{"id":64074,"date":"2022-10-03T08:57:50","date_gmt":"2022-10-03T12:57:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=64074"},"modified":"2022-10-03T09:08:46","modified_gmt":"2022-10-03T13:08:46","slug":"scott-redler-credit-suisse-lehman","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2022\/10\/03\/scott-redler-credit-suisse-lehman\/","title":{"rendered":"Credit Suisse = New Lehman?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We have mixed markets around the world after an erratic SPX futures night.<\/p>\n<p>Europe is off the lows. The UK government reversed course and abandoned a plan to scrap the top 45% tax rate. Gilts aren't moving much. Brent prices are up with OPC cuts, and Putin didn't do anything crazy. Ukraine took back some stolen land.<\/p>\n<p>Credit Suisse remains in a news doom loop. Some are saying it's not a Lehman moment. But let's focus on levels first and headlines second.<\/p>\n<p><b>SPX<\/b> futures are +25 after they were down 35 last night. We'll see if new flows try and bounce the tape.<\/p>\n<p>There's resistance at 3610-3636. The bears need to reject price there to keep active pressure on.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-64080\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1673\" height=\"822\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07.png 1673w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-300x147.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-1024x503.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-150x74.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-768x377.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-1536x755.png 1536w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-80x39.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-220x108.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-204x100.png 204w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-280x138.png 280w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-484x238.png 484w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-750x368.png 750w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-975x479.png 975w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/SPX-03_Oct_2022_07_07-1190x585.png 1190w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1673px) 100vw, 1673px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Now let's go through the major ETF's I'm watching today:<\/p>\n<p><b>ARKK<\/b>\u00a0didn't make new lows on the year. We'll see if that means anything when this market wants to bounce. $37ish is pivot support to watch.<\/p>\n<p>Biotech acts better than most sectors but it\u2019s hard to get excited. Active support is\u00a0<b>XBI<\/b>\u00a0$77.57. Resistance is $82ish.<\/p>\n<p><b>XLE<\/b>\u00a0acted better over the past two sessions as most sectors made new lows on the year. Oil is up this morning on news of an OPEC cut. There's a gap to fill up to $75ish. It\u2019s probably a better sale than add.<\/p>\n<p><b>XLF<\/b>\u00a0is trying to create a lower tight pivot area to resolve at some point. There is lots of talk about CS and comparisons to Lehman or Bear. This sector doesn't act compelling. Watch $30.12 for market clues.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Positions Disc<\/strong><strong>losure<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-64077\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Screen-Shot-2022-10-03-at-8.56.11-AM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"442\" height=\"129\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Screen-Shot-2022-10-03-at-8.56.11-AM.png 442w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Screen-Shot-2022-10-03-at-8.56.11-AM-300x88.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Screen-Shot-2022-10-03-at-8.56.11-AM-150x44.png 150w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Screen-Shot-2022-10-03-at-8.56.11-AM-80x23.png 80w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Screen-Shot-2022-10-03-at-8.56.11-AM-220x64.png 220w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Screen-Shot-2022-10-03-at-8.56.11-AM-250x73.png 250w, https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Screen-Shot-2022-10-03-at-8.56.11-AM-280x82.png 280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 442px) 100vw, 442px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We have mixed markets around the world after an erratic SPX futures night. Europe is off the lows. The UK government reversed course and abandoned a plan to scrap the top 45% tax rate. Gilts aren&#8217;t moving much. Brent prices are up with OPC cuts, and Putin didn&#8217;t do anything crazy. Ukraine took back some stolen land. Credit Suisse remains in a news doom loop. Some are saying it&#8217;s not a Lehman moment. But let&#8217;s focus on levels first and headlines second. SPX futures are +25 after they were down 35 last night. We&#8217;ll see if new flows try and bounce the tape. There&#8217;s resistance at 3610-3636. The bears need to reject price there to keep active pressure on. Now let&#8217;s go through the major ETF&#8217;s I&#8217;m watching today: ARKK\u00a0didn&#8217;t make new lows on the year. We&#8217;ll see if that means anything when this market wants to bounce. $37ish is pivot support to watch. Biotech acts better than most sectors but it\u2019s hard to get excited. Active support is\u00a0XBI\u00a0$77.57. Resistance is $82ish. XLE\u00a0acted better over the past two sessions as most sectors made new lows on the year. Oil is up this morning on news of an OPEC cut. There&#8217;s a gap to fill up to $75ish. It\u2019s probably a better sale than add. XLF\u00a0is trying to create a lower tight pivot area to resolve at some point. There is lots of talk about CS and comparisons to Lehman or Bear. This sector doesn&#8217;t act compelling. Watch $30.12 for market clues. Positions Disclosure<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[736],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64074","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-scott-redler-dog-bytes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64074","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64074"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64074\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64084,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64074\/revisions\/64084"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64074"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64074"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64074"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}