jpeg 1802w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-300x139.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-1024x476.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-150x70.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-768x357.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-1536x713.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-80x37.jpeg 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-220x102.jpeg 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-215x100.jpeg 215w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-280x130.jpeg 280w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-510x238.jpeg 510w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-750x348.jpeg 750w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-975x453.jpeg 975w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/scottspy-chart-1190x553.jpeg 1190w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1802px) 100vw, 1802px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>If the bears break us below that, there could be more downside to the $565 area, which could set up a good long opportunity.<\/p>\n<p>I'm also watching these levels as key indicators for risk and sentiment:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>QQQ<\/strong>: $496.20<\/li>\n<li><strong>IWM<\/strong>: $203.09<\/li>\n<li><strong>NVDA<\/strong>: $110<\/li>\n<li><strong>TSLA<\/strong>: $260<\/li>\n<li><strong>AMZN<\/strong>: $178<\/li>\n<li><strong>PLTR<\/strong> $78<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The more of these levels break, the more aggressive the selling can get.<\/p>\n<p><b>Broadcom<\/b> (AVGO) is also key. If it can't hold its post-earnings gains, what would be bad for the market.<\/p>\n<p>From a more macro perspective, the SPY is just 5% off the highs.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, the average pullback is about 13%. And I think we'll see at least one like that this year, with the potential for SPY to see $542 or $528.<\/p>\n<p>Remember, we're coming off a 25% gain in 2024 and a 26% gain in 2023, without much volatility along the way.<\/p>\n<p>Sooner or later, things will average out and we'll see some downside.<\/p>\n<p>But until those key levels I listed above break, we will not likely see a major inflection point.<\/p>\n<p>This is why we focus on price action and not opinions. The market rarely does what you think it &#8220;should.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>*Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2025-03-07 at 9.19.55 AM<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-77314\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-07-at-9.19.55-AM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"224\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-07-at-9.19.55-AM.png 416w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-07-at-9.19.55-AM-300x192.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-07-at-9.19.55-AM-150x96.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-07-at-9.19.55-AM-80x51.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-07-at-9.19.55-AM-220x141.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-07-at-9.19.55-AM-156x100.png 156w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-07-at-9.19.55-AM-235x150.png 235w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-07-at-9.19.55-AM-372x238.png 372w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We just got the February jobs report, which was mostly in-line with a headline number of 151K. The big question everyone is asking me is &#8220;Is It Blood On The Street Time?&#8221; For now, the answer is&#8230; no. As of 9:23 am this morning, SPY is up about 20 cents and the QQQ&#8217;s are flatlining. So this does not feel like a major inflection point. One buying scenario I had in mind was a real miss on the jobs report with a hard push down to the SPY $565 area and a close dead on the lows. That was where I wanted to put money to work. But the market does not always conform to my plans, so I&#8217;m instead going to map out levels and take what the day gives me. Right now, SPY $570.12 is key. That&#8217;s yesterday&#8217;s low. If the bears break us below that, there could be more downside to the $565 area, which could set up a good long opportunity. I&#8217;m also watching these levels as key indicators for risk and sentiment: QQQ: $496.20 IWM: $203.09 NVDA: $110 TSLA: $260 AMZN: $178 PLTR $78 The more of these levels break, the more aggressive the selling can get. Broadcom (AVGO) is also key. If it can&#8217;t hold its post-earnings gains, what would be bad for the market. From a more macro perspective, the SPY is just 5% off the highs. Historically, the average pullback is about 13%. And I think we&#8217;ll see at least one like that this year, with the potential for SPY to see $542 or $528. Remember, we&#8217;re coming off a 25% gain in 2024 and a 26% gain in 2023, without much volatility along the way. Sooner or later, things will average out and we&#8217;ll see some downside. But until those key levels I listed above break, we will not likely see a major inflection point. This is why we focus on price action and not opinions. The market rarely does what you think it &#8220;should.