{"id":62635,"date":"2022-07-15T08:57:11","date_gmt":"2022-07-15T12:57:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=62635"},"modified":"2022-07-15T08:57:11","modified_gmt":"2022-07-15T12:57:11","slug":"coffee-with-greta-higher-prices-boost-retail-sales","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2022\/07\/15\/coffee-with-greta-higher-prices-boost-retail-sales\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: Higher Prices Boost Retail Sales"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>DJIA Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+188 (+0.6%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+17 (+0.4%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+31 (+0.3%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are higher as traders digest the latest economic data and more big bank earnings.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Retail Sales Rise More Than Expected<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. retail sales rose more than expected in June, as prices for gas and food soared.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Commerce Department <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/retail\/marts\/www\/marts_current.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reported<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> retail sales rose 1% last month to $680.6 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That beat expectations for a 0.9% gain and was 8.4% higher than June 2021.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Retail sales excluding autos also rose 1% vs 0.7% expected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The jump does not necessarily reflect an increase in purchases but likely consumers paying higher prices for the same goods.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gas station sales soared 49.1% year-over-year while sales at restaurants and bars jumped 13.4% annually.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Short-Term Treasury Yields Rise, Yield Curve Remains Inverted<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The key 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield curve is still inverted as short-term yields pop higher this morning.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2-year yield is up 2 basis points to 3.14% while the 10-year\u00a0 yield is down 4 basis points to 2.93%.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Traders and investors have been monitoring the yield curve closely after it inverted earlier this month as that inversion is typically a sign of an impending recession.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That inversion hit its deepest level since 2000 this week.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Traders Pullback Fed Expectations<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The market is now split on its expectations for the Fed meeting later this month.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CME Group\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/interest-rates\/countdown-to-fomc.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FedWatch<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Tool shows 50.1% of traders expect a 0.75% rate hike while 49.9% are leaning toward a 1% hike.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fed Governor Christopher Waller calmed down fears of a larger move on Thursday, saying he\u2019s still planning on a 75 basis point hike but is \u201copen\u201d to a larger move based on the data.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The CPI surged to a fresh 41-year high at 9.1% annually in June.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But no more inflation data will be released before the Fed meeting.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Central Bank meets July 26-27 and the June PCE Price Index will be released July 29.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wells Fargo Slips On Revenue Miss<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Wells Fargo <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(WFC) shares are down 0.7% ahead of the open after mixed Q2 results.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The consumer bank reported adjusted earnings of $0.82 per share, better than analysts\u2019 expectations for $0.80.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But the bank\u2019s $17.03 billion in revenue fell short of estimates for $17.53 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Profits declined 48% year-over-year as Wells Fargo set aside more funds for bad loans.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The bank also said \u201cmarket conditions\u201d forced it to post a $576 million second-quarter impairment on equity securities tied to its venture capital business.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Citigroup Rises On Earnings Beat<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Citigroup <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(C) shares are up 4.5% in premarket trade after beating Q2 expectations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The investment bank reported earnings of $2.19 on $19.64 billion in revenue.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That beat analysts\u2019 expectations for EPS of $1.68 on $18.22 billion in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Citi benefits from higher interest rates and strong trading results.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The CEO said, \u201cIn a challenging macro and geopolitical environment, our team delivered solid results and we are in a strong position to weather uncertain times, given our liquidity, credit quality and reserve levels.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pinterest Soars As Activist Investor Takes Stake<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Pinterest <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(PINS) shares are surging 12.9% ahead of the open after the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/elliott-sets-sights-on-pinterest-11657828800\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wall Street Journal <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reported Elliott Management acquired a stake in the company.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The activist investment group is now the largest shareholder in Pinterest, with a more than 9% stake.