{"id":62880,"date":"2022-07-20T08:53:07","date_gmt":"2022-07-20T12:53:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=62880"},"modified":"2022-07-20T08:56:58","modified_gmt":"2022-07-20T12:56:58","slug":"coffee-with-greta-strangest-thing-of-the-year-is-this-nflx-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2022\/07\/20\/coffee-with-greta-strangest-thing-of-the-year-is-this-nflx-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: Strangest Thing of the Year Is This NFLX Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>DJIA Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-94, (-0.3%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-11 (-0.3%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-22 (-0.2%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are lower as the market braces for more Q2 earnings.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Netflix Rallies On Smaller-Than-Expected Subscriber Loss<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Netflix <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(NFLX) shares are up 4.4% ahead of the open after reporting mixed Q2 results and a smaller subscriber loss than expected.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The streaming giant <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/s22.q4cdn.com\/959853165\/files\/doc_financials\/2022\/q2\/FINAL-Q2-22-Shareholder-Letter.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reported<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> earnings of $3.20 per share on $7.97 billion in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That topped analysts\u2019 expectations for EPS of $2.94 but missed revenue estimates for $8.035 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Netflix lost just 970,000 subscribers in the quarter, far below the company\u2019s own guidance for a loss of 2 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The &#8220;Stranger Things&#8221; producer said it expects a net addition of 1 million subscribers in Q3 vs expectations for 1.8 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Netflix said it is aiming to unveil its new lower-cost, ad-supported tier in early 2023.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mortgage Demand Tumbles to a 22-Year Low<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mortgage demand is dropping rapidly as buyers pull back due to higher mortgage rates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Mortgage Bankers Association <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mba.org\/news-and-research\/newsroom\/news\/2022\/07\/20\/mortgage-applications-decrease-in-latest-mba-weekly-survey\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reported<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> total application volume fell 6.3% last week, hitting the lowest level since 2000.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Purchase applications fell 7% weekly and were 19% lower compared to the same week in 2021.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Refinance applications dropped 4% weekly and plunged 80% year-over-year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The average 30-year contract rate rose to 5.82% from 5.74% the previous week.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Treasury Yields Dip<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Treasury yields are pulling back this morning as markets attempt to gauge what the Fed will do at next week\u2019s meeting.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2-year yield is down 7 basis points to 3.18% while the 10-year yield is down 7 basis points to 2.95%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The yield curve is still inverted, signaling a recession is likely imminent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CME Group\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/interest-rates\/countdown-to-fomc.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FedWatch<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Tool shows 66.8% of traders still expect a 0.75% hike while 33.2% expect a 1% move.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil Prices Slip Ahead of U.S. Inventory Report<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil prices slip as the market awaits key inventory data from the U.S.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">West Texas Intermediate crude futures are down 1.8% at $102 bbl while Brent crude futures are down 1.9% at $105 bbl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Energy Information Administration releases official inventory data later today.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The American Petroleum Institute reported Tuesday that U.S. crude inventories rose by 1.9 million barrels last week and gasoline stockpiles rose by 1.3 million barrels.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gas Prices Continue To Tumble<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. gas prices fell for the 35th day in a row today.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gasprices.aaa.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AAA<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> shows the national average for regular gas fell nearly 3 cents overnight to $4.467\/gal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s down more than 51 cents from a month ago but still $1.30 higher than a year ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The national average for diesel also fell nearly 2 cents overnight to $5.497\/gal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Diesel prices have fallen by 32 cents in the past month but are up $2.22 compared to one year ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Existing Home Sales Expected to Fall<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The National Association of Realtors reports existing home sales for June at 10:00 a.m. ET.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That report is expected to show sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million units last month from an SAAR of 5.41 million units in May.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Homebuyers have pulled back as mortgage rates rise.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Freddie Mac <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/pmms\/pmms30\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">shows<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the average 30-year fixed rate was 5.52% in June, up from 2.98% in June 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tesla Earnings On Deck<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Tesla<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (TSLA) shares are up 0.6% in premarket trade as the electric automaker gears up to report Q2 earnings.