{"id":61340,"date":"2022-05-11T08:57:51","date_gmt":"2022-05-11T12:57:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.t3live.com\/blog\/?p=61340"},"modified":"2022-05-11T09:01:30","modified_gmt":"2022-05-11T13:01:30","slug":"coffee-with-greta-hot-inflation-drags-down-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2022\/05\/11\/coffee-with-greta-hot-inflation-drags-down-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee With Greta: Inflation Is Still Poisoning the Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Editor's Note:<\/strong> Coffee With Greta is a FREE morning update from our newest contributor Greta Wall. Want to get it by email every day? <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/secure.t3live.com\/greta-wall\/?utm_campaign=coffee-with-greta&utm_medium=blog-footer&utm_source=t3live.com-blog&utm_content\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Click here<\/span><\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>********<\/p>\n<p><b>DJIA Futures:\u00a0<\/b>-138 (-0.4%)<\/p>\n<p><b>SPX Futures:\u00a0<\/b>-25 (-0.6%)<\/p>\n<p><b>NASDAQ Futures:\u00a0<\/b>-137 (-1.1%)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Good morning friends!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures are lower following the release of hotter than expected inflation data.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s get right to it!<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Inflation Is Still Hot<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. inflation pressures rose more than expected in April, remaining at the highest level in nearly 40-years.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bureau of Labor Statistics' consumer price index jumped 0.3% monthly and 8.3% year-over-year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was higher than economists\u2019 expectations for a monthly gain of 0.2% and 8.1% annually.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But it was a slowdown from March.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Grocery prices jumped 10.8%, oil soared 80.5%, gas surged 43.6%, electricity rose 11%, utility gas jumped 22.7%, and used vehicle prices were up 22.7%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, also rose more than expected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That index was up 0.6% on a monthly basis, an increase from 0.3% in March.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Core CPI jumped 6.2% annually.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Terra Coins Collapse<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The two main stablecoins of crypto firm Terra are collapsing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CoinGecko<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> shows the TerraUSD stablecoin UST is down nearly 52% in the past 24 hours, at just $0.44.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The coin is meant to be pegged to the US Dollar and should be steady at a value of $1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">UST plunged as low as $0.31 today.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Its sister token, Luna is also crumbling.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Luna is down about 95% over the past 24 hours, at $1.68.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Coinbase Plunges On Revenue Drop<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><b>Coinbase <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(COIN) shares are tumbling 19.6% ahead of the open after revenue fell sharply in the first quarter.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The crypto trading platform reported a net loss of $1.98 per share on $1.17 billion in revenue.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was worse than analysts\u2019 expectations for a loss of $0.01 per share on $1.48 billion in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Coinbase\u2019s revenue tumbled 27% year-over-year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The drop came as crypto trading slowed sharply.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company had 9.2 million monthly transacting users in Q1 vs 11.4 million in Q4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Q1 trading volume fell to $309 billion vs $547 billion in Q4 and $335 billion in Q1 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Costs also rose sharply in Q1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Coinbase\u2019s overall operating expenses jumped to $1.72 billion in the quarter, outstripping revenue for the first time.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The weak results pushed the stock to a record low after COIN plunged 12.6% in regular trading Tuesday.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Unity Software Collapses on Weak Guidance<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><b>Unity Software <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(U) shares are falling 28.4% in premarket trade after releasing weak Q2 guidance and cutting its full-year outlook.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The video game development company reported an adjusted loss of $0.08 per share on $320.1 million in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was in line with analysts\u2019 expectations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But the market soured on Unity\u2019s Q2 guidance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company forecast revenue between $290 million and $295 million this quarter vs analysts\u2019 estimates for $360.97 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Unity also cut its full-year guidance to between $1.35 billion and $1.425 billion vs the previous forecast for $1.485 billion to $1.5 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The CEO struck an optimistic tone on the earnings call saying, \u201cUnity delivered record quarterly revenue in the first quarter of 2022, the highest in the company\u2019s history, up 36% compared with the first quarter of 2021\u2026 We remain focused on the massive opportunity we see in front of us long-term.\u201d<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong>But traders don\u2019t seem to agree.