{"id":74980,"date":"2024-06-18T13:58:41","date_gmt":"2024-06-18T17:58:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=74980"},"modified":"2024-06-18T13:59:05","modified_gmt":"2024-06-18T17:59:05","slug":"scott-redler-where-can-smci-go","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2024\/06\/18\/scott-redler-where-can-smci-go\/","title":{"rendered":"SMCI: A Powerful Stock That Plays Mind Games"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Super Micro<\/strong> (SMCI) is one of the trickiest names in the market.<\/p>\n<p>It's been one of my best names as of late as I played it with options on the Alpha Team VTF\u00ae, offsetting tougher names like <strong>IBIT<\/strong>, which has struggled.<\/p>\n<p>And I do think SMCI has potential to head back to the $972 area, and eventually, back to the record highs over $1,200.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-74995\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1802\" height=\"837\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18.png 1802w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-300x139.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-1024x476.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-150x70.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-768x357.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-1536x713.png 1536w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-80x37.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-220x102.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-215x100.png 215w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-280x130.png 280w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-510x238.png 510w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-750x348.png 750w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-975x453.png 975w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/smci-2024-06-18-1190x553.png 1190w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1802px) 100vw, 1802px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>But I exited my remaining SMCI options this morning at 11:13 am.<\/p>\n<p>Here's why: SMCI takes a ton of emotional bandwidth to trade.<\/p>\n<p>It's almost like a meme stock with all the wild intraday swings out of nowhere, and you can't let it out of your sight.<\/p>\n<p>And I don't want my trading performance to suffer because I'm overfocusing on SMCI all the time.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nvidia<\/strong> (NVDA), by comparison, is relatively tame &#8212; but still gives us wide price swings to potentially ride.<\/p>\n<p>Remember, you don't have to be in everything to do well.<\/p>\n<p>Also, I'm keeping my eyes out on a potential rebalancing trade towards energy, which hasn't participated in the recent rally.<\/p>\n<p>As you can see in my disclosures below, I've been long Warren Buffett favorite <strong>Occidental Petroleum<\/strong> (OXY) and <strong>XLE<\/strong> $88 calls for next Friday.<\/p>\n<p>I trimmed both of those positions today, but I'll be looking for opportunities to add back.<\/p>\n<p>I'm not saying it's time to go all in on energy &#8212; but it must be on the radar now.<\/p>\n<p><strong>SMH<\/strong> is up 59% this year and <strong>XLE<\/strong> is up just 6%.<\/p>\n<p>So catch-up may be in order.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Scott's Positions Disclosure as of 2024-06-18 at 1.31.12 PM<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-74981\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-18-at-1.31.12-PM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"584\" height=\"266\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-18-at-1.31.12-PM.png 718w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-18-at-1.31.12-PM-300x137.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-18-at-1.31.12-PM-150x68.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-18-at-1.31.12-PM-80x36.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-18-at-1.31.12-PM-220x100.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-18-at-1.31.12-PM-280x128.png 280w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-18-at-1.31.12-PM-510x232.png 510w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 584px) 100vw, 584px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Super Micro (SMCI) is one of the trickiest names in the market. It&#8217;s been one of my best names as of late as I played it with options on the Alpha Team VTF\u00ae, offsetting tougher names like IBIT, which has struggled. And I do think SMCI has potential to head back to the $972 area, and eventually, back to the record highs over $1,200. But I exited my remaining SMCI options this morning at 11:13 am. Here&#8217;s why: SMCI takes a ton of emotional bandwidth to trade. It&#8217;s almost like a meme stock with all the wild intraday swings out of nowhere, and you can&#8217;t let it out of your sight. And I don&#8217;t want my trading performance to suffer because I&#8217;m overfocusing on SMCI all the time. Nvidia (NVDA), by comparison, is relatively tame &#8212; but still gives us wide price swings to potentially ride. Remember, you don&#8217;t have to be in everything to do well. Also, I&#8217;m keeping my eyes out on a potential rebalancing trade towards energy, which hasn&#8217;t participated in the recent rally. As you can see in my disclosures below, I&#8217;ve been long Warren Buffett favorite Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and XLE $88 calls for next Friday. I trimmed both of those positions today, but I&#8217;ll be looking for opportunities to add back. I&#8217;m not saying it&#8217;s time to go all in on energy &#8212; but it must be on the radar now. SMH is up 59% this year and XLE is up just 6%. So catch-up may be in order. Scott&#8217;s Positions Disclosure as of 2024-06-18 at 1.31.12 PM<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[736],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-74980","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-scott-redler-dog-bytes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74980","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74980"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74980\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":74996,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74980\/revisions\/74996"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}