{"id":63981,"date":"2022-09-23T08:55:45","date_gmt":"2022-09-23T12:55:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=63981"},"modified":"2022-09-23T08:55:45","modified_gmt":"2022-09-23T12:55:45","slug":"coffee-with-greta-is-the-fed-overdoing-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2022\/09\/23\/coffee-with-greta-is-the-fed-overdoing-it\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: Is the Fed Overdoing It?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>DJIA Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-389 (-1.3%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-53 (-1.4%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-162 (-1.4%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are tumbling as traders fear the Fed may be overdoing it with rate hikes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Goldman Sachs Cuts S&P 500 Price Target<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Goldman Sachs <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(GS) slashed its end-of-the-year price target for the S&P 500 as the bank sees the Fed\u2019s tightening policy ending in a \u201chard landing\u201d.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Goldman cut that target by about 16% to 3,600 points.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analyst David Kostin said, &#8220;Based on our client discussions, a majority of equity investors have adopted the view that a hard landing scenario is inevitable and their focus is on the timing, magnitude and duration of a potential recession and investment strategies for that outlook.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The major indexes are all set to open lower today and log large losses for the week amid fears the Fed is overdoing it and will cause an economic downturn.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>Dow Jones <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is on track to open well below 30,000.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Treasury Yields Continue Surge<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. Treasury yields are marching higher today with the 2-year hitting a fresh 15-year high.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2-year yield is currently up 8 basis points to 4.21% after hitting a high of 4.266% earlier this morning.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 10-year yield is up 5 basis points to 3.78%, trading around its highest levels seen since 2011.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FedEx Announces Price Hikes, Cost-Cutting Measures<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>FedEx <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(FDX) shares are down 3.2% ahead of the open after announcing price hikes and cost-cutting efforts.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The shipping giant said its Express, Ground, and Home delivery rates will all increase by 6.9% on average while Freight rates will rise by 6.9%-7.9%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company also intends to save between $1.5 billion and $1.7 billion by parking planes and reducing its flights.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Other cost-saving moves include closing some locations, suspending some Sunday operations, reducing vendor use, and deferring projects.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The CEO said, \u201cWe\u2019re moving with speed and agility to navigate a difficult operating environment, pulling cost, commercial, and capacity levers to adjust to the impacts of reduced demand.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For fiscal 2023, FedEx expects total cost savings of $2.2 billion to $2.27 billion.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Costco Tops Fiscal Q4 Expectations<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Costco <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(COST) shares are slipping 2.2% in premarket trade despite beating fiscal Q4 expectations on the top and bottom line.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here\u2019s how the retailer\u2019s results compared with analysts\u2019 expectations:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EPS: $4.20 vs $4.17 expected<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Revenue: $70.8 billion, in line with expectations<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Same-store sales: +13.7%, in line with expectations<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Costco\u2019s full-year profits and sales were also in line with consensus estimates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But traders soured on the stock as the company\u2019s margins contracted in the quarter.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gross margins came in at 10.1%, down 74 basis points year over year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Costco said it is continuing to see pressure from higher wages, commodities, and transportation costs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The CFO also announced Costco would not be raising its membership fees at this time to help pad those thin margins.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil Prices Tumble on Recession Fears<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil prices are falling today as recession fears take over the market.