{"id":72200,"date":"2023-11-15T08:53:23","date_gmt":"2023-11-15T13:53:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=72200"},"modified":"2023-11-15T08:53:23","modified_gmt":"2023-11-15T13:53:23","slug":"coffee-with-greta-more-good-inflation-news-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2023\/11\/15\/coffee-with-greta-more-good-inflation-news-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: More Good Inflation News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/t3trading.com\/cwapt-christian\">Register now<\/a><\/strong> for today's free trading Q&A on LinkedIn with Chartered Market Technician Christian Tharp!<\/p>\n<p><b>DJIA Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+78 (+0.2%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+16 (+0.3%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+90 (+0.6%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are rising after the release of more positive inflation data.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">PPI Drops Unexpectedly<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wholesale inflation posted the largest decline since April 2020 last month.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bureau of Labor Statistics\u2019 producer price index fell 0.5% monthly and rose 1.3% year over year in October.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was better than expectations for a 0.1% monthly\u00a0 and 1.9% annual increase.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The core PPI was unchanged monthly and up 2.4% annually vs expectations for a 0.3% monthly and 2.7% annual gain.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Retail Sales Pull Back<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Retail sales fell in October for the first time in seven months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Commerce Department reported retail sales declined 0.1% last month to $705 billion vs expectations for a 0.2% drop.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It was the first negative reading since March.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gas stations saw the largest decline in sales, dropping 11.8% as prices fell.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sales at furniture stores fell 5.2%, building material store sales declined 2.8%, and sales at electronics and appliance retailers were down 1.7%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Spending at restaurants and bars jumped 11.5%, health and personal care store sales rose 8.2%, online sales rose 8.1%, sales at car dealerships jumped 3.5%, and grocery store sales rose 2.9%.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Target Jumps On Earnings Beat<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Target <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(TGT) shares are up 13.1% ahead of the open after beating Q3 expectations on the top and bottom line.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here\u2019s how the retailer\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EPS: $2.10 vs $1.48 expected<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Revenue: $25.4 billion vs $25.24 billion expected<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Comparable sales dropped nearly 5% year over year with digital sales down 6%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But profit jumped 36% from a year ago as inventory levels improved, with inventory down 14%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The CFO said, \u201cA store can run more efficiently when their back rooms are free of inventory. A distribution center runs more efficiently, with fewer touches, when it\u2019s not as full, too.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Target forecast Q4 adjusted EPS between $1.90 and $2.60 and said it expects a mid-single-digit decline in comparable sales.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mortgage Demand Climbs To 5-Week High<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mortgage demand rose for the second straight week as rates remained lower.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Mortgage Bankers Association reported total application volume rose 2.8% last week.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Purchase applications rose 3% weekly and were 12% lower year over year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Refinance applications rose 2% weekly and 7% annually.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The average 30-year fixed contract rate was unchanged at 7.61%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rates have since moved lower again this week after the cooler-than-expected CPI report on Tuesday.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Register now for today&#8217;s free trading Q&#038;A on LinkedIn with Chartered Market Technician Christian Tharp! DJIA Futures: +78 (+0.2%) SPX Futures: +16 (+0.3%) NASDAQ Futures: +90 (+0.6%) Good morning friends! Futures are rising after the release of more positive inflation data. Let\u2019s get right to it! PPI Drops Unexpectedly Wholesale inflation posted the largest decline since April 2020 last month.\u00a0 The Bureau of Labor Statistics\u2019 producer price index fell 0.5% monthly and rose 1.3% year over year in October. That was better than expectations for a 0.1% monthly\u00a0 and 1.9% annual increase. The core PPI was unchanged monthly and up 2.4% annually vs expectations for a 0.3% monthly and 2.7% annual gain. Retail Sales Pull Back Retail sales fell in October for the first time in seven months. The Commerce Department reported retail sales declined 0.1% last month to $705 billion vs expectations for a 0.2% drop.\u00a0 It was the first negative reading since March.\u00a0 Gas stations saw the largest decline in sales, dropping 11.8% as prices fell.\u00a0 Sales at furniture stores fell 5.2%, building material store sales declined 2.8%, and sales at electronics and appliance retailers were down 1.7%. Spending at restaurants and bars jumped 11.5%, health and personal care store sales rose 8.2%, online sales rose 8.1%, sales at car dealerships jumped 3.5%, and grocery store sales rose 2.9%. Target Jumps On Earnings Beat Target (TGT) shares are up 13.1% ahead of the open after beating Q3 expectations on the top and bottom line.\u00a0 Here\u2019s how the retailer\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0 EPS: $2.10 vs $1.48 expected Revenue: $25.4 billion vs $25.24 billion expected Comparable sales dropped nearly 5% year over year with digital sales down 6%.\u00a0 But profit jumped 36% from a year ago as inventory levels improved, with inventory down 14%. The CFO said, \u201cA store can run more efficiently when their back rooms are free of inventory. A distribution center runs more efficiently, with fewer touches, when it\u2019s not as full, too.\u201d Target forecast Q4 adjusted EPS between $1.90 and $2.60 and said it expects a mid-single-digit decline in comparable sales. Mortgage Demand Climbs To 5-Week High Mortgage demand rose for the second straight week as rates remained lower.\u00a0 The Mortgage Bankers Association reported total application volume rose 2.8% last week.\u00a0 Purchase applications rose 3% weekly and were 12% lower year over year. Refinance applications rose 2% weekly and 7% annually.\u00a0 The average 30-year fixed contract rate was unchanged at 7.61%. Rates have since moved lower again this week after the cooler-than-expected CPI report on Tuesday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":72202,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-72200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72200","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72200"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72200\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":72205,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72200\/revisions\/72205"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/72202"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72200"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72200"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72200"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}