{"id":73754,"date":"2024-02-16T09:15:22","date_gmt":"2024-02-16T14:15:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=73754"},"modified":"2024-02-16T09:15:22","modified_gmt":"2024-02-16T14:15:22","slug":"coffee-with-greta-ppi-runs-hot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2024\/02\/16\/coffee-with-greta-ppi-runs-hot\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: PPI Runs Hot"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>DJIA Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-103 (-0.3%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-4 (-0.1%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+32 (+0.2%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are mixed after the release of more hot inflation data.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yields Spike After Hot PPI<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Treasury yields are popping this morning after more hot inflation data was released.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bureau of Labor Statistics\u2019 producer price index rose 0.3% monthly and 0.9% annually.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was higher than expectations for a 0.1% monthly and 0.6% annual increase.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The core PPI rose 0.5% monthly vs 0.1% expected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This data comes days after the CPI also increased more than expected.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The PPI is a leading indicator for consumer prices, signaling inflation may not be slowing as quickly as the Fed was hoping.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 10-year Treasury yield is up nine basis points at 4.32% while the 2-year yield is up 10 basis points at 4.68%.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Housing Starts, Building Permits Fall<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New home construction slowed more than expected at the start of the year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Census Bureau reported housing starts dropped 14.8% in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.33 million units.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It was the lowest level of starts since August 2023 and slower than expectations for a rate of 1.45 million units.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Single-family starts fell 4.7% while multi-family starts tumbled 35.8%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The number of new permits issued last month also dropped more than expected.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Permits fell 1.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.47 million units vs 1.5 million expected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Single-family permits rose 1.6% while multi-family permits dropped 9%.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Coinbase Jumps After Surprise Profit<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Coinbase <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(COIN) shares are up 13.5% ahead of the open after reporting a surprise profit in Q4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here\u2019s how the crypto platform\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EPS: $1.04 vs $0.01 loss expected<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Revenue: $954 million vs $822 million expected<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s the first time Coinbase has reported a profit since Q4 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Net revenue jumped nearly 50% year over year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trading volume nearly doubled from Q3 to $154 billion, including $29 billion from retail traders and $125 billion from institutions.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That topped expectations for overall volume of $142.7 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Roku Tumbles After Q4 Miss<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Roku <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(ROKU) shares are plunging 17.9% in premarket trade after reporting a wider-than-expected loss in the fourth quarter.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here\u2019s how the streaming platform\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Loss per share: $0.55 vs $0.52 expected<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Revenue: $984 million vs $968 million expected<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Roku forecast $850 million in Q1 revenue and expects to break even on adjusted ebitda.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was better than analysts\u2019 estimates for $829 million in revenue and an $11 million adjusted ebitda loss.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In a letter to shareholders the company said, \u201cWe plan to increase revenue and free cash flow and achieve profitability over time. At the same time, we remain mindful of near-term challenges in the macro environment and an uneven ad-market recovery.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DoorDash Drops After Earnings<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>DoorDash <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(DASH) shares are down 9% ahead of the open after reporting mixed Q4 results.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here\u2019s how the delivery company\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Per share loss: $0.39 vs $0.16 expected<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Revenue: $2.3 billion vs $2.25 billion expected<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Revenue jumped 23% year over year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gross order volume rose 22% to $17.6 billion vs $17.29 billion expected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Total orders rose 23% to 574 million vs 561 million expected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DoorDash forecast Q1 gross order volume of between $18.5 billion and $18.9 billion with adjusted ebitda between $320 million and $380 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analysts were anticipating $18.6 billion in gross orders and $362 million in adjusted ebitda.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For the full-year, the company expects gross order volume between $74 billion and $78 billion, with adjusted Ebitda ranging from $1.5 billion to $1.9 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analysts are expecting $76.8 billion in gross orders and adjusted ebitda of $1.63 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DoorDash also announced a $1.1 billion stock buyback.