{"id":68780,"date":"2023-06-17T08:25:29","date_gmt":"2023-06-17T12:25:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=68780"},"modified":"2023-06-17T08:38:15","modified_gmt":"2023-06-17T12:38:15","slug":"market-preview-2023-06-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2023\/06\/17\/market-preview-2023-06-19\/","title":{"rendered":"The Mighty Mighty Tech Bulls: What\u2019s on Tap June 19-23, 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to your weekly trading preview! Before you start, &nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/scott-redler-alpha-team-bundle-page\/\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"outline: none;\" rel=\"noopener\">take a special sneak peak at this week's special offer<\/a> from Scott Redler. SHHH! Don't tell anyone!<\/p>\n<p>Use the Table of Contents to jump around:<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"t-1683310483980\"><strong>This Week's Trading Calendar<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>If you want to view or download this week's calendar, check click the image below:<\/p>\n<p><span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"68810\" width=\"232\" data-init-width=\"816\" height=\"300\" data-init-height=\"1056\" title=\"T3 Live Calendar - Earnings & Economics (5)\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/T3-Live-Calendar-Earnings-Economics-5.png\" data-width=\"232\" data-height=\"300\" style=\"\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>Click to enlarge<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Quick reminder: US markets are closed Monday, June 19 for the Juneteenth holiday.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"t-1683310483975\"><strong>Week in Review: Tech Booms Again<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"68792\" width=\"700\" data-init-width=\"774\" height=\"246\" data-init-height=\"272\" title=\"Screen Shot 2023-06-17 at 7.45.20 AM\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Screen-Shot-2023-06-17-at-7.45.20-AM.png\" data-width=\"700\" data-height=\"246\" style=\"\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>FOMC Chair Jerome Powell's &#8220;hawkish pause&#8221; did not deter the bulls, while the light CPI gave traders hope that inflation really is under control.<\/p>\n<p>Plus, the University of Michigan sentiment survey <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/us\/us-consumer-sentiment-rises-four-month-high-june-2023-06-16\/\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"outline: none;\" rel=\"noopener\">showed<\/a> that US consumers' near-term inflation expectations are at a two-year low.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So while Powell is technically hawkish, it feels like the market is pricing in a rate-easing scenario far in the future. After all, tech and housing are booming.<\/p>\n<p>As such, from a price action perspective, the big story this week was the resurgence in tech with the <strong>QQQ's<\/strong> up 3.8% and&nbsp;<strong>IWM<\/strong> falling behind after its recent surge.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Having the 4 horsemen all in green territory despite feeling overbought is mighty impressive.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>From a sector perspective, we saw major strength in natural gas, airlines\/travel, transports, and semiconductors.<\/p>\n<p>Some of this week's leaders include:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Carnival Cruise<\/strong> (CCL): +21%<strong>Intel<\/strong> (INTC): +16%<strong>Estee Lauder <\/strong>(EL): +16%<strong>Oracle<\/strong> (ORCL): +14%<strong>Catelent<\/strong> (CTLT): +14%<\/p>\n<p>Plus, tech superstars <strong>Apple<\/strong> (AAPL) and <strong>Nvidia<\/strong> (NVDA) hit all-time highs.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"t-1683310483972\">The June Surge<\/h2>\n<p>Now let's take a quick look at ETF performance in June. As you can see, just about everything is up:<\/p>\n<p><span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"68794\" width=\"618\" data-init-width=\"626\" height=\"812\" data-init-height=\"823\" title=\"Screen Shot 2023-06-17 at 7.49.14 AM\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Screen-Shot-2023-06-17-at-7.49.14-AM.png\" data-width=\"618\" data-height=\"812\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>IWM<\/strong> and <strong>RSP<\/strong> (equal weight SPX ETF) are outperforming <strong>SPY<\/strong>, so the rally is broadening out a bit.