{"id":76661,"date":"2024-12-23T09:33:10","date_gmt":"2024-12-23T14:33:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=76661"},"modified":"2024-12-23T09:33:10","modified_gmt":"2024-12-23T14:33:10","slug":"scott-redler-tlt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2024\/12\/23\/scott-redler-tlt\/","title":{"rendered":"TLT Is the Boss Now"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Brought to You By <a href=\"https:\/\/vp301.isrefer.com\/go\/ppor\/t3l\/web-db\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Scott Redler's Power Plays &#8211; Get My #1 Idea Every Week.<\/span><\/a><\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vp301.isrefer.com\/go\/ppor\/t3l\/web-db\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-76663\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss.jpg 800w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss-80x45.jpg 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss-220x124.jpg 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss-178x100.jpg 178w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss-267x150.jpg 267w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss-423x238.jpg 423w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/tlt-new-boss-738x415.jpg 738w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Last Wednesday, the trade changed when the Fed gave a hawkish spin on next year, with 50bps of expect cuts vs. the 100 the market wanted.<\/p>\n<p><b>SPX<\/b>\u00a0broke 6030 so I lightened up on position size and quantity.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/vp301.isrefer.com\/go\/ppor\/t3l\/web-db\">In Power Plays, we exited<\/a><\/strong><\/span><b> TeraWulf<\/b>\u00a0(WULF),\u00a0<b>Intuitive Machines<\/b>\u00a0(LUNR),\u00a0<b>Citigroup<\/b>\u00a0(C), and\u00a0<b>Apple<\/b>\u00a0(AAPL).<\/p>\n<p>Futures are flattish, and it\u2019s hard to tell what will happen this week.<\/p>\n<p>I'm watching rates very closely because that's what dictating sentiment. Equity markets don't like when the 10-year yield makes new highs.\u00a0<b>TLT<\/b>\u00a0made a low of $87.50 last week. If it can hold above that this week, we have a shot at a bounce. If it breaks, we could be in trouble.<\/p>\n<p>So put that on your screen and watch it closely.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, we'll keep tracking names like\u00a0<b>TSLA<\/b>,\u00a0<b>AMZN<\/b>,\u00a0<b>META<\/b>, etc. &#8212; but when it comes to market direction, rates are the boss now.<\/p>\n<p>Now let's get into some names.<\/p>\n<p><b>NVDA<\/b>\u00a0lost special status with the Red Dog Reversal on earnings day around the $149.76 pivot. We've had some range trades, but that's all. Friday, it didn't make a new weekly low and rallied hard. I did take some long vs. $126.80. I'll trim and see if it builds.<\/p>\n<p><b>AVGO<\/b>\u00a0had a gap-and-go post-earnings and went to a high of $251+. Swing longs want it to hold $211ish. It was upgraded today. I\u2019d be trimming. Pivot resistance is $228ish, then the post-earnings high at $251.88 could come into play.<\/p>\n<p><b>RDDT<\/b>\u00a0re-built fast as it was one of the few stocks that held the 8-day. Some are long vs. the $157 area. We'll see if any high-growth stocks can make new highs this week. If so, this is a candidate. The first step is getting and staying above $174. Then $181 comes into play.<\/p>\n<p>I started buying\u00a0<b>OXY<\/b>\u00a0as a January Effect play a little early. News that Buffett added helped. I'd think it has room back to the $50 area or higher.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vp301.isrefer.com\/go\/ppp\/t3l\/ban-24-07-23\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-57046\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"591\" height=\"81\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text.png 1000w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-300x41.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-150x21.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-768x105.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-80x11.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-220x30.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-250x34.png 250w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-280x38.png 280w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-510x70.png 510w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-750x103.png 750w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/scott-redler-power-plays-logo-text-975x134.png 975w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 591px) 100vw, 591px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Featured: Join Scott Redler's Plays for $99<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Get Scott's #1 idea each week.<\/p>\n<p>That's 52 weeks for just $99. (not a typo)<\/p>\n<p>Be on the list for the next idea:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/vp301.isrefer.com\/go\/ppor\/t3l\/web-db\">See why now's the right time to join.<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>*Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2024-12-23 at 9.32.29 AM<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-76665\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"598\" height=\"415\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM.png 705w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM-150x104.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM-80x55.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM-220x153.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM-144x100.png 144w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM-216x150.png 216w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM-343x238.png 343w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM-598x415.png 598w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-at-9.32.29-AM-702x487.png 702w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 598px) 100vw, 598px\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brought to You By Scott Redler&#8217;s Power Plays &#8211; Get My #1 Idea Every Week. Last Wednesday, the trade changed when the Fed gave a hawkish spin on next year, with 50bps of expect cuts vs. the 100 the market wanted. SPX\u00a0broke 6030 so I lightened up on position size and quantity. In Power Plays, we exited TeraWulf\u00a0(WULF),\u00a0Intuitive Machines\u00a0(LUNR),\u00a0Citigroup\u00a0(C), and\u00a0Apple\u00a0(AAPL). Futures are flattish, and it\u2019s hard to tell what will happen this week. I&#8217;m watching rates very closely because that&#8217;s what dictating sentiment. Equity markets don&#8217;t like when the 10-year yield makes new highs.\u00a0TLT\u00a0made a low of $87.50 last week. If it can hold above that this week, we have a shot at a bounce. If it breaks, we could be in trouble. So put that on your screen and watch it closely. Yes, we&#8217;ll keep tracking names like\u00a0TSLA,\u00a0AMZN,\u00a0META, etc. &#8212; but when it comes to market direction, rates are the boss now. Now let&#8217;s get into some names. NVDA\u00a0lost special status with the Red Dog Reversal on earnings day around the $149.76 pivot. We&#8217;ve had some range trades, but that&#8217;s all. Friday, it didn&#8217;t make a new weekly low and rallied hard. I did take some long vs. $126.80. I&#8217;ll trim and see if it builds. AVGO\u00a0had a gap-and-go post-earnings and went to a high of $251+. Swing longs want it to hold $211ish. It was upgraded today. I\u2019d be trimming. Pivot resistance is $228ish, then the post-earnings high at $251.88 could come into play. RDDT\u00a0re-built fast as it was one of the few stocks that held the 8-day. Some are long vs. the $157 area. We&#8217;ll see if any high-growth stocks can make new highs this week. If so, this is a candidate. The first step is getting and staying above $174. Then $181 comes into play. I started buying\u00a0OXY\u00a0as a January Effect play a little early. News that Buffett added helped. I&#8217;d think it has room back to the $50 area or higher. Featured: Join Scott Redler&#8217;s Plays for $99 Get Scott&#8217;s #1 idea each week. That&#8217;s 52 weeks for just $99. (not a typo) Be on the list for the next idea: See why now&#8217;s the right time to join. *Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2024-12-23 at 9.32.29 AM &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":75075,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[736],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76661","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-scott-redler-dog-bytes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76661","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76661"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76661\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76666,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76661\/revisions\/76666"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75075"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76661"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76661"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76661"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}