{"id":37739,"date":"2019-02-05T11:08:06","date_gmt":"2019-02-05T16:08:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.t3live.com\/blog\/?p=37739"},"modified":"2019-02-05T11:08:06","modified_gmt":"2019-02-05T16:08:06","slug":"scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/","title":{"rendered":"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed"},"content":{"rendered":"

One of the big market stories earlier in the year was Apple's <\/strong>(AAPL) big guide down on January 2.<\/p>\n

That led to a big mystery – whether expectations were low enough ahead of the January 29 earnings print.<\/p>\n

I took calls into the report because I thought the stock could clear $159 if it was just in-line. With calls, I had defined risk. I don't take stock into earnings because of the open-ended risk.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n

AAPL was deemed ‘good enough' and the stock gapped up big on 1\/30.<\/p>\n

The 1\/30 low of $160.23 became the spot to trade against for new longs. That level needed to hold to keep the move intact.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n

AAPL then held higher and formed a bull flag over $169, which was another opportunity to add:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n

With the big up move, I've been trimming stock and I turned my calls into a spread. This is when we manage the trade with a Tier system.<\/p>\n

Looking forward, there's a chance the stock can work to $183ish in time. But as always, we'll take it day by day in Redler All-Access, as we're doing with dozens of names each day. (sign-up info below)<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n

Positions Disclosure:<\/strong> as of 2\/5\/19 at 10:14 a.m. ET, Scott J. Redler was long NIO, CRBP, FB, TWTR, NBEV, IQ, BAC, ETSY, TWTR calls, SPY puts, AAPL calls; is short SPY, AAPL calls<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

