{"id":66581,"date":"2023-03-08T08:55:43","date_gmt":"2023-03-08T13:55:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=66581"},"modified":"2023-03-08T08:55:43","modified_gmt":"2023-03-08T13:55:43","slug":"coffee-with-greta-private-job-growth-runs-hot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2023\/03\/08\/coffee-with-greta-private-job-growth-runs-hot\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: Private Job Growth Runs Hot"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>DJIA Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+36 (+0.1%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+5 (+0.1%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+22 (+0.2%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are slightly higher as traders digest the latest jobs data and await day 2 of the Fed Chair\u2019s testimony in Congress.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Private Payroll Growth Runs Hot<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The U.S. private sector expanded more than expected in February as the labor market remains hot.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ADP reported private employers added 242,000 jobs last month vs 205,000 expected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was up from 119,000 in January.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The leisure and hospitality sector continued to lead the gains, adding 83,000 jobs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Financial activities added 62,000 and manufacturing grew by 43,000.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is the first piece of key data on the labor market this week.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Labor Department will release its January job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) at 10:00 a.m. ET today.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That report is expected to show the number of job openings in the U.S. fell to 10.6 million at the start of the year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Labor Department\u2019s official February jobs report on Friday is expected to show the U.S. economy added 225,000 jobs with the unemployment rate unchanged at 3.4%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Powell Testimony Day 2<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify in the House Financial Services Committee today, starting at 10:00 a.m. ET.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is the second part of his semiannual report on monetary policy to Congress.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Powell shocked the market with a more hawkish tone during his testimony in the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He told the committee that interest rates are likely to settle higher than the terminal rate the bank previously laid out.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Powell said the Fed \u201cwould be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes\u201d if data shows that is necessary.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CME Group\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FedWatch<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Tool now shows over 79% of traders expecting the Fed to go back to a 50 basis point rate hike at the March 22nd meeting.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">January Trade Deficit Rises Slightly<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The U.S. trade deficit rose slightly in January after surging throughout 2022.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Commerce Department reported the gap rose 1.6% to $68.3 billion at the start of the year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was in line with expectations and down 28% year over year from $87.4 billion in January 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Imports rose 3% to $325.8 billion while exports rose 3.4% to $257.5 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Economists expect the deficit may decline this year for the first time since 2019 as Americans pullback on spending due to inflation and higher interest rates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Slower spending results in lower import levels.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Case You Missed It<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>JetBlue Airways <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(JBLU) shares fell 2.9% on Tuesday after the DOJ sued to block the company\u2019s takeover of <\/span><b>Spirit Airlines <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(SAVE). The Justice Department claimed the merger would eliminate competition in the marketplace. The DOJ filing said the takeover would \u201cleave tens of millions of travelers to face higher fares and fewer options.\u201d Shares of the other major airlines rose following that filing.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DJIA Futures: +36 (+0.1%) SPX Futures: +5 (+0.1%) NASDAQ Futures: +22 (+0.2%) Good morning friends! Futures are slightly higher as traders digest the latest jobs data and await day 2 of the Fed Chair\u2019s testimony in Congress. Let\u2019s get right to it! Private Payroll Growth Runs Hot The U.S. private sector expanded more than expected in February as the labor market remains hot.\u00a0 ADP reported private employers added 242,000 jobs last month vs 205,000 expected.\u00a0 That was up from 119,000 in January.\u00a0 The leisure and hospitality sector continued to lead the gains, adding 83,000 jobs.\u00a0 Financial activities added 62,000 and manufacturing grew by 43,000. This is the first piece of key data on the labor market this week.\u00a0 The Labor Department will release its January job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) at 10:00 a.m. ET today.\u00a0 That report is expected to show the number of job openings in the U.S. fell to 10.6 million at the start of the year.\u00a0 The Labor Department\u2019s official February jobs report on Friday is expected to show the U.S. economy added 225,000 jobs with the unemployment rate unchanged at 3.4%.\u00a0 Powell Testimony Day 2 Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify in the House Financial Services Committee today, starting at 10:00 a.m. ET.\u00a0 This is the second part of his semiannual report on monetary policy to Congress.\u00a0 Powell shocked the market with a more hawkish tone during his testimony in the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday.\u00a0 He told the committee that interest rates are likely to settle higher than the terminal rate the bank previously laid out.\u00a0 Powell said the Fed \u201cwould be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes\u201d if data shows that is necessary.\u00a0 CME Group\u2019s FedWatch Tool now shows over 79% of traders expecting the Fed to go back to a 50 basis point rate hike at the March 22nd meeting.\u00a0 January Trade Deficit Rises Slightly The U.S. trade deficit rose slightly in January after surging throughout 2022.\u00a0 The Commerce Department reported the gap rose 1.6% to $68.3 billion at the start of the year.\u00a0 That was in line with expectations and down 28% year over year from $87.4 billion in January 2022. Imports rose 3% to $325.8 billion while exports rose 3.4% to $257.5 billion.\u00a0 Economists expect the deficit may decline this year for the first time since 2019 as Americans pullback on spending due to inflation and higher interest rates.\u00a0 Slower spending results in lower import levels. In Case You Missed It JetBlue Airways (JBLU) shares fell 2.9% on Tuesday after the DOJ sued to block the company\u2019s takeover of Spirit Airlines (SAVE). The Justice Department claimed the merger would eliminate competition in the marketplace. The DOJ filing said the takeover would \u201cleave tens of millions of travelers to face higher fares and fewer options.\u201d Shares of the other major airlines rose following that filing.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":66588,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-66581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66581","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66581"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66581\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":66585,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66581\/revisions\/66585"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66588"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66581"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66581"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66581"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}