{"id":77280,"date":"2025-02-28T10:47:05","date_gmt":"2025-02-28T15:47:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=77280"},"modified":"2025-02-28T11:24:50","modified_gmt":"2025-02-28T16:24:50","slug":"scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/","title":{"rendered":"NVIDIA: 4 Sell Signals in One Day"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I came into <strong>NVIDIA's<\/strong> (NVDA) fourth-quarter earnings report expecting some level of disappointment.<\/p>\n<p>I told <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/vp301.isrefer.com\/go\/ppored\/reddog\/web\">Power Plays Options<\/a><\/strong> Subscribers the following on Wednesday:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I believe <strong>NVIDIA<\/strong> (NVDA) is at risk of a post-earnings decline so I am adding this position:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Long NVDA February 28 $120 Puts<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>These puts look good in the $2.75 to $3.50 area (or lower).<\/p>\n<p>With Nvidia's decline off its highs and lower valuation, some believe a lot of bad news priced in.<\/p>\n<p>I disagree.<\/p>\n<p>We're still looking at a stock with a $3 trillion market cap and rosy expectations for endless long-term growth.<\/p>\n<p>So to me, the odds favor a post earnings decline.<\/p>\n<p>If this report isn't anything less than 100% shoot-out-the-lights perfect, we could see a hard drop below the $120 area.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Incidentally, this was the first put options idea in Power Plays Options history.<\/p>\n<p>We did get the hard drop in NVDA stock below $120 &#8212; but it unfolded over the course of 2 days.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, NVDA put in 4 sell signals the day after earnings (yes, 4 sell signals in one day) as you can see in this chart:<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-77285\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1216\" height=\"874\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules.png 1216w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-300x216.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-1024x736.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-150x108.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-768x552.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-80x58.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-220x158.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-139x100.png 139w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-209x150.png 209w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-331x238.png 331w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-577x415.png 577w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-678x487.png 678w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-NVDA-Sell-Rules-828x595.png 828w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1216px) 100vw, 1216px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>I love teaching my Sell Rules &#8212; and this is an interesting case study because you so rarely see so many hit in one day.<\/p>\n<p>Here's how NVDA's decline happened so fast:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Sell Signal #1<\/strong>: NVDA hit $135+ the day after earnings, a good spot to trim since the report was solid but not spectacular<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sell Signal #2<\/strong>: the stock broke down through $133,73, a prior high.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sell Signal #3: <\/strong>NVDA went red and lost the 8\/21\/50 day moving averages<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sell Signal #4: <\/strong>NVDA breaks the $124.44 prior low. It also broke the 200 day moving average here, though I didn't put this in the chart above to avoid it being too crowded.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>And on Friday, we got that hard break below $120, with NVDA hitting a low of $116.41.<\/p>\n<p>We cashed in the puts for <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/vp301.isrefer.com\/go\/ppored\/reddog\/web\">Power Plays Options<\/a><\/strong><\/span> shortly after the open for a 62% gain.<\/p>\n<p>I was tempted to roll the dice and hold the puts longer, but I didn't want to take the risk of them turning into a zero.<\/p>\n<p>That turned out to be the right decision because as of the time I'm writing this, NVDA is over $122\u00a0 and those puts are headed towards zero fast.<\/p>\n<p><em>*Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2025-02-28 at 10.32.43 AM<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-77282\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-at-10.32.43-AM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"284\" height=\"314\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-at-10.32.43-AM.png 403w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-at-10.32.43-AM-272x300.png 272w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-at-10.32.43-AM-136x150.png 136w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-at-10.32.43-AM-72x80.png 72w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-at-10.32.43-AM-199x220.png 199w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-at-10.32.43-AM-91x100.png 91w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-at-10.32.43-AM-216x238.png 216w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-at-10.32.43-AM-376x415.png 376w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 284px) 100vw, 284px\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I came into NVIDIA&#8217;s (NVDA) fourth-quarter earnings report expecting some level of disappointment. I told Power Plays Options Subscribers the following on Wednesday: I believe NVIDIA (NVDA) is at risk of a post-earnings decline so I am adding this position: Long NVDA February 28 $120 Puts These puts look good in the $2.75 to $3.50 area (or lower). With Nvidia&#8217;s decline off its highs and lower valuation, some believe a lot of bad news priced in. I disagree. We&#8217;re still looking at a stock with a $3 trillion market cap and rosy expectations for endless long-term growth. So to me, the odds favor a post earnings decline. If this report isn&#8217;t anything less than 100% shoot-out-the-lights perfect, we could see a hard drop below the $120 area. Incidentally, this was the first put options idea in Power Plays Options history. We did get the hard drop in NVDA stock below $120 &#8212; but it unfolded over the course of 2 days. In fact, NVDA put in 4 sell signals the day after earnings (yes, 4 sell signals in one day) as you can see in this chart: I love teaching my Sell Rules &#8212; and this is an interesting case study because you so rarely see so many hit in one day. Here&#8217;s how NVDA&#8217;s decline happened so fast: