{"id":61778,"date":"2022-06-10T09:09:16","date_gmt":"2022-06-10T13:09:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?p=61778"},"modified":"2022-06-10T09:09:16","modified_gmt":"2022-06-10T13:09:16","slug":"coffee-with-greta-inflation-is-still-hot-hot-hot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2022\/06\/10\/coffee-with-greta-inflation-is-still-hot-hot-hot\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: Inflation Is Still Hot, Hot, Hot"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Editor's Note:<\/strong> Coffee With Greta is a FREE morning update from our newest contributor Greta Wall. Want to get it by email every day? <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/secure.t3live.com\/greta-wall\/?utm_campaign=coffee-with-greta&utm_medium=blog-footer&utm_source=t3live.com-blog&utm_content\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Click here<\/span><\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>********<\/p>\n<p><b>DJIA Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-427 (-1.3%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-60 (-1.5%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-213 (-1.7%)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are falling after a hotter-than-expected inflation report.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Inflation Surges Higher<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. inflation pressures surged more than expected in May.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index jumped 1% monthly and skyrocketed 8.6% annually.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s the highest pace of annual inflation since 1981.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It was also an increase from 8.3% inflation in April and higher than analysts\u2019 expectations for that to be unchanged.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The increase was led by soaring rent, food, and gas prices.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Grocery prices jumped 11.9% annually, gas prices were up 50.3%, and shelter prices rose 5.5%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The CPI also shows oil prices surged 106.7% from a year ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 0.6% monthly and 6% annually.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was also higher than analysts\u2019 expectations but a slight cooldown from 6.2% annual inflation in April.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Short-term Treasury Yields Surge After CPI<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Short-term Treasury yields are rallying after the release of that hot inflation data.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2-year yield is up 12 basis points to 2.92%, the highest level since 2018.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Short-term yields are more sensitive to the Fed\u2019s rate hikes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 10-year yield is flat at 3.06%.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stitch Fix Drops On Widening Loss, Layoff Announcement<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Stitch Fix <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(SFIX) shares are tumbling 15.8% ahead of the open after the company announced wider losses in Q3 and layoffs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The online personal styling service reported a loss of $0.72 per share on $492.9 million in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was steeper than the $0.18 per share loss on $535.6 million in revenue a year ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stitch Fix forecast Q4 revenue between $485 million and $495 million.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That would be lower than $571.2 million last year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The disappointing quarterly results come after CEO Elizabeth Spaulding announced Stitch Fix is laying off 15% of its salaried employees in a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.stitchfix.com\/blog\/a-message-from-our-ceo\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">memo<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on Thursday.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Roughly 330 employees were notified of layoffs, representing about 4% of the company\u2019s total workforce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Spaulding said, \u201cWe\u2019ve taken a renewed look at our business and what is required to build our future. While this was an incredibly difficult decision, it was one needed to make to position ourselves for profitable growth.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stitch Fix said it \u201cexpects annual cost savings of $40 million to $60 million in fiscal year 2023,\u201d as a result of the layoffs.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rent the Runway Rallies On Q1 Sales Beat<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Rent the Runway <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(RENT) shares are rising 7.4% in premarket trade after beating its own Q1 forecast.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The clothing rental service reported a Q1 loss of $0.67 per share on $67.1 million in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That topped the company\u2019s forecast for revenue between $63.5 million and $64.5 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It was also an improvement from the $3.75 per share loss on $33.5 million in revenue a year ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rent the Runway forecast Q2 revenue between $72 million to $74 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DocuSign Plummets On Q1 Miss<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>DocuSign <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(DOCU) shares are plunging 25.4% ahead of the open after missing Q1 expectations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The electronic-documents company reported adjusted earnings of $0.38 per share on $588.7 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That missed analysts\u2019 expectations for adjusted EPS of $0.46 but beat estimates for $583 million in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The CEO announced DocuSign is moderating its hiring plan \u201cto appropriately balance growth and profitability.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company forecast Q2 revenue between $600 million and $604 million vs analysts\u2019 expectations for $601 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DocuSign expects full-year revenue between $2.47 billion and $2.48 billion vs analysts\u2019 estimates for $2.479 billion.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Average U.S. Gas Price Still Approaching $5<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The national average for a gallon of regular gas is still inching closer to $5.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gasprices.aaa.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AAA<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> shows that price rose to $4.986\/gal today.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s up more than 60 cents from a month ago and more than $1.91 from a year ago.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gas price tracking site <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gasbuddy.com\/go\/5-dollar-gas\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GasBuddy.com<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> showed the national average spiked above $5 on Thursday.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil Prices Hover Around 3-Month Highs<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil prices are still hovering around 3-month highs as the market weighs new Covid restrictions in Shanghai and Beijing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 0.7% at over $122 bbl while Brent crude futures are up 0.6% at nearly $124 bbl.