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Category Archives for Kurt Capra

The Fed Says One Thing. The Dollar Says Another.

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Over the last couple of weeks, I have detailed the action in the US dollar in what’s been an unusually news-heavy period. On Wednesday, the Fed decided to raise interest rates, which was not a surprise. They were also perceived as having a more hawkish stance, which is theoretically bullish for bank stocks, Treasury yields, […]

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Why The Dollar Is Still a Dog

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Last week, I posted a video that detailed the recent action in the dollar and where the charts said we were headed. This morning the Jobs report was released and disappointed. As a result, the dollar has weakened, in line with my prior analysis. Let’s take a look at where things are at and what, […]

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You Just Lost $5,000 Trading. What Do You Do Next?

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On Wednesday, the SPX fell 1.8% — the biggest 1-day drop since September 2016. Some traders took advantage of the explosion in volatility. Others were dead frozen, like a deer in the headlights. That ‘freezing up’ usually means big losses. So how can you recover after a losing day? What do you do when you’re […]

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5 Ways to Beat the Low Volatility Blues

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Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change -Stephen Hawking This market is just NOT moving. Volatility is near all-time lows My colleague Michael Comeau just talked about just how far volatility has fallen since President Trump’s victory. As part of his research, he came across a bizarre data point: Since 1950, the S&P 500 […]

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Forex Mailbag: When 3 Cents Actually Means $3,000

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Dear Kurt, I read your article about AUDUSD going from 0.75 to 0.72. I don’t get it. What’s the big deal about 3 cents? -Pete G. Pete, Thank you for taking the time to read the post and write in. It is a great question. Trust me — there’s more to this trade than a […]

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Why AUDUSD Is Headed Over 300+ bps Lower

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The AUDUSD is headed down to 0.7200. That’s over 300 bps. I have been telling my Forex Profit Accelerator subscribers this for the last two weeks, and have been positioned short for this opportunity. That said, let’s dive into the ‘why’ since that’s more important than ‘where’ or ‘how’ it is going to get there. […]

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A Closer Look At Micron

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Below is an excerpt from the Off the Charts Newsletter: Micron Tech (MU) MU is a new name on watch for a long. MU is actually a stock that was on the OTC watchlist in January as a long candidate and similar to the current set up, it was coming off a great earnings report. […]

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Why Gold Is Finally Ready To Breakout

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The following is a trade recommendation from the Off the Charts Newsletter: GLD is a new name on watch for a long. GLD had a strong reversal following the mid-March rate hike along with TLT, running up into the 120 level and the 200day sma (120.10) where it hit some resistance similar to late February. […]

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Essential Basics of Trading Gaps

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A “gap” is a term used to describe the condition when a stock opens at a higher or lower price than where it closed the prior day. There may be a “gap” that is left in the daily chart between the prior day’s closing price and the current day’s opening price when the stock gaps […]

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Off the Charts: Under Armour Analysis

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The following is an excerpt from the Off the Charts Newsletter: UAA is setting up well and nearing the entrance range.  UAA has bumped up into the 20 level the last 3 days and hasn’t been able to make a push through it. It has held above the 20day sma nicely over the same time […]

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