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sources say the two had been in discussions over the past several weeks.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Elliott has a history of taking on struggling tech companies.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil Prices Rise<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil prices are higher today on optimism the Fed will stick with a 75 basis point hike later this month.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 1.4% to $97 bbl while Brent crude futures are up 1.6% to $100 bbl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Uncertainty about the Fed pushed both contracts to the lowest close since February 23 on Thursday.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Demand concerns have also weighed on the market amid uncertainty about new Covid restrictions in China.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gas Prices Fall Further<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. gas prices fell for the 30th day in a row today.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gasprices.aaa.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AAA<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> shows the national average for regular gas fell nearly 3 cents again overnight to $4.577\/gal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The national average for diesel also fell 2 cents to $5.572\/gal.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DJIA Futures: +188 (+0.6%) SPX Futures: +17 (+0.4%) NASDAQ Futures: +31 (+0.3%) Good morning friends! Futures are higher as traders digest the latest economic data and more big bank earnings. Let\u2019s get right to it! Retail Sales Rise More Than Expected U.S. retail sales rose more than expected in June, as prices for gas and food soared.\u00a0 The Commerce Department reported retail sales rose 1% last month to $680.6 billion.\u00a0 That beat expectations for a 0.9% gain and was 8.4% higher than June 2021.\u00a0 Retail sales excluding autos also rose 1% vs 0.7% expected.\u00a0 The jump does not necessarily reflect an increase in purchases but likely consumers paying higher prices for the same goods. Gas station sales soared 49.1% year-over-year while sales at restaurants and bars jumped 13.4% annually. Short-Term Treasury Yields Rise, Yield Curve Remains Inverted The key 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield curve is still inverted as short-term yields pop higher this morning.\u00a0 The 2-year yield is up 2 basis points to 3.14% while the 10-year\u00a0 yield is down 4 basis points to 2.93%. Traders and investors have been monitoring the yield curve closely after it inverted earlier this month as that inversion is typically a sign of an impending recession.\u00a0 That inversion hit its deepest level since 2000 this week. Traders Pullback Fed Expectations The market is now split on its expectations for the Fed meeting later this month.\u00a0 CME Group\u2019s FedWatch Tool shows 50.1% of traders expect a 0.75% rate hike while 49.9% are leaning toward a 1% hike.\u00a0 Fed Governor Christopher Waller calmed down fears of a larger move on Thursday, saying he\u2019s still planning on a 75 basis point hike but is \u201copen\u201d to a larger move based on the data. The CPI surged to a fresh 41-year high at 9.1% annually in June. But no more inflation data will be released before the Fed meeting.\u00a0 The Central Bank meets July 26-27 and the June PCE Price Index will be released July 29. Wells Fargo Slips On Revenue Miss Wells Fargo (WFC) shares are down 0.7% ahead of the open after mixed Q2 results. The consumer bank reported adjusted earnings of $0.82 per share, better than analysts\u2019 expectations for $0.80.\u00a0 But the bank\u2019s $17.03 billion in revenue fell short of estimates for $17.53 billion.\u00a0 Profits declined 48% year-over-year as Wells Fargo set aside more funds for bad loans. The bank also said \u201cmarket conditions\u201d forced it to post a $576 million second-quarter impairment on equity securities tied to its venture capital business. Citigroup Rises On Earnings Beat Citigroup (C) shares are up 4.5% in premarket trade after beating Q2 expectations.\u00a0 The investment bank reported earnings of $2.19 on $19.64 billion in revenue. That beat analysts\u2019 expectations for EPS of $1.68 on $18.22 billion in revenue.\u00a0 Citi benefits from higher interest rates and strong trading results.\u00a0 The CEO said, \u201cIn a challenging macro and geopolitical environment, our team delivered solid results and we are in a strong position to weather uncertain times, given our liquidity, credit quality and reserve levels.\u201d Pinterest Soars As Activist Investor Takes Stake Pinterest (PINS) shares are surging 12.9% ahead of the open after the Wall Street Journal reported Elliott Management acquired a stake in the company. The activist investment group is now the largest shareholder in Pinterest, with a more than 9% stake. Sources say the two had been in discussions over the past several weeks.\u00a0 Elliott has a history of taking on struggling tech companies.\u00a0 Oil Prices Rise Oil prices are higher today on optimism the Fed will stick with a 75 basis point hike later this month.\u00a0 West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 1.4% to $97 bbl while Brent crude futures are up 1.6% to $100 bbl. Uncertainty about the Fed pushed both contracts to the lowest close since February 23 on Thursday. Demand concerns have also weighed on the market amid uncertainty about new Covid restrictions in China. Gas Prices Fall Further U.S. gas prices fell for the 30th day in a row today.\u00a0 AAA shows the national average for regular gas fell nearly 3 cents again overnight to $4.577\/gal. The national average for diesel also fell 2 cents to $5.572\/gal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":62639,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-62635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62635","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62635"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62635\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":62641,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62635\/revisions\/62641"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62635"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62635"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62635"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}