{"id":62568,"date":"2022-07-13T09:03:17","date_gmt":"2022-07-13T13:03:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=62568"},"modified":"2022-07-13T09:03:17","modified_gmt":"2022-07-13T13:03:17","slug":"coffee-with-greta-inflation-is-still-boiling-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2022\/07\/13\/coffee-with-greta-inflation-is-still-boiling-over\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: Inflation is Still Boiling Over"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>DJIA Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-418 (-1.4%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-71 (-1.9%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-293 (-2.5%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are tumbling after the latest inflation data came in HOT.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Inflation Surges Above 9%<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index shows inflation pressures soared in June.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The CPI shows prices rose 9.1% year-over-year last month, higher than expectations for 8.8% and up from 8.6% in May.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s a fresh 41-year high as gas prices surged 11.2% in June compared to May.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Grocery prices were up 10.4% annually, gas prices soared 59.9% year-over-year, and oil prices skyrocketed 98.5% compared to a year ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 1.3% vs 1.1% expected.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, also came in hotter than expected at 0.7% monthly and 5.9% annually vs estimates for 0.5% and 5.7%.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Treasury Yields Pop on Hot Inflation<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Treasury yields popped higher after the CPI release.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2-year yield is up 15 basis points to 3.20% while the 10-year yield is up 8 basis points to 3.06%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The curve between the 2-year and 10-year yields remains inverted, signaling a recession is likely to happen soon.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil Prices Slip After Hot Inflation Report<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil prices turned lower after the release of hot inflation data today.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">West Texas Intermediate crude futures are down 1% to under $95 bbl while Brent crude futures are down 1% to about $98 bbl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The market is also still worried about lower demand that could be a results of new Covid restrictions in China.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The American Petroleum Institute reported Tuesday that U.S. crude inventories rose by 4.8 million barrels last week, beating expectations for a decline.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Energy Information Administration reports official numbers today.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gas Prices Extend Decline<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. gas prices fell for the 28th day in a row today.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gasprices.aaa.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AAA<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> shows the national average for regular gas fell more than 2 cents overnight to $4.631\/gal today.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Diesel also fell to $5.611\/gal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although gas prices have pulled back sharply in recent weeks, the average regular price is just 36 cents lower than the record-high set in June.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The average price is nearly $1.50 higher than a year ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dollar Surges, Euro Hits Lowest Level Since 2002<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The euro fell even with the U.S. dollar for the first time in two decades on Tuesday.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The euro hit a low of $0.9998 against the dollar, marking its lowest level since December 2002.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The U.S. dollar index jumped to $108.56, its highest level since October 2002.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That index shot higher today after the CPI, jumping to $108.58.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The falling value of the euro comes amid growing recession fears in Europe due to uncertainty over the energy supply.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Twitter Sues Musk for Attempting to Ditch Takeover<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Twitter <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(TWTR) shares are up 1.5% ahead of the open after suing Elon Musk over his request to terminate his takeover deal.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The social media company officially filed suit against the <\/span><b>Tesla <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(TSLA) CEO in the Delaware Court of Chancery after-hours on Tuesday.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Twitter alleges Musk now \u201crefuses to honor his obligations to Twitter and its stockholders because the deal he signed no longer serves his personal interests.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company said the Tesla boss, \u201capparently believes that he\u2014 unlike every other party subject to Delaware contract law \u2014 is free to change his mind, trash the company, disrupt its operations, destroy stockholder value, and walk away.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Twitter is seeking to enforce the original merger agreement \u201cupon satisfaction of the few outstanding conditions.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Delta Posts Q2 Profit<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Delta Airlines <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(DAL) shares are down 4.8% in premarket trade after reporting a smaller Q2 profit than analysts were expecting.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The airline reported adjusted earnings of $1.44 per share vs $1.73 expected.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Delta\u2019s $13.82 billion in revenue topped expectations for $13.57 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Costs for each seat it flew a mile rose 22% compared to 2019 while fuel expenses jumped 41%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Delta said domestic corporate travel sales are 80% recovered from the pandemic and rose 25% from Q1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The airline flew 18% less capacity last quarter than Q2 2019 but revenue was 10% higher than the same period three years ago, as customers paid higher fares.