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company said, \u201cIn 2024, our focus will not change. We will invest to build tools that solve problems for consumers, merchants, and Dashers, while expanding the scale, breadth, and profit potential of our business. We look forward to the work.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Case You Missed It<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Homebuilder confidence rose more than expected this month. The National Association of Homebuilders sentiment index rose four points to 48 vs 46 expected. This marked the third straight monthly increase and is the highest reading since August 2023. Sentiment about current sales conditions increased four points to 52, six-month sales expectations rose three points to 60, and buyer traffic increased four points to 33.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DJIA Futures: -103 (-0.3%) SPX Futures: -4 (-0.1%) NASDAQ Futures: +32 (+0.2%) Good morning friends! Futures are mixed after the release of more hot inflation data.\u00a0 Let\u2019s get right to it! Yields Spike After Hot PPI Treasury yields are popping this morning after more hot inflation data was released.\u00a0 The Bureau of Labor Statistics\u2019 producer price index rose 0.3% monthly and 0.9% annually.\u00a0 That was higher than expectations for a 0.1% monthly and 0.6% annual increase.\u00a0 The core PPI rose 0.5% monthly vs 0.1% expected.\u00a0 This data comes days after the CPI also increased more than expected. The PPI is a leading indicator for consumer prices, signaling inflation may not be slowing as quickly as the Fed was hoping.\u00a0 The 10-year Treasury yield is up nine basis points at 4.32% while the 2-year yield is up 10 basis points at 4.68%. Housing Starts, Building Permits Fall New home construction slowed more than expected at the start of the year.\u00a0 The Census Bureau reported housing starts dropped 14.8% in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.33 million units.\u00a0 It was the lowest level of starts since August 2023 and slower than expectations for a rate of 1.45 million units.\u00a0 Single-family starts fell 4.7% while multi-family starts tumbled 35.8%.\u00a0 The number of new permits issued last month also dropped more than expected. Permits fell 1.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.47 million units vs 1.5 million expected.\u00a0 Single-family permits rose 1.6% while multi-family permits dropped 9%. Coinbase Jumps After Surprise Profit Coinbase (COIN) shares are up 13.5% ahead of the open after reporting a surprise profit in Q4.\u00a0 Here\u2019s how the crypto platform\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0 EPS: $1.04 vs $0.01 loss expected Revenue: $954 million vs $822 million expected It\u2019s the first time Coinbase has reported a profit since Q4 2021. Net revenue jumped nearly 50% year over year.\u00a0 Trading volume nearly doubled from Q3 to $154 billion, including $29 billion from retail traders and $125 billion from institutions.\u00a0 That topped expectations for overall volume of $142.7 billion.\u00a0 Roku Tumbles After Q4 Miss Roku (ROKU) shares are plunging 17.9% in premarket trade after reporting a wider-than-expected loss in the fourth quarter.\u00a0 Here\u2019s how the streaming platform\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0 Loss per share: $0.55 vs $0.52 expected Revenue: $984 million vs $968 million expected Roku forecast $850 million in Q1 revenue and expects to break even on adjusted ebitda.\u00a0 That was better than analysts\u2019 estimates for $829 million in revenue and an $11 million adjusted ebitda loss.\u00a0 In a letter to shareholders the company said, \u201cWe plan to increase revenue and free cash flow and achieve profitability over time. At the same time, we remain mindful of near-term challenges in the macro environment and an uneven ad-market recovery.\u201d DoorDash Drops After Earnings DoorDash (DASH) shares are down 9% ahead of the open after reporting mixed Q4 results.\u00a0 Here\u2019s how the delivery company\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0 Per share loss: $0.39 vs $0.16 expected Revenue: $2.3 billion vs $2.25 billion expected Revenue jumped 23% year over year. Gross order volume rose 22% to $17.6 billion vs $17.29 billion expected.\u00a0 Total orders rose 23% to 574 million vs 561 million expected.\u00a0 DoorDash forecast Q1 gross order volume of between $18.5 billion and $18.9 billion with adjusted ebitda between $320 million and $380 million.\u00a0 Analysts were anticipating $18.6 billion in gross orders and $362 million in adjusted ebitda. For the full-year, the company expects gross order volume between $74 billion and $78 billion, with adjusted Ebitda ranging from $1.5 billion to $1.9 billion.\u00a0 Analysts are expecting $76.8 billion in gross orders and adjusted ebitda of $1.63 billion.\u00a0 DoorDash also announced a $1.1 billion stock buyback.\u00a0 The company said, \u201cIn 2024, our focus will not change. We will invest to build tools that solve problems for consumers, merchants, and Dashers, while expanding the scale, breadth, and profit potential of our business. We look forward to the work.\u201d In Case You Missed It Homebuilder confidence rose more than expected this month. The National Association of Homebuilders sentiment index rose four points to 48 vs 46 expected. This marked the third straight monthly increase and is the highest reading since August 2023. Sentiment about current sales conditions increased four points to 52, six-month sales expectations rose three points to 60, and buyer traffic increased four points to 33.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":73761,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-73754","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73754","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73754"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73754\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":73762,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73754\/revisions\/73762"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73761"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73754"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73754"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73754"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}