One of the big market stories earlier in the year was Apple’s (AAPL) big guide down on January 2. That led to a big mystery – whether expectations were low enough ahead of the January 29 earnings print. I took calls into the report because I thought the stock could clear $159 if it was just in-line. With calls, I had defined risk. I don’t take stock into earnings because of the open-ended risk. AAPL was deemed ‘good enough’ and the stock gapped up big on 1\/30. The 1\/30 low of $160.23 became the spot to trade against for new longs. That level needed to hold to keep the move intact. AAPL then held higher and formed a bull flag over $169, which was another opportunity to add: With the big up move, I’ve been trimming stock and I turned my calls into a spread. This is when we manage the trade with a Tier system. Looking forward, there’s a chance the stock can work to $183ish in time. But as always, we’ll take it day by day in Redler All-Access, as we’re doing with dozens of names each day. (sign-up info below) Positions Disclosure: as of 2\/5\/19 at 10:14 a.m. ET, Scott J. Redler was long NIO, CRBP, FB, TWTR, NBEV, IQ, BAC, ETSY, TWTR calls, SPY puts, AAPL calls; is short SPY, AAPL calls<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":21349,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[671,76],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-no-ads","category-scott-redler"],"yoast_head":"\nScott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed - T3 Live<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed - T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"One of the big market stories earlier in the year was Apple's (AAPL) big guide down on January 2. That led to a big mystery – whether expectations were low enough ahead of the January 29 earnings print. I took calls into the report because I thought the stock could clear $159 if it was just in-line. With calls, I had defined risk. I don't take stock into earnings because of the open-ended risk. AAPL was deemed ‘good enough' and the stock gapped up big on 1\/30. The 1\/30 low of $160.23 became the spot to trade against for new longs. That level needed to hold to keep the move intact. AAPL then held higher and formed a bull flag over $169, which was another opportunity to add: With the big up move, I've been trimming stock and I turned my calls into a spread. This is when we manage the trade with a Tier system. Looking forward, there's a chance the stock can work to $183ish in time. But as always, we'll take it day by day in Redler All-Access, as we're doing with dozens of names each day. (sign-up info below) Positions Disclosure: as of 2\/5\/19 at 10:14 a.m. ET, Scott J. Redler was long NIO, CRBP, FB, TWTR, NBEV, IQ, BAC, ETSY, TWTR calls, SPY puts, AAPL calls; is short SPY, AAPL calls\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"T3 Live\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-02-05T16:08:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"628\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Scott Redler\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Scott Redler\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Scott Redler\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/2b821daf1329db4f769229636487712a\"},\"headline\":\"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-02-05T16:08:06+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/\"},\"wordCount\":234,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"No Ads\",\"Scott Redler\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/\",\"name\":\"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed - T3 Live\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-02-05T16:08:06+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg\",\"width\":1200,\"height\":628,\"caption\":\"Scott Redler All Access\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/\",\"name\":\"T3 Live\",\"description\":\"Real Traders, Real Time\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization\",\"name\":\"T3 Live\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/T3-Live-Logo-white.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/T3-Live-Logo-white.png\",\"width\":658,\"height\":292,\"caption\":\"T3 Live\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/2b821daf1329db4f769229636487712a\",\"name\":\"Scott Redler\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/86b685de1eda41456fb01aa3f3b3c155ac8db3155fba38fb702d32c560e04cba?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/86b685de1eda41456fb01aa3f3b3c155ac8db3155fba38fb702d32c560e04cba?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Scott Redler\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/author\/scott-redler\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed - T3 Live","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed - T3 Live","og_description":"One of the big market stories earlier in the year was Apple's (AAPL) big guide down on January 2. That led to a big mystery – whether expectations were low enough ahead of the January 29 earnings print. I took calls into the report because I thought the stock could clear $159 if it was just in-line. With calls, I had defined risk. I don't take stock into earnings because of the open-ended risk. AAPL was deemed ‘good enough' and the stock gapped up big on 1\/30. The 1\/30 low of $160.23 became the spot to trade against for new longs. That level needed to hold to keep the move intact. AAPL then held higher and formed a bull flag over $169, which was another opportunity to add: With the big up move, I've been trimming stock and I turned my calls into a spread. This is when we manage the trade with a Tier system. Looking forward, there's a chance the stock can work to $183ish in time. But as always, we'll take it day by day in Redler All-Access, as we're doing with dozens of names each day. (sign-up info below) Positions Disclosure: as of 2\/5\/19 at 10:14 a.m. ET, Scott J. Redler was long NIO, CRBP, FB, TWTR, NBEV, IQ, BAC, ETSY, TWTR calls, SPY puts, AAPL calls; is short SPY, AAPL calls","og_url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/","og_site_name":"T3 Live","article_published_time":"2019-02-05T16:08:06+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":628,"url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Scott Redler","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Scott Redler","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/"},"author":{"name":"Scott Redler","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/2b821daf1329db4f769229636487712a"},"headline":"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed","datePublished":"2019-02-05T16:08:06+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/"},"wordCount":234,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg","articleSection":["No Ads","Scott Redler"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/","url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/","name":"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed - T3 Live","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg","datePublished":"2019-02-05T16:08:06+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Scott-Redler-All-Access.jpg","width":1200,"height":628,"caption":"Scott Redler All Access"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/2019\/02\/05\/scott-redler-aapl-low-expectations\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Scott Redler\u2019s Apple Pie: When Low Expectations Get Surpassed"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/","name":"T3 Live","description":"Real Traders, Real Time","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#organization","name":"T3 Live","url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/T3-Live-Logo-white.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/T3-Live-Logo-white.png","width":658,"height":292,"caption":"T3 Live"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/2b821daf1329db4f769229636487712a","name":"Scott Redler","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/86b685de1eda41456fb01aa3f3b3c155ac8db3155fba38fb702d32c560e04cba?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/86b685de1eda41456fb01aa3f3b3c155ac8db3155fba38fb702d32c560e04cba?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Scott Redler"},"url":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/author\/scott-redler\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37739"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37739\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37757,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37739\/revisions\/37757"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21349"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.t3live.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}