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Case You Missed It<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The NFIB small business index dropped 3.6 points in June to 89.5. That was the lowest reading since the start of the pandemic and lower than expectations for 93. Business owners cited inflation as their number one problem. 50% of those with job openings said they could not fill the positions while 94% said they cannot find qualified workers.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A recent Magnify Money <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.magnifymoney.com\/news\/recession-survey\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">survey<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> found 68% of Americans don\u2019t feel financially prepared for a recession. 70% said they believe a recession is coming, with 59% expecting one in the next 6 months. 68% of six-figure earnings predict a recession in the next 6 months.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DJIA Futures: -418 (-1.4%) SPX Futures: -71 (-1.9%) NASDAQ Futures: -293 (-2.5%) Good morning friends! Futures are tumbling after the latest inflation data came in HOT. Let\u2019s get right to it! Inflation Surges Above 9% The Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index shows inflation pressures soared in June.\u00a0 The CPI shows prices rose 9.1% year-over-year last month, higher than expectations for 8.8% and up from 8.6% in May.\u00a0 That\u2019s a fresh 41-year high as gas prices surged 11.2% in June compared to May. Grocery prices were up 10.4% annually, gas prices soared 59.9% year-over-year, and oil prices skyrocketed 98.5% compared to a year ago. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 1.3% vs 1.1% expected. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, also came in hotter than expected at 0.7% monthly and 5.9% annually vs estimates for 0.5% and 5.7%. Treasury Yields Pop on Hot Inflation Treasury yields popped higher after the CPI release.\u00a0 The 2-year yield is up 15 basis points to 3.20% while the 10-year yield is up 8 basis points to 3.06%. The curve between the 2-year and 10-year yields remains inverted, signaling a recession is likely to happen soon. Oil Prices Slip After Hot Inflation Report Oil prices turned lower after the release of hot inflation data today.\u00a0 West Texas Intermediate crude futures are down 1% to under $95 bbl while Brent crude futures are down 1% to about $98 bbl. The market is also still worried about lower demand that could be a results of new Covid restrictions in China. The American Petroleum Institute reported Tuesday that U.S. crude inventories rose by 4.8 million barrels last week, beating expectations for a decline.\u00a0 The Energy Information Administration reports official numbers today. Gas Prices Extend Decline U.S. gas prices fell for the 28th day in a row today.\u00a0 AAA shows the national average for regular gas fell more than 2 cents overnight to $4.631\/gal today.\u00a0 Diesel also fell to $5.611\/gal. Although gas prices have pulled back sharply in recent weeks, the average regular price is just 36 cents lower than the record-high set in June.\u00a0 The average price is nearly $1.50 higher than a year ago. Dollar Surges, Euro Hits Lowest Level Since 2002 The euro fell even with the U.S. dollar for the first time in two decades on Tuesday. The euro hit a low of $0.9998 against the dollar, marking its lowest level since December 2002. The U.S. dollar index jumped to $108.56, its highest level since October 2002. That index shot higher today after the CPI, jumping to $108.58. The falling value of the euro comes amid growing recession fears in Europe due to uncertainty over the energy supply.\u00a0 Twitter Sues Musk for Attempting to Ditch Takeover Twitter (TWTR) shares are up 1.5% ahead of the open after suing Elon Musk over his request to terminate his takeover deal.\u00a0 The social media company officially filed suit against the Tesla (TSLA) CEO in the Delaware Court of Chancery after-hours on Tuesday.\u00a0 Twitter alleges Musk now \u201crefuses to honor his obligations to Twitter and its stockholders because the deal he signed no longer serves his personal interests.\u201d The company said the Tesla boss, \u201capparently believes that he\u2014 unlike every other party subject to Delaware contract law \u2014 is free to change his mind, trash the company, disrupt its operations, destroy stockholder value, and walk away.&#8221; Twitter is seeking to enforce the original merger agreement \u201cupon satisfaction of the few outstanding conditions.\u201d Delta Posts Q2 Profit Delta Airlines (DAL) shares are down 4.8% in premarket trade after reporting a smaller Q2 profit than analysts were expecting.\u00a0 The airline reported adjusted earnings of $1.44 per share vs $1.73 expected. Delta\u2019s $13.82 billion in revenue topped expectations for $13.57 billion.\u00a0 Costs for each seat it flew a mile rose 22% compared to 2019 while fuel expenses jumped 41%. Delta said domestic corporate travel sales are 80% recovered from the pandemic and rose 25% from Q1. The airline flew 18% less capacity last quarter than Q2 2019 but revenue was 10% higher than the same period three years ago, as customers paid higher fares. In Case You Missed It The NFIB small business index dropped 3.6 points in June to 89.5. That was the lowest reading since the start of the pandemic and lower than expectations for 93. Business owners cited inflation as their number one problem. 50% of those with job openings said they could not fill the positions while 94% said they cannot find qualified workers. A recent Magnify Money survey found 68% of Americans don\u2019t feel financially prepared for a recession. 70% said they believe a recession is coming, with 59% expecting one in the next 6 months. 68% of six-figure earnings predict a recession in the next 6 months. &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":62574,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-62568","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62568","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62568"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62568\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":62572,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62568\/revisions\/62572"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62574"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}