Sell Signal #1: NVDA hit $135+ the day after earnings, a good spot to trim since the report was solid but not spectacular Sell Signal #2: the stock broke down through $133,73, a prior high. Sell Signal #3: NVDA went red and lost the 8\/21\/50 day moving averages Sell Signal #4: NVDA breaks the $124.44 prior low. It also broke the 200 day moving average here, though I didn&#8217;t put this in the chart above to avoid it being too crowded. And on Friday, we got that hard break below $120, with NVDA hitting a low of $116.41. We cashed in the puts for Power Plays Options shortly after the open for a 62% gain. I was tempted to roll the dice and hold the puts longer, but I didn&#8217;t want to take the risk of them turning into a zero. That turned out to be the right decision because as of the time I&#8217;m writing this, NVDA is over $122\u00a0 and those puts are headed towards zero fast. *Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2025-02-28 at 10.32.43 AM &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":75075,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[736],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77280","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-scott-redler-dog-bytes"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NVIDIA: 4 Sell Signals in One Day - T3 Live<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"NVIDIA: 4 Sell Signals in One Day - T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I came into NVIDIA&#039;s (NVDA) fourth-quarter earnings report expecting some level of disappointment. I told Power Plays Options Subscribers the following on Wednesday: I believe NVIDIA (NVDA) is at risk of a post-earnings decline so I am adding this position: Long NVDA February 28 $120 Puts These puts look good in the $2.75 to $3.50 area (or lower). With Nvidia&#039;s decline off its highs and lower valuation, some believe a lot of bad news priced in. I disagree. We&#039;re still looking at a stock with a $3 trillion market cap and rosy expectations for endless long-term growth. So to me, the odds favor a post earnings decline. If this report isn&#039;t anything less than 100% shoot-out-the-lights perfect, we could see a hard drop below the $120 area. Incidentally, this was the first put options idea in Power Plays Options history. We did get the hard drop in NVDA stock below $120 &#8212; but it unfolded over the course of 2 days. In fact, NVDA put in 4 sell signals the day after earnings (yes, 4 sell signals in one day) as you can see in this chart: I love teaching my Sell Rules &#8212; and this is an interesting case study because you so rarely see so many hit in one day. Here&#039;s how NVDA&#039;s decline happened so fast: Sell Signal #1: NVDA hit $135+ the day after earnings, a good spot to trim since the report was solid but not spectacular Sell Signal #2: the stock broke down through $133,73, a prior high. Sell Signal #3: NVDA went red and lost the 8\/21\/50 day moving averages Sell Signal #4: NVDA breaks the $124.44 prior low. It also broke the 200 day moving average here, though I didn&#039;t put this in the chart above to avoid it being too crowded. And on Friday, we got that hard break below $120, with NVDA hitting a low of $116.41. We cashed in the puts for Power Plays Options shortly after the open for a 62% gain. I was tempted to roll the dice and hold the puts longer, but I didn&#039;t want to take the risk of them turning into a zero. That turned out to be the right decision because as of the time I&#039;m writing this, NVDA is over $122\u00a0 and those puts are headed towards zero fast. *Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2025-02-28 at 10.32.43 AM &nbsp;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-02-28T15:47:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-02-28T16:24:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/scott-redler-dog-bytes-featured-image-slider.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1599\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"837\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Scott Redler\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Scott Redler\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Scott Redler\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/2b821daf1329db4f769229636487712a\"},\"headline\":\"NVIDIA: 4 Sell Signals in One Day\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-02-28T15:47:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-02-28T16:24:50+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/\"},\"wordCount\":390,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/scott-redler-dog-bytes-featured-image-slider.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Scott Redler Dog Bytes\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2025\/02\/28\/scott-redler-nvidia-sell-rules\/\",\"name\":\"NVIDIA: 4 Sell Signals in One Day - 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I told Power Plays Options Subscribers the following on Wednesday: I believe NVIDIA (NVDA) is at risk of a post-earnings decline so I am adding this position: Long NVDA February 28 $120 Puts These puts look good in the $2.75 to $3.50 area (or lower). With Nvidia's decline off its highs and lower valuation, some believe a lot of bad news priced in. I disagree. We're still looking at a stock with a $3 trillion market cap and rosy expectations for endless long-term growth. So to me, the odds favor a post earnings decline. If this report isn't anything less than 100% shoot-out-the-lights perfect, we could see a hard drop below the $120 area. Incidentally, this was the first put options idea in Power Plays Options history. We did get the hard drop in NVDA stock below $120 &#8212; but it unfolded over the course of 2 days. In fact, NVDA put in 4 sell signals the day after earnings (yes, 4 sell signals in one day) as you can see in this chart: I love teaching my Sell Rules &#8212; and this is an interesting case study because you so rarely see so many hit in one day. Here's how NVDA's decline happened so fast: Sell Signal #1: NVDA hit $135+ the day after earnings, a good spot to trim since the report was solid but not spectacular Sell Signal #2: the stock broke down through $133,73, a prior high. Sell Signal #3: NVDA went red and lost the 8\/21\/50 day moving averages Sell Signal #4: NVDA breaks the $124.44 prior low. It also broke the 200 day moving average here, though I didn't put this in the chart above to avoid it being too crowded. And on Friday, we got that hard break below $120, with NVDA hitting a low of $116.41. We cashed in the puts for Power Plays Options shortly after the open for a 62% gain. I was tempted to roll the dice and hold the puts longer, but I didn't want to take the risk of them turning into a zero. 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