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"t-1686333314827\">Bulls Have No Fear<\/h2>\n<p>The VIX is still at multi-year lows, showing that traders are pricing in almost no volatility:<\/p>\n<p><span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"68797\" width=\"700\" data-init-width=\"2400\" height=\"467\" data-init-height=\"1600\" title=\"koyfin_20230617_075111111\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/koyfin_20230617_075111111.png\" data-width=\"700\" data-height=\"467\" style=\"\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>By the way, if you want to learn more about the VIX, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.t3live.com\/blog\/2017\/04\/20\/what-is-the-vix-exactly-and-how-can-i-make-money-from-it\/\" style=\"outline: none;\">go here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the American Association of Individual Investors' <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aaii.com\/sentimentsurvey\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"outline: none;\" rel=\"noopener\">Sentiment Survey<\/a> showed a bullish sentiment for the second week in a row:<\/p>\n<p><span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"68802\" width=\"698\" data-init-width=\"939\" height=\"288\" data-init-height=\"388\" title=\"Screen Shot 2023-06-17 at 7.52.41 AM\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Screen-Shot-2023-06-17-at-7.52.41-AM.png\" data-width=\"698\" data-height=\"288\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>45.2% of investors are bullish, in-line with last week's 45.2% reading.<\/p>\n<p>This is the highest reading since November 11, 2021. The S&P 500 topped out less than 2 months after that.<\/p>\n<p>Plus, CNN's Fear and Greed Index still read Extreme Greed:<\/p>\n<p><span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"68804\" width=\"676\" data-init-width=\"706\" height=\"510\" data-init-height=\"533\" title=\"Screen Shot 2023-06-17 at 7.53.41 AM\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Screen-Shot-2023-06-17-at-7.53.41-AM.png\" data-width=\"676\" data-height=\"510\" style=\"\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Traders are still very bullish.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"t-1686333314828\">A Light Calendar<\/h2>\n<p>We're coming off a busy week with the FOMC Rate Decision and CPI, but we have a few key reports on tap:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"\"><strong>Tuesday<\/strong>: Building Permits<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thursday<\/strong>: Jobless Claims, Existing Homes Sales<\/li>\n<li><strong>Friday<\/strong>: Services PMI<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The bears have been hunting (and maybe hoping) for evidence of a recession, but none of these reports are in the &#8220;make or break category.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"t-1683310483973\"><strong>Some Earnings Biggies<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Earnings season has slowed down quite a bit but we saw three blockbusters last week with <strong>Oracle<\/strong> (ORCL), <strong>Lennar<\/strong> (LEN), and <strong>Adobe<\/strong> (ADBE).<\/p>\n<p>Keep an eye on these reports:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li tve-u-1881155d696\"\"=\"\"><span><span><strong><span><span>Tuesday: Fedex <\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>(FDX) for insights on consumer spending and ecommerce demand&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><span><span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li tve-u-1881155d696\"\"=\"\"><span><span><strong>Wednesday<\/strong>: <strong>KB Homes<\/strong> (KBH) &#8211; homebuilding stocks are up huge in 2023 and we'll see if KB follow's Lennar's lead<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li tve-u-1881155d696\"\"=\"\"><span><strong>Thursday<\/strong>: <strong>Darden Restaurants<\/strong> (DRI) &#8211; will tell us about consumer strength<\/span><\/li>\n<li tve-u-1881155d696\"\"=\"\"><span><strong>Friday: CarMax<\/strong> (KMX) &#8211; used car stocks have been flying so we'll see if the fundamentals are catching up with prices.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"t-1683310483977\">The Best ETFs of 2023 &#8211; Semis on Fire<\/h2>\n<p>Semiconductors are still on fire with a 51.2% gain for SMH.<\/p>\n<p><span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"68815\" width=\"574\" data-init-width=\"617\" height=\"765\" data-init-height=\"822\" title=\"Screen Shot 2023-06-17 at 8.03.22 AM\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Screen-Shot-2023-06-17-at-8.03.22-AM.png\" data-width=\"574\" data-height=\"765\" style=\"\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Outside of tech, housing stocks are still booming and airlines are sneaking up on everyone too.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"t-1686333314829\">Trading Insights from Marty Zweig<\/h2>\n<p>David Prince of <a href=\"https:\/\/t3live.com\/ic\" style=\"outline: none;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">T3's Inner Circle<\/a> shared this on Twitter:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p lang=\"zxx\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lvWYWm5puJ\">pic.twitter.com\/lvWYWm5puJ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 The Inner Circle Trading Group DP David Prince (@epictrades1) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/epictrades1\/status\/1669505260405104643?