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Roblox Sinks on Weak Q1<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><b>Roblox <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(RBLX) shares are down 4% ahead of the open after missing Q1 expectations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The video game company reported a loss of $0.27 per share on $631.2 million in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was worse than analysts\u2019 expectations for a loss of $0.21 per share on $636.6 million in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Roblox had 54.1 million average daily active users during the quarter, up 28% year-over-year but weaker than analysts\u2019 estimates for 55 million.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In a letter to shareholders, the company said, \u201cWhile Covid and the subsequent re-opening have contributed to slowing growth in several of our metrics, based on third party data we believe we are gaining share on both users and hours relative to certain other companies in gaming and social media that compete for our users\u2019 attention.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>SoFi\u2019s Big Oops<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><b>SoFi <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(SOFI) shares are slipping 0.2% in premarket trade after accidentally releasing its Q1 results early on Tuesday.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The fintech company reported a loss of $0.14 per share on $322 million in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That was better than analysts\u2019 expectations for a loss of $0.15 per share on $286 million in revenue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SoFi blamed \u201chuman error\u201d for its Q1 results being released during the trading day instead of after-hours on Tuesday.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And the stock tanked as the Q2 forecast came in weak.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trading was halted on SOFI at 11:19 a.m. ET Tuesday, as the stock tumbled 18%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trading reopened 3 hours later and SOFI closed 12.1% lower Tuesday.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SoFi forecast Q2 revenue between $330 million and $340 million vs analysts\u2019 expectations for $343.7 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Demand Jumps<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Demand for adjustable-rate mortgages is on the rise, as rates soar.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Mortgage Bankers Association reported overall mortgage demand rose 5% last week but applications were still down 8% year-over-year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The increase came despite the average 30-year fixed rate rising to 5.53% from 5.36%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But more buyers are turning to adjustable-rate mortgages, with the average 5-year rate at 4.47%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ARMs represented 11% of all mortgages last week, up from just 3% at the start of 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s the highest share since March 2008.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Refinance applications fell 2% last week and were down 72% compared to a year ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Oil Prices Jump<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil prices are rising today after tumbling nearly 10% in the past two days.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 4% to $103.75 bbl while Brent crude futures are up 3.6% to $106 bbl.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The rally comes as the EU works to gain support for its proposed Russian oil ban.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Energy Information Administration will release its weekly report on U.S. crude supplies today.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Apple Kills the iPod<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>Apple <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(AAPL) iPod is dead.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The tech giant announced Tuesday it is discontinuing the iPod touch, which is the last remaining model sold by Apple.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Greg Joswiak, senior vice president of worldwide marketing at Apple, said \u201cthe spirit of iPod lives on\u201d in its other products.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The iPod has become basically obsolete as those features are available on iPhones.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Apple said the iPod touch will be available while supplies last but it will not make any more.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>In Case You Missed It<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Small business optimism remained at a record-low in April. The NFIB Optimism Index was unchanged at 93.2 last month. 32% of business owners cited inflation as their number one problem, the highest reading since 1980. 47% of owners said they have open jobs they are struggling to fill.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The New York Fed reported U.S. household debt rose 1.7% in Q1 to a record $15.84 trillion. Mortgage balances ballooned by $250 billion and were 10% higher compared to a year ago. Credit card balances fell by $15 billion in the quarter but were still up 9% year-over-year.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Editor&#8217;s Note: Coffee With Greta is a FREE morning update from our newest contributor Greta Wall. Want to get it by email every day? Click here. ******** DJIA Futures:\u00a0-138 (-0.4%) SPX Futures:\u00a0-25 (-0.6%) NASDAQ Futures:\u00a0-137 (-1.1%) Good morning friends! Futures are lower following the release of hotter than expected inflation data.\u00a0 Let\u2019s get right to it! Inflation Is Still Hot U.S. inflation pressures rose more than expected in April, remaining at the highest level in nearly 40-years.\u00a0 The Bureau of Labor Statistics&#8217; consumer price index jumped 0.3% monthly and 8.3% year-over-year. That was higher than economists\u2019 expectations for a monthly gain of 0.2% and 8.1% annually.\u00a0 But it was a slowdown from March.