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">West Texas Intermediate crude futures are down 3.3% to under $81 bbl, while Brent crude futures are down 2.8% to under $88 bbl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Fed\u2019s plan to stay aggressive on rate hikes has increased the chances of a recession in the U.S. economy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For the oil market, a recession comes with lower demand.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Case You Missed It<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Conference Board\u2019s leading economic indicators index fell for the sixth month in a row. The index dropped 0.3% in August, which was higher than economists\u2019 expectations for a 0.1% decline. Most components of the index declined, except for new jobless claims and the interest-rate spread. But the measure of current economic conditions rose by 0.1% while the lagging index rose by 0.7%.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DJIA Futures: -389 (-1.3%) SPX Futures: -53 (-1.4%) NASDAQ Futures: -162 (-1.4%) Good morning friends! Futures are tumbling as traders fear the Fed may be overdoing it with rate hikes. Let\u2019s get right to it! Goldman Sachs Cuts S&#038;P 500 Price Target Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its end-of-the-year price target for the S&#038;P 500 as the bank sees the Fed\u2019s tightening policy ending in a \u201chard landing\u201d.\u00a0 Goldman cut that target by about 16% to 3,600 points.\u00a0 Analyst David Kostin said, &#8220;Based on our client discussions, a majority of equity investors have adopted the view that a hard landing scenario is inevitable and their focus is on the timing, magnitude and duration of a potential recession and investment strategies for that outlook.\u201d The major indexes are all set to open lower today and log large losses for the week amid fears the Fed is overdoing it and will cause an economic downturn. The Dow Jones is on track to open well below 30,000. Treasury Yields Continue Surge U.S. Treasury yields are marching higher today with the 2-year hitting a fresh 15-year high.\u00a0 The 2-year yield is currently up 8 basis points to 4.21% after hitting a high of 4.266% earlier this morning.\u00a0 The 10-year yield is up 5 basis points to 3.78%, trading around its highest levels seen since 2011.\u00a0 FedEx Announces Price Hikes, Cost-Cutting Measures FedEx (FDX) shares are down 3.2% ahead of the open after announcing price hikes and cost-cutting efforts.\u00a0 The shipping giant said its Express, Ground, and Home delivery rates will all increase by 6.9% on average while Freight rates will rise by 6.9%-7.9%.\u00a0 The company also intends to save between $1.5 billion and $1.7 billion by parking planes and reducing its flights.\u00a0 Other cost-saving moves include closing some locations, suspending some Sunday operations, reducing vendor use, and deferring projects.\u00a0 The CEO said, \u201cWe\u2019re moving with speed and agility to navigate a difficult operating environment, pulling cost, commercial, and capacity levers to adjust to the impacts of reduced demand.\u201d For fiscal 2023, FedEx expects total cost savings of $2.2 billion to $2.27 billion. Costco Tops Fiscal Q4 Expectations Costco (COST) shares are slipping 2.2% in premarket trade despite beating fiscal Q4 expectations on the top and bottom line.\u00a0 Here\u2019s how the retailer\u2019s results compared with analysts\u2019 expectations: EPS: $4.20 vs $4.17 expected Revenue: $70.8 billion, in line with expectations Same-store sales: +13.7%, in line with expectations Costco\u2019s full-year profits and sales were also in line with consensus estimates.\u00a0 But traders soured on the stock as the company\u2019s margins contracted in the quarter. Gross margins came in at 10.1%, down 74 basis points year over year.\u00a0 Costco said it is continuing to see pressure from higher wages, commodities, and transportation costs. The CFO also announced Costco would not be raising its membership fees at this time to help pad those thin margins.\u00a0 Oil Prices Tumble on Recession Fears Oil prices are falling today as recession fears take over the market.\u00a0 West Texas Intermediate crude futures are down 3.3% to under $81 bbl, while Brent crude futures are down 2.8% to under $88 bbl. The Fed\u2019s plan to stay aggressive on rate hikes has increased the chances of a recession in the U.S. economy.\u00a0 For the oil market, a recession comes with lower demand.\u00a0 In Case You Missed It The Conference Board\u2019s leading economic indicators index fell for the sixth month in a row. The index dropped 0.3% in August, which was higher than economists\u2019 expectations for a 0.1% decline. Most components of the index declined, except for new jobless claims and the interest-rate spread. But the measure of current economic conditions rose by 0.1% while the lagging index rose by 0.7%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":63982,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63981","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63981","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=63981"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63981\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63985,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63981\/revisions\/63985"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63982"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=63981"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=63981"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=63981"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}