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Those results will be released after the close today.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consensus expectations are for Tesla to report earnings of $1.85 per share.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company previously <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ir.tesla.com\/press-release\/tesla-vehicle-production-deliveries-and-date-financial-results-webcast-second-quarter\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reported<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> it delivered 254,695 vehicles in the quarter.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was down 18% from Q1 as Covid restrictions in China dented production.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That drop in deliveries is expected to result in lower revenue for the quarter.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Case You Missed It<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li aria-level=\"1\"><b>Twitter <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(TWTR) won its request for a speedy trial to force Elon Musk to go through with his $44 billion acquisition of the company. The Delaware Court of Chancery Chancellor ruled Tuesday that the five-day trial will take place in October. Twitter\u2019s lawyer claimed a quick trial is imperative to stop the harm caused by uncertainty over the deal. But Musk\u2019s team argued the expedited timeline will not give them ample time for discovery.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DJIA Futures: -94, (-0.3%) SPX Futures: -11 (-0.3%) NASDAQ Futures: -22 (-0.2%) Good morning friends! Futures are lower as the market braces for more Q2 earnings. Let\u2019s get right to it! Netflix Rallies On Smaller-Than-Expected Subscriber Loss Netflix (NFLX) shares are up 4.4% ahead of the open after reporting mixed Q2 results and a smaller subscriber loss than expected. The streaming giant reported earnings of $3.20 per share on $7.97 billion in revenue.\u00a0 That topped analysts\u2019 expectations for EPS of $2.94 but missed revenue estimates for $8.035 billion.\u00a0 Netflix lost just 970,000 subscribers in the quarter, far below the company\u2019s own guidance for a loss of 2 million.\u00a0 The &#8220;Stranger Things&#8221; producer said it expects a net addition of 1 million subscribers in Q3 vs expectations for 1.8 million.\u00a0 Netflix said it is aiming to unveil its new lower-cost, ad-supported tier in early 2023.\u00a0 Mortgage Demand Tumbles to a 22-Year Low Mortgage demand is dropping rapidly as buyers pull back due to higher mortgage rates.\u00a0 The Mortgage Bankers Association reported total application volume fell 6.3% last week, hitting the lowest level since 2000.\u00a0 Purchase applications fell 7% weekly and were 19% lower compared to the same week in 2021.\u00a0 Refinance applications dropped 4% weekly and plunged 80% year-over-year. The average 30-year contract rate rose to 5.82% from 5.74% the previous week. Treasury Yields Dip Treasury yields are pulling back this morning as markets attempt to gauge what the Fed will do at next week\u2019s meeting.\u00a0 The 2-year yield is down 7 basis points to 3.18% while the 10-year yield is down 7 basis points to 2.95%.\u00a0 The yield curve is still inverted, signaling a recession is likely imminent. CME Group\u2019s FedWatch Tool shows 66.8% of traders still expect a 0.75% hike while 33.2% expect a 1% move. Oil Prices Slip Ahead of U.S. Inventory Report Oil prices slip as the market awaits key inventory data from the U.S.\u00a0 West Texas Intermediate crude futures are down 1.8% at $102 bbl while Brent crude futures are down 1.9% at $105 bbl. The Energy Information Administration releases official inventory data later today. The American Petroleum Institute reported Tuesday that U.S. crude inventories rose by 1.9 million barrels last week and gasoline stockpiles rose by 1.3 million barrels.\u00a0 Gas Prices Continue To Tumble U.S. gas prices fell for the 35th day in a row today.\u00a0 AAA shows the national average for regular gas fell nearly 3 cents overnight to $4.467\/gal. That\u2019s down more than 51 cents from a month ago but still $1.30 higher than a year ago. The national average for diesel also fell nearly 2 cents overnight to $5.497\/gal. Diesel prices have fallen by 32 cents in the past month but are up $2.22 compared to one year ago. Existing Home Sales Expected to Fall The National Association of Realtors reports existing home sales for June at 10:00 a.m. ET.\u00a0 That report is expected to show sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million units last month from an SAAR of 5.41 million units in May.\u00a0 Homebuyers have pulled back as mortgage rates rise.\u00a0 Freddie Mac shows the average 30-year fixed rate was 5.52% in June, up from 2.98% in June 2021. Tesla Earnings On Deck Tesla (TSLA) shares are up 0.6% in premarket trade as the electric automaker gears up to report Q2 earnings.\u00a0 Those results will be released after the close today.\u00a0 Consensus expectations are for Tesla to report earnings of $1.85 per share. The company previously reported it delivered 254,695 vehicles in the quarter.\u00a0 That was down 18% from Q1 as Covid restrictions in China dented production. That drop in deliveries is expected to result in lower revenue for the quarter. In Case You Missed It Twitter (TWTR) won its request for a speedy trial to force Elon Musk to go through with his $44 billion acquisition of the company. The Delaware Court of Chancery Chancellor ruled Tuesday that the five-day trial will take place in October. Twitter\u2019s lawyer claimed a quick trial is imperative to stop the harm caused by uncertainty over the deal. But Musk\u2019s team argued the expedited timeline will not give them ample time for discovery.\u00a0 &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":62886,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-62880","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62880","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62880"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62880\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":62891,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62880\/revisions\/62891"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62886"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62880"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62880"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62880"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}