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 16, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> [tcb-script async=&#8221;&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js&#8221; charset=&#8221;utf-8&#8243;][\/tcb-script]\n<p>P.S. Don't forget to take a peak at <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/scott-redler-alpha-team-bundle-page\/\" style=\"outline: none;\">Scott Redler's special offer<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to your weekly trading preview! Before you start, &nbsp;take a special sneak peak at this week&#8217;s special offer from Scott Redler. SHHH! Don&#8217;t tell anyone! Use the Table of Contents to jump around: This Week&#8217;s Trading Calendar If you want to view or download this week&#8217;s calendar, check click the image below: Click to enlarge Quick reminder: US markets are closed Monday, June 19 for the Juneteenth holiday. Week in Review: Tech Booms Again FOMC Chair Jerome Powell&#8217;s &#8220;hawkish pause&#8221; did not deter the bulls, while the light CPI gave traders hope that inflation really is under control. Plus, the University of Michigan sentiment survey showed that US consumers&#8217; near-term inflation expectations are at a two-year low.&nbsp; So while Powell is technically hawkish, it feels like the market is pricing in a rate-easing scenario far in the future. After all, tech and housing are booming. As such, from a price action perspective, the big story this week was the resurgence in tech with the QQQ&#8217;s up 3.8% and&nbsp;IWM falling behind after its recent surge.&nbsp; Having the 4 horsemen all in green territory despite feeling overbought is mighty impressive.&nbsp; From a sector perspective, we saw major strength in natural gas, airlines\/travel, transports, and semiconductors. Some of this week&#8217;s leaders include: Carnival Cruise (CCL): +21%Intel (INTC): +16%Estee Lauder (EL): +16%Oracle (ORCL): +14%Catelent (CTLT): +14% Plus, tech superstars Apple (AAPL) and Nvidia (NVDA) hit all-time highs. The June Surge Now let&#8217;s take a quick look at ETF performance in June. As you can see, just about everything is up: IWM and RSP (equal weight SPX ETF) are outperforming SPY, so the rally is broadening out a bit. Bulls Have No Fear The VIX is still at multi-year lows, showing that traders are pricing in almost no volatility: By the way, if you want to learn more about the VIX, go here. Meanwhile, the American Association of Individual Investors&#8217; Sentiment Survey showed a bullish sentiment for the second week in a row: 45.2% of investors are bullish, in-line with last week&#8217;s 45.2% reading. This is the highest reading since November 11, 2021. The S&#038;P 500 topped out less than 2 months after that. Plus, CNN&#8217;s Fear and Greed Index still read Extreme Greed: Traders are still very bullish. A Light Calendar We&#8217;re coming off a busy week with the FOMC Rate Decision and CPI, but we have a few key reports on tap: Tuesday: Building Permits Thursday: Jobless Claims, Existing Homes Sales Friday: Services PMI The bears have been hunting (and maybe hoping) for evidence of a recession, but none of these reports are in the &#8220;make or break category.&#8221; Some Earnings Biggies Earnings season has slowed down quite a bit but we saw three blockbusters last week with Oracle (ORCL), Lennar (LEN), and Adobe (ADBE). Keep an eye on these reports: Tuesday: Fedex (FDX) for insights on consumer spending and ecommerce demand&nbsp; Wednesday: KB Homes (KBH) &#8211; homebuilding stocks are up huge in 2023 and we&#8217;ll see if KB follow&#8217;s Lennar&#8217;s lead Thursday: Darden Restaurants (DRI) &#8211; will tell us about consumer strength Friday: CarMax (KMX) &#8211; used car stocks have been flying so we&#8217;ll see if the fundamentals are catching up with prices. The Best ETFs of 2023 &#8211; Semis on Fire Semiconductors are still on fire with a 51.2% gain for SMH. Outside of tech, housing stocks are still booming and airlines are sneaking up on everyone too. Trading Insights from Marty Zweig David Prince of T3&#8217;s Inner Circle shared this on Twitter: pic.twitter.com\/lvWYWm5puJ \u2014 The Inner Circle Trading Group DP David Prince (@epictrades1) June 16, 2023 [tcb-script async=&#8221;&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js&#8221; charset=&#8221;utf-8&#8243;][\/tcb-script] P.S. Don&#8217;t forget to take a peak at Scott Redler&#8217;s special offer.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":67239,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68780","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68780","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68780"}],"version-history":[{"count":21,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68780\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68840,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68780\/revisions\/68840"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67239"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68780"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68780"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68780"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}