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">WTI is on track for its seventh straight weekly gain and Brent is set to rise for the 4th week in a row.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consumer Sentiment Expected To Bounce<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The University of Michigan releases the preliminary reading of its June\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">consumer sentiment index at 10:00 a.m. ET.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That survey is expected to improve to 59 from 58.4 at the end of May.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The index also includes consumer expectations for inflation over the next 12-months and 5-years.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Case You Missed It<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CNBC\u2019s Q2 CFO Council Survey shows American CFOs are worried about inflation and a recession. 40% of respondents cited inflation as the #1 external risk to their business. 100% said they expect a recession, with 68% expecting one in the first half of 2023. 77% expect the DJIA to fall below 30,000.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Freddie Mac reported Thursday its average 30-year mortgage rate rose to 5.23% last week. That was up 14 basis points from the prior week. The average 15-year rate rose 6 basis points to 4.38%. The chief economist at Freddie Mac said, \u201cThe housing market is incredibly rate-sensitive, so as mortgage rates increase suddenly, demand again is pulling back.\u201d<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Editor&#8217;s Note: Coffee With Greta is a FREE morning update from our newest contributor Greta Wall. Want to get it by email every day? Click here. ******** DJIA Futures: -427 (-1.3%) SPX Futures: -60 (-1.5%) NASDAQ Futures: -213 (-1.7%) Good morning friends! Futures are falling after a hotter-than-expected inflation report.\u00a0 Let\u2019s get right to it! Inflation Surges Higher U.S. inflation pressures surged more than expected in May. The Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index jumped 1% monthly and skyrocketed 8.6% annually.\u00a0 That\u2019s the highest pace of annual inflation since 1981. It was also an increase from 8.3% inflation in April and higher than analysts\u2019 expectations for that to be unchanged. The increase was led by soaring rent, food, and gas prices.\u00a0 Grocery prices jumped 11.9% annually, gas prices were up 50.3%, and shelter prices rose 5.5%. The CPI also shows oil prices surged 106.7% from a year ago. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 0.6% monthly and 6% annually.\u00a0 That was also higher than analysts\u2019 expectations but a slight cooldown from 6.2% annual inflation in April.\u00a0\u00a0 Short-term Treasury Yields Surge After CPI Short-term Treasury yields are rallying after the release of that hot inflation data.\u00a0 The 2-year yield is up 12 basis points to 2.92%, the highest level since 2018.\u00a0 Short-term yields are more sensitive to the Fed\u2019s rate hikes. The 10-year yield is flat at 3.06%. Stitch Fix Drops On Widening Loss, Layoff Announcement Stitch Fix (SFIX) shares are tumbling 15.8% ahead of the open after the company announced wider losses in Q3 and layoffs.\u00a0 The online personal styling service reported a loss of $0.72 per share on $492.9 million in revenue.\u00a0 That was steeper than the $0.18 per share loss on $535.6 million in revenue a year ago. Stitch Fix forecast Q4 revenue between $485 million and $495 million. That would be lower than $571.2 million last year. The disappointing quarterly results come after CEO Elizabeth Spaulding announced Stitch Fix is laying off 15% of its salaried employees in a memo on Thursday. Roughly 330 employees were notified of layoffs, representing about 4% of the company\u2019s total workforce. Spaulding said, \u201cWe\u2019ve taken a renewed look at our business and what is required to build our future. While this was an incredibly difficult decision, it was one needed to make to position ourselves for profitable growth.\u201d Stitch Fix said it \u201cexpects annual cost savings of $40 million to $60 million in fiscal year 2023,\u201d as a result of the layoffs. Rent the Runway Rallies On Q1 Sales Beat Rent the Runway (RENT) shares are rising 7.4% in premarket trade after beating its own Q1 forecast.\u00a0 The clothing rental service reported a Q1 loss of $0.67 per share on $67.1 million in revenue.\u00a0 That topped the company\u2019s forecast for revenue between $63.5 million and $64.5 million.\u00a0 It was also an improvement from the $3.75 per share loss on $33.5 million in revenue a year ago. Rent the Runway forecast Q2 revenue between $72 million to $74 million.\u00a0 DocuSign Plummets On Q1 Miss DocuSign (DOCU) shares are plunging 25.4% ahead of the open after missing Q1 expectations.\u00a0 The electronic-documents company reported adjusted earnings of $0.38 per share on $588.7 million.\u00a0 That missed analysts\u2019 expectations for adjusted EPS of $0.46 but beat estimates for $583 million in revenue.\u00a0 The CEO announced DocuSign is moderating its hiring plan \u201cto appropriately balance growth and profitability.\u201d The company forecast Q2 revenue between $600 million and $604 million vs analysts\u2019 expectations for $601 million.\u00a0 DocuSign expects full-year revenue between $2.47 billion and $2.48 billion vs analysts\u2019 estimates for $2.479 billion. Average U.S. Gas Price Still Approaching $5 The national average for a gallon of regular gas is still inching closer to $5. AAA shows that price rose to $4.986\/gal today.\u00a0 That\u2019s up more than 60 cents from a month ago and more than $1.91 from a year ago.\u00a0 Gas price tracking site GasBuddy.com showed the national average spiked above $5 on Thursday. Oil Prices Hover Around 3-Month Highs Oil prices are still hovering around 3-month highs as the market weighs new Covid restrictions in Shanghai and Beijing.\u00a0 West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 0.7% at over $122 bbl while Brent crude futures are up 0.6% at nearly $124 bbl.\u00a0 WTI is on track for its seventh straight weekly gain and Brent is set to rise for the 4th week in a row.\u00a0 Consumer Sentiment Expected To Bounce The University of Michigan releases the preliminary reading of its June\u00a0consumer sentiment index at 10:00 a.m. ET. That survey is expected to improve to 59 from 58.4 at the end of May.\u00a0 The index also includes consumer expectations for inflation over the next 12-months and 5-years.\u00a0 In Case You Missed It CNBC\u2019s Q2 CFO Council Survey shows American CFOs are worried about inflation and a recession. 40% of respondents cited inflation as the #1 external risk to their business. 100% said they expect a recession, with 68% expecting one in the first half of 2023. 77% expect the DJIA to fall below 30,000.\u00a0 Freddie Mac reported Thursday its average 30-year mortgage rate rose to 5.23% last week. That was up 14 basis points from the prior week. The average 15-year rate rose 6 basis points to 4.38%. The chief economist at Freddie Mac said, \u201cThe housing market is incredibly rate-sensitive, so as mortgage rates increase suddenly, demand again is pulling back.\u201d &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":61779,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-61778","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61778","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61778"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61778\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":61786,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61778\/revisions\/61786"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61779"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61778"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61778"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61778"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}