{"id":69457,"date":"2023-07-13T08:58:31","date_gmt":"2023-07-13T12:58:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=69457"},"modified":"2023-07-13T09:06:36","modified_gmt":"2023-07-13T13:06:36","slug":"coffee-with-greta-disinflation-trend","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2023\/07\/13\/coffee-with-greta-disinflation-trend\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: Disinflation Trend"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b><a href=\"http:\/\/t3trading.com\/cwapt-dan\">Register now<\/a> for next week's free pro trader Q&A on LinkedIn with options specialist Dan Darrow!<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>DJIA Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+70 (+0.2%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+17 (+0.4%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+114 (+0.7%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are higher as more data shows the disinflationary trend continuing and Q2 earnings begin to trickle in.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wholesale Inflation Cooler Than Expected<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wholesale inflation pressures were cooler than expected in June.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bureau of Labor Statistics\u2019 producer price index rose 0.1% monthly and 0.1% year over year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was better than expectations for 0.2% monthly and 0.4% annually.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It was the lowest headline number since August 2020.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The core PPI also cooled more than expected, rising 0.1% monthly and 2.4% annually.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Economists were expecting core PPI to rise 0.2% monthly and 2.6% annually.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This data is good news for consumer inflation as producer prices are a leading indicator for consumer price trends.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weekly Jobless Claims Slide<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weekly jobless claims fell unexpectedly last week in another sign the labor market is maintaining strength.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Labor Department reported 237,000 Americans filed initial claims for unemployment benefits.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was down by 12,000 from the previous week and lower than expectations for claims to rise to 250,000.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But continuing claims rose unexpectedly in the week ending July 1, up by 9,000 to 1.729 million vs expectations for that number to be unchanged.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Delta Jumps On Record Earnings, Revenue<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Delta Airlines <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(DAL) shares are up 3.8% ahead of the open after reporting record second quarter earnings and revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here\u2019s how the airline\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Adjusted EPS: $2.64 vs $2.40 expected<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Adjusted revenue: $14.61 billion vs $14.49 billion expected<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">International travel surged during the quarter with revenue from trans-Atlantic trips up more than 60% year over year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Domestic revenue rose 8% while overall passenger revenue was up 21%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fuel costs tumbled 22% during the quarter which boosted the company\u2019s bottom line.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Delta forecast Q3 earnings between $2.20 and $2.50 per share.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company expects capacity to increase 16% this quarter and revenue to jump as much as 14% from a year ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Delta also hiked its full-year outlook, now expecting adjusted EPS of $6 to $7.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">PepsiCo Up After Earnings Beat, Higher Guidance<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>PepsiCo <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(PEP) shares are rising 2.3% in premarket trade after beating Q2 expectations and hiking its full-year outlook.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here\u2019s how the beverage maker\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Adjusted EPS: $2.09 vs $1.96 expected<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Revenue: $22.32 billion vs $21.73 billion expected<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But sales volume dropped 3% in Pepsi\u2019s food division and 1% in the beverage division as higher prices hurt demand.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company still raised its outlook for the second consecutive quarter.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For 2023, Pepsi expects 10% organic revenue growth vs 8% previously.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company also forecast core constant currency earnings growth of 12% vs 9% previously.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Case You Missed It<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Fed\u2019s latest beige book shows economic growth continuing to slow across the country. The central bank released that report Wednesday afternoon. Five of the 12 Fed districts reported slight or modest growth, five reported flat growth, and two reported slight or modest declines. The report said labor markets are healthy with hiring more \u201ctargeting and selective\u201d. Wage growth continued at a more moderate pace while price increases also slowed.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Register now for next week&#8217;s free pro trader Q&#038;A on LinkedIn with options specialist Dan Darrow! DJIA Futures: +70 (+0.2%) SPX Futures:+17 (+0.4%) NASDAQ Futures: +114 (+0.7%) Good morning friends! Futures are higher as more data shows the disinflationary trend continuing and Q2 earnings begin to trickle in. Let\u2019s get right to it! Wholesale Inflation Cooler Than Expected Wholesale inflation pressures were cooler than expected in June.\u00a0 The Bureau of Labor Statistics\u2019 producer price index rose 0.1% monthly and 0.1% year over year.\u00a0 That was better than expectations for 0.2% monthly and 0.4% annually.\u00a0 It was the lowest headline number since August 2020.\u00a0 The core PPI also cooled more than expected, rising 0.1% monthly and 2.4% annually.\u00a0 Economists were expecting core PPI to rise 0.2% monthly and 2.6% annually.\u00a0\u00a0 This data is good news for consumer inflation as producer prices are a leading indicator for consumer price trends. Weekly Jobless Claims Slide Weekly jobless claims fell unexpectedly last week in another sign the labor market is maintaining strength.\u00a0 The Labor Department reported 237,000 Americans filed initial claims for unemployment benefits.\u00a0 That was down by 12,000 from the previous week and lower than expectations for claims to rise to 250,000. But continuing claims rose unexpectedly in the week ending July 1, up by 9,000 to 1.729 million vs expectations for that number to be unchanged. Delta Jumps On Record Earnings, Revenue Delta Airlines (DAL) shares are up 3.8% ahead of the open after reporting record second quarter earnings and revenue.\u00a0 Here\u2019s how the airline\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0 Adjusted EPS: $2.64 vs $2.40 expected Adjusted revenue: $14.61 billion vs $14.49 billion expected International travel surged during the quarter with revenue from trans-Atlantic trips up more than 60% year over year.\u00a0 Domestic revenue rose 8% while overall passenger revenue was up 21%. Fuel costs tumbled 22% during the quarter which boosted the company\u2019s bottom line.\u00a0 Delta forecast Q3 earnings between $2.20 and $2.50 per share. The company expects capacity to increase 16% this quarter and revenue to jump as much as 14% from a year ago. Delta also hiked its full-year outlook, now expecting adjusted EPS of $6 to $7. PepsiCo Up After Earnings Beat, Higher Guidance PepsiCo (PEP) shares are rising 2.3% in premarket trade after beating Q2 expectations and hiking its full-year outlook.\u00a0 Here\u2019s how the beverage maker\u2019s results compared to analysts\u2019 estimates:\u00a0 Adjusted EPS: $2.09 vs $1.96 expected Revenue: $22.32 billion vs $21.73 billion expected But sales volume dropped 3% in Pepsi\u2019s food division and 1% in the beverage division as higher prices hurt demand. The company still raised its outlook for the second consecutive quarter.\u00a0 For 2023, Pepsi expects 10% organic revenue growth vs 8% previously.\u00a0 The company also forecast core constant currency earnings growth of 12% vs 9% previously. In Case You Missed It The Fed\u2019s latest beige book shows economic growth continuing to slow across the country. The central bank released that report Wednesday afternoon. Five of the 12 Fed districts reported slight or modest growth, five reported flat growth, and two reported slight or modest declines. The report said labor markets are healthy with hiring more \u201ctargeting and selective\u201d. Wage growth continued at a more moderate pace while price increases also slowed.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":69465,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69457","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69457"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69457\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69469,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69457\/revisions\/69469"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69465"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69457"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69457"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69457"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}