&#8221; *Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2025-03-07 at 9.19.55 AM &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":75075,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[736],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77311","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-scott-redler-dog-bytes"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blood On the Street? - T3 Live<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Blood On the Street? - T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We just got the February jobs report, which was mostly in-line with a headline number of 151K. The big question everyone is asking me is &#8220;Is It Blood On The Street Time?&#8221; For now, the answer is&#8230; no. As of 9:23 am this morning, SPY is up about 20 cents and the QQQ&#039;s are flatlining. So this does not feel like a major inflection point. One buying scenario I had in mind was a real miss on the jobs report with a hard push down to the SPY $565 area and a close dead on the lows. That was where I wanted to put money to work. But the market does not always conform to my plans, so I&#039;m instead going to map out levels and take what the day gives me. Right now, SPY $570.12 is key. That&#039;s yesterday&#039;s low. If the bears break us below that, there could be more downside to the $565 area, which could set up a good long opportunity. I&#039;m also watching these levels as key indicators for risk and sentiment: QQQ: $496.20 IWM: $203.09 NVDA: $110 TSLA: $260 AMZN: $178 PLTR $78 The more of these levels break, the more aggressive the selling can get. Broadcom (AVGO) is also key. If it can&#039;t hold its post-earnings gains, what would be bad for the market. From a more macro perspective, the SPY is just 5% off the highs. Historically, the average pullback is about 13%. And I think we&#039;ll see at least one like that this year, with the potential for SPY to see $542 or $528. Remember, we&#039;re coming off a 25% gain in 2024 and a 26% gain in 2023, without much volatility along the way. Sooner or later, things will average out and we&#039;ll see some downside. But until those key levels I listed above break, we will not likely see a major inflection point. This is why we focus on price action and not opinions. The market rarely does what you think it &#8220;should.&#8221; *Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2025-03-07 at 9.19.55 AM &nbsp;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-03-07T14:34:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/scott-redler-dog-bytes-featured-image-slider.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1599\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"837\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Scott Redler\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Scott Redler\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Scott Redler\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/2b821daf1329db4f769229636487712a\"},\"headline\":\"Blood On the Street?\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-03-07T14:34:21+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/\"},\"wordCount\":339,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/scott-redler-dog-bytes-featured-image-slider.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Scott Redler Dog Bytes\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/\",\"name\":\"Blood On the Street? 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- T3 Live","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/03\/07\/scott-redler-jobs-report\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Blood On the Street? - T3 Live","og_description":"We just got the February jobs report, which was mostly in-line with a headline number of 151K. The big question everyone is asking me is &#8220;Is It Blood On The Street Time?&#8221; For now, the answer is&#8230; no. As of 9:23 am this morning, SPY is up about 20 cents and the QQQ's are flatlining. So this does not feel like a major inflection point. One buying scenario I had in mind was a real miss on the jobs report with a hard push down to the SPY $565 area and a close dead on the lows. That was where I wanted to put money to work. But the market does not always conform to my plans, so I'm instead going to map out levels and take what the day gives me. Right now, SPY $570.12 is key. That's yesterday's low. If the bears break us below that, there could be more downside to the $565 area, which could set up a good long opportunity. I'm also watching these levels as key indicators for risk and sentiment: QQQ: $496.20 IWM: $203.09 NVDA: $110 TSLA: $260 AMZN: $178 PLTR $78 The more of these levels break, the more aggressive the selling can get. Broadcom (AVGO) is also key. If it can't hold its post-earnings gains, what would be bad for the market. From a more macro perspective, the SPY is just 5% off the highs. Historically, the average pullback is about 13%. And I think we'll see at least one like that this year, with the potential for SPY to see $542 or $528. Remember, we're coming off a 25% gain in 2024 and a 26% gain in 2023, without much volatility along the way. Sooner or later, things will average out and we'll see some downside. But until those key levels I listed above break, we will not likely see a major inflection point. This is why we focus on price action and not opinions. 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