\u00a0 Grocery prices jumped 10.8%, oil soared 80.5%, gas surged 43.6%, electricity rose 11%, utility gas jumped 22.7%, and used vehicle prices were up 22.7%. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, also rose more than expected.\u00a0 That index was up 0.6% on a monthly basis, an increase from 0.3% in March.\u00a0 The Core CPI jumped 6.2% annually. Terra Coins Collapse The two main stablecoins of crypto firm Terra are collapsing.\u00a0 Data from CoinGecko shows the TerraUSD stablecoin UST is down nearly 52% in the past 24 hours, at just $0.44.\u00a0 The coin is meant to be pegged to the US Dollar and should be steady at a value of $1.\u00a0 UST plunged as low as $0.31 today.\u00a0 Its sister token, Luna is also crumbling.\u00a0 Luna is down about 95% over the past 24 hours, at $1.68. Coinbase Plunges On Revenue Drop Coinbase (COIN) shares are tumbling 19.6% ahead of the open after revenue fell sharply in the first quarter.\u00a0 The crypto trading platform reported a net loss of $1.98 per share on $1.17 billion in revenue. That was worse than analysts\u2019 expectations for a loss of $0.01 per share on $1.48 billion in revenue.\u00a0 Coinbase\u2019s revenue tumbled 27% year-over-year. The drop came as crypto trading slowed sharply. The company had 9.2 million monthly transacting users in Q1 vs 11.4 million in Q4.\u00a0 Q1 trading volume fell to $309 billion vs $547 billion in Q4 and $335 billion in Q1 2021. Costs also rose sharply in Q1.\u00a0 Coinbase\u2019s overall operating expenses jumped to $1.72 billion in the quarter, outstripping revenue for the first time.\u00a0 The weak results pushed the stock to a record low after COIN plunged 12.6% in regular trading Tuesday. Unity Software Collapses on Weak Guidance Unity Software (U) shares are falling 28.4% in premarket trade after releasing weak Q2 guidance and cutting its full-year outlook. The video game development company reported an adjusted loss of $0.08 per share on $320.1 million in revenue.\u00a0 That was in line with analysts\u2019 expectations.\u00a0 But the market soured on Unity\u2019s Q2 guidance. The company forecast revenue between $290 million and $295 million this quarter vs analysts\u2019 estimates for $360.97 million.\u00a0 Unity also cut its full-year guidance to between $1.35 billion and $1.425 billion vs the previous forecast for $1.485 billion to $1.5 billion.\u00a0 The CEO struck an optimistic tone on the earnings call saying, \u201cUnity delivered record quarterly revenue in the first quarter of 2022, the highest in the company\u2019s history, up 36% compared with the first quarter of 2021\u2026 We remain focused on the massive opportunity we see in front of us long-term.\u201d But traders don\u2019t seem to agree. Roblox Sinks on Weak Q1 Roblox (RBLX) shares are down 4% ahead of the open after missing Q1 expectations.\u00a0 The video game company reported a loss of $0.27 per share on $631.2 million in revenue.\u00a0 That was worse than analysts\u2019 expectations for a loss of $0.21 per share on $636.6 million in revenue.\u00a0 Roblox had 54.1 million average daily active users during the quarter, up 28% year-over-year but weaker than analysts\u2019 estimates for 55 million. In a letter to shareholders, the company said, \u201cWhile Covid and the subsequent re-opening have contributed to slowing growth in several of our metrics, based on third party data we believe we are gaining share on both users and hours relative to certain other companies in gaming and social media that compete for our users\u2019 attention.\u201d SoFi\u2019s Big Oops SoFi (SOFI) shares are slipping 0.2% in premarket trade after accidentally releasing its Q1 results early on Tuesday. The fintech company reported a loss of $0.14 per share on $322 million in revenue.\u00a0 That was better than analysts\u2019 expectations for a loss of $0.15 per share on $286 million in revenue.\u00a0 SoFi blamed \u201chuman error\u201d for its Q1 results being released during the trading day instead of after-hours on Tuesday. And the stock tanked as the Q2 forecast came in weak. Trading was halted on SOFI at 11:19 a.m. ET Tuesday, as the stock tumbled 18%.\u00a0 Trading reopened 3 hours later and SOFI closed 12.1% lower Tuesday. SoFi forecast Q2 revenue between $330 million and $340 million vs analysts\u2019 expectations for $343.7 million.\u00a0 Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Demand Jumps Demand for adjustable-rate mortgages is on the rise, as rates soar.\u00a0 The Mortgage Bankers Association reported overall mortgage demand rose 5% last week but applications were still down 8% year-over-year.\u00a0 The increase came despite the average 30-year fixed rate rising to 5.53% from 5.36%. But more buyers are turning to adjustable-rate mortgages, with the average 5-year rate at 4.47%.\u00a0 ARMs represented 11% of all mortgages last week, up from just 3% at the start of 2021. That\u2019s the highest share since March 2008. Refinance applications fell 2% last week and were down 72% compared to a year ago. Oil Prices Jump Oil prices are rising today after tumbling nearly 10% in the past two days.\u00a0 West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 4% to $103.75 bbl while Brent crude futures are up 3.6% to $106 bbl.\u00a0 The rally comes as the EU works to gain support for its proposed Russian oil ban. The Energy Information Administration will release its weekly report on U.S. crude supplies today. Apple Kills the iPod The Apple (AAPL) iPod is dead. The tech giant announced Tuesday it is discontinuing the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":61351,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[739],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-61340","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coffee-with-greta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61340","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61340"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61340\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":61356,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61340\/revisions\/61356"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61351"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61340"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61340"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61340"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}